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Graph anomaly detection (GAD) is a challenging binary classification problem due to its different structural distribution between anomalies and normal nodes -- abnormal nodes are a minority, therefore holding high heterophily and low…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-26 Yuan Gao , Xiang Wang , Xiangnan He , Zhenguang Liu , Huamin Feng , Yongdong Zhang

The size of the giant component in the configuration model, measured by the asymptotic fraction of vertices in the component, is given by a well-known expression involving the generating function of the degree distribution. In this note, we…

概率论 · 数学 2018-07-04 Maria Deijfen , Sebastian Rosengren , Pieter Trapman

Given a random variable $X$ and considered a family of its possible distortions, we define two new measures of distance between $X$ and each its distortion. For these distance measures, which are extensions of the Gini's mean difference,…

概率论 · 数学 2023-10-09 Marco Capaldo , Antonio Di Crescenzo , Franco Pellerey

We study cluster sizes in supercritical $d$-dimensional inhomogeneous percolation models with long-range edges -- such as long-range percolation -- and/or heavy-tailed degree distributions -- such as geometric inhomogeneous random graphs…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-12 Joost Jorritsma , Júlia Komjáthy , Dieter Mitsche

In this paper, we study dependence uncertainty and the resulting effects on tail risk measures, which play a fundamental role in modern risk management. We introduce the notion of a regular dependence measure, defined on multi-marginal…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2024-06-28 Corrado De Vecchi , Max Nendel , Jan Streicher

We develop a probabilistic method for assessing the tail behavior and geometric stability of one-dimensional n i.i.d. samples by tracking how their span contracts when the most extreme points are trimmed. Central to our approach is the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-03 Erwan Dereure , Emmanuel Akame Mfoumou , David Holcman

This work is concerned with the limiting spectral distribution of rank-based dependency measures in high dimensions. We provide distribution-free results for multivariate empirical versions of Kendall's $\tau$ and Spearman's $\rho$ in a…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-08-22 Nina Dörnemann , Michael Fleermann , Johannes Heiny

Given two multivariate copulas with corresponding tail dependence functions, we investigate the relation between a natural tail dependence ordering $\leq_{tdo}$ and the order $\leq_{loc}$ of local stochastic dominance. We show that,…

概率论 · 数学 2023-02-07 Karl Friedrich Siburg , Christopher Strothmann

Existing theory for multivariate extreme values focuses upon characterizations of the distributional tails when all components of a random vector, standardized to identical margins, grow at the same rate. In this paper, we consider the…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-12-20 J. L. Wadsworth , J. A. Tawn

This paper introduces the multivariate tail-inflated normal (MTIN) distribution, an elliptical heavy-tails generalization of the multivariate normal (MN). The MTIN belongs to the family of MN scale mixtures by choosing a convenient…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-23 Antonio Punzo , Luca Bagnato

We study a distributed consensus-based stochastic gradient descent (SGD) algorithm and show that the rate of convergence involves the spectral properties of two matrices: the standard spectral gap of a weight matrix from the network…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-09-02 Avleen S. Bijral , Anand D. Sarwate , Nathan Srebro

In this paper we propagate a large deviations approach for proving limit theory for (generally) multivariate time series with heavy tails. We make this notion precise by introducing regularly varying time series. We provide general large…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-09-02 T. Mikosch , O. Wintenberger

For the directed edge preferential attachment network growth model studied by Bollobas et al. (2003) and Krapivsky and Redner (2001), we prove that the joint distribution of in-degree and out-degree has jointly regularly varying tails.…

Many novel notions of "risk" (e.g., CVaR, tilted risk, DRO risk) have been proposed and studied, but these risks are all at least as sensitive as the mean to loss tails on the upside, and tend to ignore deviations on the downside. We study…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-02-17 Matthew J. Holland

In risk management, tail risks are of crucial importance. The assessment of risks should be carried out in accordance with the regulatory authority's requirement at high quantiles. In general, the underlying distribution function is…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2020-07-15 Ingo Hoffmann , Christoph J. Börner

The gradient noise (GN) in the stochastic gradient descent (SGD) algorithm is often considered to be Gaussian in the large data regime by assuming that the classical central limit theorem (CLT) kicks in. This assumption is often made for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-01-21 Umut Simsekli , Levent Sagun , Mert Gurbuzbalaban

In this paper, we establish a sufficient condition to compare linear combinations of independent and identically distributed (iid) infinite-mean random variables under usual stochastic order. We introduce a new class of distributions that…

概率论 · 数学 2025-05-06 Yuyu Chen , Taizhong Hu , Seva Shneer , Zhenfeng Zou

The goodness-of-fit test for discrimination of two tail distribution using higher order statistics is proposed. The consistency of proposed test is proved for two different alternatives. We do not assume belonging the corresponding…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-02-21 Igor Vladimirovich Rodionov

In this paper non-asymptotic exponential and moment estimates are derived for tail of distribution for discrete time martingale under norming sequence 1/n, as in the classical Law of Large Numbers (LLN), by means of martingale differences…

概率论 · 数学 2012-07-10 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We study high-probability convergence in online learning, in the presence of heavy-tailed noise. To combat the heavy tails, a general framework of nonlinear SGD methods is considered, subsuming several popular nonlinearities like sign,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-24 Aleksandar Armacki , Shuhua Yu , Pranay Sharma , Gauri Joshi , Dragana Bajovic , Dusan Jakovetic , Soummya Kar