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The kinetic uncertainty relation (KUR) is a trade-off relation between the precision of an observable and the mean dynamical activity in a fixed time interval for a time-homogeneous and continuous-time Markov chain. In this letter, we…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-05-26 Ken Hiura , Shin-ichi Sasa

We propose a method to approximate continuous-time, continuous-state stochastic processes by a discrete-time Markov chain defined on a nonuniform grid. Our method provides exact moment matching for processes whose first and second moments…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-27 Do Hyun Kim , Ahmet Cetinkaya

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are central in computational statistics, and typically rely on detailed balance to ensure invariance with respect to a target distribution. Although straightforward to construct by Metropolization, this can…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-14 Erik Jansson , Moritz Schauer , Ruben Seyer , Akash Sharma

We study positive recurrence and transience of a two-station network in which the behavior of the server in each station is governed by a Markov chain with a finite number of server states; this service process can represent various service…

概率论 · 数学 2013-08-29 Toshihisa Ozawa

Lower bounds on fluctuations of thermodynamic currents depend on the nature of time: discrete or continuous. To understand the physical reason, we compare current fluctuations in discrete-time Markov chains and continuous-time master…

统计力学 · 物理学 2018-03-21 Davide Chiuchiù , Simone Pigolotti

Controlling dynamical fluctuations in open quantum systems is essential both for our comprehension of quantum nonequilibrium behaviour and for its possible application in near-term quantum technologies. However, understanding these…

统计力学 · 物理学 2020-10-07 Federico Carollo , Carlos Pérez-Espigares

Reversible Markov chains play a central role in stochastic modelling and in algorithms such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). Motivated by the fundamental importance of reversibility in classical settings, this paper develops a…

概率论 · 数学 2025-10-28 Damjan Škulj

A continuous-time random walk in the quarter plane with homogeneous transition rates is considered. Given a non-negative reward function on the state space, we are interested in the expected stationary performance. Since a direct derivation…

概率论 · 数学 2017-08-31 Xinwei Bai , Jasper Goseling

Extensions of Kemeny's constant, as derived for irreducible finite Markov chains in discrete time, to Markov renewal processes and Markov chains in continuous time are discussed. Three alternative Kemeny's functions and their variants are…

概率论 · 数学 2018-09-17 Jeffrey J Hunter

We derive a thermodynamic uncertainty relation (TUR) for first-passage times (FPTs) on continuous time Markov chains. The TUR utilizes the entropy production coming from bidirectional transitions, and the net flux coming from unidirectional…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-08-11 Arnab Pal , Shlomi Reuveni , Saar Rahav

Diffusive approximations of Markov jump processes often fail to accurately capture large fluctuations. This is confounding, as the rare events triggered by these large fluctuations, such as the failure of electronic memories, are often the…

介观与纳米尺度物理 · 物理学 2025-12-17 David Roberts , Trevor McCourt , Geremia Massarelli , Jeremy Rothschild , Nahuel Freitas

This paper considers the speed of convergence (mixing) of a finite Markov kernel $P$ with respect to the Kullback-Leibler divergence (entropy). Given a Markov kernel one defines either a discrete-time Markov chain (with the $n$-step…

概率论 · 数学 2024-09-13 Pietro Caputo , Zongchen Chen , Yuzhou Gu , Yury Polyanskiy

Modern methods of simulating molecular systems are based on the mathematical theory of Markov operators with a focus on autonomous equilibrated systems. However, non-autonomous physical systems or non-autonomous simulation processes are…

概率论 · 数学 2020-11-09 Alexander Sikorski , Marcus Weber , Christof Schütte

We consider the task of generating draws from a Markov jump process (MJP) between two time-points at which the process is known. Resulting draws are typically termed bridges and the generation of such bridges plays a key role in…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-01-31 Andrew Golightly , Chris Sherlock

We propose a novel, tractable latent state inference scheme for Markov jump processes, for which exact inference is often intractable. Our approach is based on an entropic matching framework that can be embedded into the well-known…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-27 Yannick Eich , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

Regime-switching processes contain two components: continuous component and discrete component, which can be used to describe a continuous dynamical system in a random environment. Such processes have many different properties than general…

概率论 · 数学 2017-10-26 Jinghai Shao

This article provides the first procedure for computing a fully data-dependent interval that traps the mixing time $t_{\text{mix}}$ of a finite reversible ergodic Markov chain at a prescribed confidence level. The interval is computed from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-11-04 Daniel Hsu , Aryeh Kontorovich , Csaba Szepesvári

The paper presents efficient approaches for evaluating convergence rate in total variation for finite and general linear Markov chains. The motivation for studying convergence rate in this metric is its usefulness in various limit theorems.…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-21 Alexander Veretennikov

We consider an irreducible continuous time Markov chain on a finite state space and with time periodic jump rates and prove the joint large deviation principle for the empirical measure and flow and the joint large deviation principle for…

概率论 · 数学 2018-10-17 L. Bertini , R. Chetrite , A. Faggionato , D. Gabrielli

In the context of nonparametric Bayesian estimation a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm is devised and implemented to sample from the posterior distribution of the drift function of a continuously or discretely observed one-dimensional…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-06-08 Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Harry van Zanten