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We construct the COpula Recursive Tree (CORT) estimator: a flexible, consistent, piecewise linear estimator of a copula, leveraging the patchwork copula formalization and various piecewise constant density estimators. While the patchwork…

With known cause of death (CoD), competing risk survival methods are applicable in estimating disease-specific survival. Relative survival analysis may be used to estimate disease-specific survival when cause of death is either unknown or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-10 Reuben Adatorwovor , Aurelien Latouche , Jason P. Fine

In survival analysis, subjects often face competing risks; for example, individuals with cancer may also suffer from heart disease or other illnesses, which can jointly influence the prognosis of risks and censoring. Traditional survival…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-12 Xin Liu , Weijia Zhang , Min-Ling Zhang

In this paper we utilize a survival analysis methodology incorporating Bayesian additive regression trees to account for nonlinear and additive covariate effects. We compare the performance of Bayesian additive regression trees, Cox…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-11-05 Satabdi Saha , Duchwan Ryu , Nader Ebrahimi

The ability to adequately model risks is crucial for insurance companies. The method of "Copula-based hierarchical risk aggregation" by Arbenz et al. offers a flexible way in doing so and has attracted much attention recently. We briefly…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2015-06-22 Fabio Derendinger

The study of survival data often requires taking proper care of the censoring mechanism that prohibits complete observation of the data. Under right censoring, only the first occurring event is observed: either the event of interest, or a…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-03-25 Myrthe D'Haen , Ingrid Van Keilegom , Anneleen Verhasselt

Survival analysis concerns the task of predicting the time until an event occurs. Often used in the medical field, survival analysis deals with incomplete (i.e., censored) data, for instance, from patients who did not experience the event…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-29 Thalea Schlender , Peter A. N. Bosman , Tanja Alderliesten

In this paper, a robust non-parametric measure of statistical dependence, or correlation, between two random variables is presented. The proposed coefficient is a permutation-like statistic that quantifies how much the observed sample S_n :…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-27 Rami Mahdi

No existing nested Archimedean copula tool handles all three of (a) arbitrary per-variable (right-)censoring in survival analysis, (b) arbitrary nesting trees, and (c) exact parameter gradients. Existing implementations handle only…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-25 Cambridge Yang , Dongdong Li

Decision trees are popular in survival analysis for their interpretability and ability to model complex relationships. Survival trees, which predict the timing of singular events using censored historical data, are typically built through…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-24 Antonio Consolo , Edoardo Amaldi , Emilio Carrizosa

The gold standard for identifying causal relationships is a randomized controlled experiment. In many applications in the social sciences and medicine, the researcher does not control the assignment mechanism and instead may rely upon…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-11-22 Johann Gagnon-Bartsch , Yotam Shem-Tov

Copula modeling has gained much attention in many fields recently with the advantage of separating dependence structure from marginal distributions. In real data, however, serious ties are often present in one or multiple margins, which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-15 Yan Li , Yang Li , Yichen Qin , Jun Yan

We describe a new approach to estimating relative risks in time-to-event prediction problems with censored data in a fully parametric manner. Our approach does not require making strong assumptions of constant proportional hazard of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-10 Chirag Nagpal , Xinyu Rachel Li , Artur Dubrawski

Survival analysis holds a crucial role across diverse disciplines, such as economics, engineering and healthcare. It empowers researchers to analyze both time-invariant and time-varying data, encompassing phenomena like customer churn,…

In this paper, we predict conditional survival functions through a combined regression strategy. We take weak learners as different random survival trees. We propose to maximize concordance in the right-censored set up to find the optimal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-12 Rahul Goswami , Arabin Kumar Dey

Tree-based methods are popular nonparametric tools in studying time-to-event outcomes. In this article, we introduce a novel framework for survival trees and ensembles, where the trees partition the dynamic survivor population and can…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-14 Yifei Sun , Sy Han Chiou , Mei-Cheng Wang

This paper proposes a modelling strategy to infer the impact of a covariate on the dependence structure of right-censored clustered event time data. The joint survival function of the event times is modelled using a parametric conditional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-06-07 Candida Geerdens , Elif Fidan Acar , Paul Janssen

Vine copulas are pair-copula constructions enabling multivariate dependence modeling in terms of bivariate building blocks. One of the main tasks of fitting a vine copula is the selection of a suitable tree structure. For this the prevalent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-03-16 Daniel Kraus , Claudia Czado

In this paper, we propose a novel approach for estimating Archimedean copula generators in a conditional setting, incorporating endogenous variables. Our method allows for the evaluation of the impact of the different levels of covariates…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-12 Marie Michaelides , Hélène Cossette , Mathieu Pigeon

This paper presents a new approach for trees-based regression, such as simple regression tree, random forest and gradient boosting, in settings involving correlated data. We show the problems that arise when implementing standard…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-09 Assaf Rabinowicz , Saharon Rosset