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相关论文: Asymptotic Analysis of Discrete-Time Hawkes Proces…

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The Hawkes process is a self-exciting sample point process. It has wide applications in finance, social networks, criminology, seismology, and many other fields. With the development of storage technology, data-driven models are attracting…

概率论 · 数学 2021-06-23 Haixu Wang

The Hawkes process is a simple point process with wide applications in finance, social networks, criminology, seismology, and many other fields. The Hawkes process is defined for continuous-time setting. However, data is also recorded in a…

概率论 · 数学 2021-06-23 Haixu Wang

Point processes are widely used statistical models for continuous-time discrete event data, such as medical records, crime reports, and social network interactions, to capture the influence of historical events on future occurrences. In…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-13 Xiuyuan Cheng , Tingnan Gong , Yao Xie

Targeting a better understanding of credit market dynamics, the authors have studied a stochastic model named the Hawkes process. Describing trades arrival times, this kind of model allows for the capture of self-excitement and mutual…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-02-12 Achraf Bahamou , Maud Doumergue , Philippe Donnat

We consider a classical risk process with arrival of claims following a non-stationary Hawkes process. We study the asymptotic regime when the premium rate and the baseline intensity of the claims arrival process are large, and claim size…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2019-08-22 Zailei Cheng , Youngsoo Seol

Hawkes processes are a particularly interesting class of stochastic process that have been applied in diverse areas, from earthquake modelling to financial analysis. They are point processes whose defining characteristic is that they…

概率论 · 数学 2015-07-13 Patrick J. Laub , Thomas Taimre , Philip K. Pollett

The Hawkes process is a model for counting the number of arrivals to a system which exhibits the self-exciting property - that one arrival creates a heightened chance of further arrivals in the near future. The model, and its…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-20 Patrick J. Laub , Young Lee , Philip K. Pollett , Thomas Taimre

Hawkes processes are a class of self-exciting point processes that are used to model complex phenomena. While most applications of Hawkes processes assume that event data occurs in continuous-time, the less-studied discrete-time version of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-06-01 Trinnhallen Brisley , Gordon Ross , Daniel Paulin , Jake Easto

Hawkes process is a class of simple point processes with self-exciting and clustering properties. Hawkes process has been widely applied in finance, neuroscience, social networks, criminology, seismology, and many other fields. In this…

概率论 · 数学 2020-11-23 Fuqing Gao , Lingjiong Zhu

Spatio-temporal Hawkes point processes are a particularly interesting class of stochastic point processes for modeling self-exciting behavior, in which the occurrence of one event increases the probability of other events occurring. These…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-11-19 Alba Bernabeu , Jorge Mateu

The Hawkes process is a simple point process that has long memory, clustering effect, self-exciting property and is in general non-Markovian. The future evolution of a self-exciting point process is influenced by the timing of the past…

概率论 · 数学 2013-06-25 Lingjiong Zhu

We generalise the construction of multivariate Hawkes processes to a possibly infinite network of counting processes on a directed graph $\mathbb G$. The process is constructed as the solution to a system of Poisson driven stochastic…

概率论 · 数学 2014-03-25 Sylvain Delattre , Nicolas Fournier , Marc Hoffmann

The Hawks process is a point process with a self-exciting property. It has been used to model earthquakes, social media events, infections, etc., and is getting a lot of attention. However, as a real problem, there are often situations…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-07-30 Masatoshi Goda

We consider a discrete-time version of a Hawkes process defined as a Poisson auto-regressive process whose parameters depend on the past of the trajectory. We allow these parameters to take on negative values, modelling inhibition. More…

概率论 · 数学 2024-02-19 Manon Costa , Pascal Maillard , Anthony Muraro

Hawkes process is a class of simple point processes that is self-exciting and has clustering effect. The intensity of this point process depends on its entire past history. It has wide applications in finance, insurance, neuroscience,…

概率论 · 数学 2018-03-28 Xuefeng Gao , Lingjiong Zhu

The Hawkes process is a simple point process, whose intensity function depends on the entire past history and is self-exciting and has the clustering property. The Hawkes process is in general non-Markovian. The linear Hawkes process has…

概率论 · 数学 2025-09-04 Behzad Mehrdad , Lingjiong Zhu

Hawkes processes are a class of point processes that have the ability to model the self- and mutual-exciting phenomena. Although the classic Hawkes processes cover a wide range of applications, their expressive ability is limited due to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-10 Feng Zhou , Quyu Kong , Yixuan Zhang , Cheng Feng , Jun Zhu

Hawkes processes are a class of simple point processes whose intensity depends on the past history, and is in general non-Markovian. Limit theorems for Hawkes processes in various asymptotic regimes have been studied in the literature. In…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-25 Fuqing Gao , Lingjiong Zhu

In this paper, we study precise deviations including precise large deviations and moderate deviations for discrete marked Hawkes processes for large time asymptotics by using mod-$\phi$ convergence theory.

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-29 Yingli Wang , Ping He

In this paper, we establish a large deviations principle for a multivariate compound process induced by a multivariate Hawkes process with random marks. Our proof hinges on showing essential smoothness of the limiting cumulant of the…

概率论 · 数学 2023-06-29 Raviar S. Karim , Roger J. A. Laeven , Michel R. H. Mandjes
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