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State-of-the-art computer codes for simulating real physical systems are often characterized by a vast number of input parameters. Performing uncertainty quantification (UQ) tasks with Monte Carlo (MC) methods is almost always infeasible…

计算物理 · 物理学 2018-10-17 Rohit Tripathy , Ilias Bilionis

For computational efficiency, surrogate models have been used to emulate mathematical simulators for physical or biological processes. High-speed simulation is crucial for conducting uncertainty quantification (UQ) when the simulation is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-21 Lixiang Zhang , Jia Li

We propose a multi-fidelity neural network surrogate sampling method for the uncertainty quantification of physical/biological systems described by ordinary or partial differential equations. We first generate a set of low/high-fidelity…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-05-07 Mohammad Motamed

We present a hybrid sampling-surrogate approach for reducing the computational expense of uncertainty quantification in nonlinear dynamical systems. Our motivation is to enable rapid uncertainty quantification in complex mechanical systems…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-01-27 Hang Yang , Yuji Fujii , K. W. Wang , Alex A. Gorodetsky

This study investigates whether Physically Recurrent Neural Networks (PRNNs), a recent surrogate model for heterogeneous materials, trained on a micromodel with fixed material parameters, can maintain accuracy for varying material…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2025-04-17 N. Kovács , I. B. C. M. Rocha , F. P. van der Meer , C. Furtado , P. P. Camanho

Subsurface flow problems usually involve some degree of uncertainty. Consequently, uncertainty quantification is commonly necessary for subsurface flow prediction. In this work, we propose a methodology for efficient uncertainty…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-12-02 Nanzhe Wang , Haibin Chang , Dongxiao Zhang

Neural networks are a commonly used approach to replace physical models with computationally cheap surrogates. Parametric uncertainty quantification can be included in training, assuming that an accurate prior distribution of the model…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-12 Heikki Haario , Zhi-Song Liu , Martin Simon , Hendrik Weichel

To reduce training costs, several Deep neural networks (DNNs) that can learn from a small set of HF data and a sufficient number of low-fidelity (LF) data have been proposed. In these established neural networks, a parallel structure is…

计算物理 · 物理学 2024-05-08 Zhihui Li , Francesco Montomoli

Neural network (NN) potentials promise highly accurate molecular dynamics (MD) simulations within the computational complexity of classical MD force fields. However, when applied outside their training domain, NN potential predictions can…

化学物理 · 物理学 2023-07-28 Stephan Thaler , Gregor Doehner , Julija Zavadlav

We propose a novel \textit{capsule} based deep encoder-decoder model for surrogate modeling and uncertainty quantification of systems in mechanics from sparse data. The proposed framework is developed by adapting Capsule Network (CapsNet)…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-01-20 Akshay Thakur , Souvik Chakraborty

Plasma kinetic equations exhibit pronounced sensitivity to microscopic perturbations in model parameters and data, making reliable and efficient uncertainty quantification (UQ) essential for predictive simulations. However, the cost of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-01 Wei Chen , Giacomo Dimarco , Lorenzo Pareschi

A problem of considerable importance within the field of uncertainty quantification (UQ) is the development of efficient methods for the construction of accurate surrogate models. Such efforts are particularly important to applications…

计算物理 · 物理学 2019-03-01 Rohit Tripathy , Ilias Bilionis

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is an active area of research, and an essential technique used in all fields of science and engineering. The most common methods for UQ are Monte Carlo and surrogate-modelling. The former method is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-09-01 Arnau Albà , Romana Boiger , Dimitri Rochman , Andreas Adelmann

Sampling problems are promising candidates for demonstrating quantum advantage, and one approach known as quantum-enhanced Markov chain Monte Carlo [Layden, D. et al., Nature 619, 282-287 (2023)] uses quantum samples as a proposal…

量子物理 · 物理学 2026-04-23 Yuya Kawamata , Yuichiro Nakano , Keisuke Fujii

Neural operators (NOs) provide fast, resolution-invariant surrogates for mapping input fields to PDE solution fields, but their predictions can exhibit significant epistemic uncertainty due to finite data, imperfect optimization, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-13 Haoze Song , Zhihao Li , Mengyi Deng , Xin Li , Duyi Pan , Zhilu Lai , Wei Wang

Predictive estimation, which comprises model calibration, model prediction, and validation, is a common objective when performing inverse uncertainty quantification (UQ) in diverse scientific applications. These techniques typically require…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-07-17 Ningxin Yang , Truong Le , Lidija Zdravković , David M. Potts

We present a novel physics-constrained polynomial chaos expansion as a surrogate modeling method capable of performing both scientific machine learning (SciML) and uncertainty quantification (UQ) tasks. The proposed method possesses a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-14 Himanshu Sharma , Lukáš Novák , Michael D. Shields

Deep learning has been shown to be highly effective for automatic modulation classification (AMC), which is a pivotal technology for next-generation cognitive communications. Yet, existing deep learning methods for AMC often lack robust…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-12-03 Huian Yang , Rajeev Sahay

Predicting the behavior of complex systems in engineering often involves significant uncertainty about operating conditions, such as external loads, environmental effects, and manufacturing variability. As a result, uncertainty…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-07-17 S. Marelli , S. Schär , B. Sudret

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) plays a pivotal role in scientific machine learning, especially when surrogate models are used to approximate complex systems. Although multilayer perceptions (MLPs) are commonly employed as surrogates, they…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-01-22 Zhiwei Gao , George Em Karniadakis
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