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We study how environmental stochasticity influences the long-term population size in certain one- and two-species models. The difficulty is that even when one can prove that there is persistence, it is usually impossible to say anything…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-07-15 Alexandru Hening , Siddharth Sabharwal

The effect of thermally generated bulk stochastic forces on the statistical growth dynamics of forwards bifurcating propagating macroscopic patterns is compared with the influence of fluctuations at the boundary of a semiinfinite system,…

patt-sol · 物理学 2009-10-30 M. Luecke , A. Szprynger

Our study focuses on analyzing the behavior of a stochastic predator-prey model with a time delay and logistic growth of prey, influenced by L\'{e}vy noise. Initially, we establish the existence, uniqueness, and boundedness of a positive…

动力系统 · 数学 2023-04-26 Jaouad Danane , Delfim F. M. Torres

We study inference for the driving L\'evy noise of an ergodic stochastic differential equation (SDE) model, when the process is observed at high-frequency and long time and when the drift and scale coefficients contain finite-dimensional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-22 Hiroki Masuda , Lorenzo Mercuri , Yuma Uehara

Using key tools such as It\^o formula for general semi-martingales, moments estimates for L\'{e}vy-type stochastic integrals and properties of regular varying functions we find conditions under which solutions of stochastic differential…

概率论 · 数学 2024-02-09 I. Orlovskyi , F. Proske , O. Tymoshenko

Strong positive feedback is considered a necessary condition to observe abrupt shifts of ecosystems. A few previous studies have shown that demographic noise -- arising from the probabilistic and discrete nature of birth and death processes…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-06-22 Sabiha Majumder , Ayan Das , Appilineni Kushal , Sumithra Sankaran , Vishwesha Guttal

This paper studies the impacts of stochastic load fluctuations, namely the fluctuation intensity and the load power variation speed, on power system dynamic voltage stability. Additionally, the trade-off relationship between the two…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-10-24 Georgia Pierrou , Xiaozhe Wang

We present recent results on noise-induced transitions in a nonlinear oscillator with randomly modulated frequency. The presence of stochastic perturbations drastically alters the dynamical behaviour of the oscillator: noise can wash out a…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Sebastien Aumaitre , Francois Petrelis , Kirone Mallick

This paper provides a first attempt to incorporate the massive discontinuous changes in the spatio-temporal dynamics of epidemics. Namely, we propose an extended class of epidemic models, governed by coupled stochastic semilinear partial…

概率论 · 数学 2023-12-06 Mohamed Mehdaoui

We develop a scale-invariant truncated L\'evy (STL) process to describe physical systems characterized by correlated stochastic variables. The STL process exhibits L\'evy stability for the probability density, and hence shows scaling…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Boris Podobnik , Plamen Ch. Ivanov , Youngki Lee , H. Eugene Stanley

We investigate the stochastic dynamics of an active particle moving at a constant speed under the influence of a fluctuating torque. In our model the angular velocity is generated by a constant torque and random fluctuations described as a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2017-01-04 Joerg Noetel , Igor M. Sokolov , Lutz Schimansky-Geier

We establish a new version of the stochastic Strichartz estimate for the stochastic convolution driven by jump noise which we apply to the stochastic nonlinear Schr\"{o}dinger equation with nonlinear multiplicative jump noise in the Marcus…

概率论 · 数学 2021-04-20 Zdzisław Brzeźniak , Wei Liu , Jiahui Zhu

We study the impact of applying stochastic forcing to the Ghil-Sellers energy balance climate model in the form of a fluctuating solar irradiance. Through numerical simulations, we explore the noise-induced transitions between the competing…

统计力学 · 物理学 2022-05-23 Valerio Lucarini , Larissa Serdukova , Georgios Margazoglou

A parabolic stochastic PDE is studied analytically and numerically, when a bifurcation parameter is slowly increased through its critical value. The aim is to understand the effect of noise on delayed bifurcations in systems with spatial…

adap-org · 物理学 2008-02-03 G. D. Lythe

Effects of non-Gaussian $\alpha-$stable L\'evy noise on the Gompertz tumor growth model are quantified by considering the mean exit time and escape probability of the cancer cell density from inside a safe or benign domain. The mean exit…

动力系统 · 数学 2016-12-21 Jian Ren , Chujin Li , Ting Gao , Xingye Kan , Jinqiao Duan

We describe a continuous-time modelling framework for biological population dynamics that accounts for demographic noise. In the spirit of the methodology used by statistical physicists, transitions between the states of the system are…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2018-07-19 George W. A. Constable , Alan J. McKane

Financial returns are known to exhibit heavy tails, volatility clustering and abrupt jumps that are poorly captured by classical diffusion models. Advances in machine learning have enabled highly flexible functional forms for conditional…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-09-03 Ziyao Wang , Svetlozar T Rachev

Tipping points have been shown to be ubiquitous, both in models and empirically in a range of physical and biological systems. The question of how tipping points cascade through systems has been less well studied and is an important one. A…

动力系统 · 数学 2020-11-19 Abhishek Mallela , Alan Hastings

Logistic functions are good models of biological population growth. They are also popular in marketing in modelling demand-supply curves and in a different context, to chart the sales of new products over time. Delays being inherent in any…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2012-11-30 Milind M. Rao , K. L. Preetish

The rampant phenomenon of overpopulation and the remarkable increase of human movements over the last decade have caused an aggressive re-emergence of dengue fever, which made it the subject of several research fields. In this regard,…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-05-21 Driss Kiouach , Salim El Azami El-idrissi , Yassine Sabbar