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The inference of causal structures from observed data plays a key role in unveiling the underlying dynamics of the system. This paper exposes a novel method, named Multiscale-Causal Structure Learning (MS-CASTLE), to estimate the structure…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-19 Gabriele D'Acunto , Paolo Di Lorenzo , Sergio Barbarossa

Events such as the Financial Crisis of 2007-2008 or the COVID-19 pandemic caused significant losses to banks and insurance entities. They also demonstrated the importance of using accurate equity risk models and having a risk management…

This paper investigates the cryptocurrency network of the FTX exchange during the collapse of its native token, FTT, to understand how network structures adapt to significant financial disruptions, by exploiting vertex centrality measures.…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2025-05-20 Riccardo De Blasis , Luca Galati , Rosanna Grassi , Giorgio Rizzini

In this paper, we explore the detection of clusters of stocks that are in synergy in the Indian Stock Market and understand their behaviour in different circumstances. We have based our study on high frequency data for the year 2014. This…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-03-11 Charu Sharma , Amber Habib

We propose a model that forecasts market correlation structure from link- and node-based financial network features using machine learning. For such, market structure is modeled as a dynamic asset network by quantifying time-dependent…

The financial markets are understood as complex dynamical systems whose dynamics is analysed mostly using nonstationary and brief data sets that usually come from stock markets. For such data sets, a reliable method of analysis is based on…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-11-23 Krishnadas M. , K. P. Harikrishnan , G. Ambika

The evolution with time of the correlation structure of equity returns is studied by means of a filtered network approach investigating persistences and recurrences and their implications for risk diversification strategies. We build…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2014-10-22 Nicoló Musmeci , Tomaso Aste , Tiziana Di Matteo

Financial markets are dynamic, interconnected systems where local shocks can trigger widespread instability, challenging portfolio managers and policymakers. Traditional correlation analysis often miss the directionality and temporal…

The construction of minimum spanning trees (MSTs) from correlation matrices is an often used method to study relationships in the financial markets. However most of the work on this topic tends to use the Pearson correlation coefficient,…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2021-02-03 Tristan Millington , Mahesan Niranjan

Previous research explored various conditions of financial markets based on the similarity of correlation structures and classified as market states. We introduce modifications to previous selection criteria for these market states, mainly…

This paper investigates the impact of COVID-19 on financial markets. It focuses on the evolution of the market efficiency, using two efficiency indicators: the Hurst exponent and the memory parameter of a fractional L\'evy-stable motion.…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-11-29 Ayoub Ammy-Driss , Matthieu Garcin

Financial networks are typically estimated by applying standard time series analyses to price-based economic variables collected at low-frequency (e.g., daily or monthly stock returns or realized volatility). These networks are used for…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-08-09 Kara Karpman , Sumanta Basu , David Easley

We investigate a factor that can affect the number of links of a specific stock in a network between stocks created by the minimal spanning tree (MST) method, by using individual stock data listed on the S&P500 and KOSPI. Among the common…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-06-26 Cheoljun Eom , Gabjin Oh , Seunghwan Kim

We investigate whether cryptocurrency markets differentiate between infrastructure failures and regulatory enforcement at the return level, complementing a companion conditional variance analysis that finds 5.7 times larger volatility…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2026-02-17 Murad Farzulla

The understanding of complex systems has become a central issue because complex systems exist in a wide range of scientific disciplines. Time series are typical experimental results we have about complex systems. In the analysis of such…

Collapses of dynamical systems into irrecoverable states are observed in ecosystems, human societies, financial systems and network infrastructures. Despite their widespread occurrence and impact, these events remain largely unpredictable.…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2018-11-02 Flaviano Morone , Gino Del Ferraro , Hernán A. Makse

We calculated the cross correlations between the half-hourly times series of the ten Dow Jones US economic sectors over the period February 2000 to August 2008, the two-year intervals 2002--2003, 2004--2005, 2008--2009, and also over 11…

We study the time dependence of maximal spanning trees and asset graphs based on correlation matrices of stock returns. In these networks the nodes represent companies and links are related to the correlation coefficients between them.…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Tapio Heimo , Kimmo Kaski , Jari Saramaki

This paper develops a continuous functional framework for analyzing contagion dynamics in financial networks, extending the Navier-Stokes-based approach to network-structured spatial processes. We model financial distress propagation as a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-10-28 Tatsuru Kikuchi

In order to figure out and to forecast the emergence phenomena of social systems, we propose several probabilistic models for the analysis of financial markets, especially around a crisis. We first attempt to visualize the collective…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-06-17 Takero Ibuki , Shunsuke Higano , Sei Suzuki , Jun-ichi Inoue , Anirban Chakraborti