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For monitoring crises, political events are extracted from the news. The large amount of unstructured full-text event descriptions makes a case-by-case analysis unmanageable, particularly for low-resource humanitarian aid organizations.…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-05-08 Clément Lefebvre , Niklas Stoehr

A delay between the occurrence and the reporting of events often has practical implications such as for the amount of capital to hold for insurance companies, or for taking preventive actions in case of infectious diseases. The accurate…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-06-24 Roel Verbelen , Katrien Antonio , Gerda Claeskens , Jonas Crevecoeur

Observational studies are often conducted to estimate causal effects of treatments or exposures on event-time outcomes. Since treatments are not randomized in observational studies, techniques from causal inference are required to adjust…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-23 Han Ji , Arman Oganisian

Predicting risks of chronic diseases has become increasingly important in clinical practice. When a prediction model is developed in a given source cohort, there is often a great interest to apply the model to other cohorts. However, due to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-03-05 Zheng Jiayin , Zheng Yingye , Hsu Li

Longitudinal studies are often subject to missing data. The ICH E9(R1) addendum addresses the importance of defining a treatment effect estimand with the consideration of intercurrent events. Jump-to-reference (J2R) is one classically…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-06 Siyi Liu , Shu Yang , Yilong Zhang , Guanghan , Liu

Many applications involve reasoning about time durations before a critical event happens--also called time-to-event outcomes. When will a customer cancel a subscription, a coma patient wake up, or a convicted criminal reoffend?…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-10-03 George H. Chen

In randomized controlled trials (RCTs) that focus on time-to-event outcomes, intercurrent events can arise in two ways: as semi-competing events, which modify the hazard of the primary outcome events, or as competing events, which make the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-26 Yuhao Deng , Shasha Han , Xiao-Hua Zhou

Medical studies that depend on electronic health records (EHR) data are often subject to measurement error, as the data are not collected to support research questions under study. These data errors, if not accounted for in study analyses,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-03-10 Eric J. Oh , Bryan E. Shepherd , Thomas Lumley , Pamela A. Shaw

Digital monitoring studies collect real-time high frequency data via mobile sensors in the subjects' natural environment. This data can be used to model the impact of changes in physiology on recurrent event outcomes such as smoking, drug…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-15 Walter Dempsey

Scoring systems are highly interpretable and widely used to evaluate time-to-event outcomes in healthcare research. However, existing time-to-event scores are predominantly created ad-hoc using a few manually selected variables based on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-11 Feng Xie , Yilin Ning , Han Yuan , Benjamin Alan Goldstein , Marcus Eng Hock Ong , Nan Liu , Bibhas Chakraborty

Large language models (LLMs) have recently demonstrated impressive multimodal reasoning capabilities, yet their understanding of purely numerical time-series signals remains limited. Existing approaches mainly focus on forecasting or trend…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-29 Ninghui Feng , Yiyan Qi

Observational studies of recurrent event rates are common in biomedical statistics. Broadly, the goal is to estimate differences in event rates under two treatments within a defined target population over a specified followup window.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-13 Arman Oganisian , Anthony Girard , Jon A. Steingrimsson , Patience Moyo

Time-to-event models are a popular tool to analyse data where the outcome variable is the time to the occurrence of a specific event of interest. Here we focus on the analysis of time-to-event outcomes that are either intrisically discrete…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-04-14 Moritz Berger , Matthias Schmid

A draft addendum to ICH E9 has been released for public consultation in August 2017. The addendum focuses on two topics particularly relevant for randomized confirmatory clinical trials: estimands and sensitivity analyses. The need to amend…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-17 Kaspar Rufibach

Randomized controlled trials (RCT) are the gold standard for evaluation of the efficacy and safety of investigational interventions. If every patient in an RCT were to adhere to the randomized treatment, one could simply analyze the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-06-08 Yongming Qu , Linda Shurzinske , Shanthi Sethuraman

Modern health data science applications leverage abundant molecular and electronic health data, providing opportunities for machine learning to build statistical models to support clinical practice. Time-to-event analysis, also called…

Recurrent events, including cardiovascular events, are commonly observed in biomedical studies. Researchers must understand the effects of various treatments on recurrent events and investigate the underlying mediation mechanisms by which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-08 Yan-Lin Chen , Yan-Hong Chen , Pei-Fang Su , Huang-Tz Ou , An-Shun Tai

Background: Incidence of adverse outcome events rises as patients with advanced illness approach end-of-life. Exposures that tend to occur near end-of-life, e.g., use of wheelchair, oxygen therapy and palliative care, may therefore be found…

Predicting the timing and occurrence of events is a major focus of data science applications, especially in the context of biomedical research. Performance for models estimating these outcomes, often referred to as time-to-event or survival…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-07 Ying Jin , Andrew Leroux

Large clinical datasets derived from insurance claims and electronic health record (EHR) systems are valuable sources for precision medicine research. These datasets can be used to develop models for personalized prediction of risk or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-20 Liang Liang , Jue Hou , Hajime Uno , Kelly Cho , Yanyuan Ma , Tianxi Cai
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