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The analysis of contagion-diffusion processes in metapopulations is a powerful theoretical tool to study how mobility influences the spread of communicable diseases. Nevertheless, many metapopulation approaches use indistinguishable agents…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-04-20 Pablo Valgañón , David Soriano-Paños , Alex Arenas , Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes

Epidemics like Covid-19 and Ebola have impacted people's lives significantly. The impact of mobility of people across the countries or states in the spread of epidemics has been significant. The spread of disease due to factors local to the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-05-04 Nirmal Kumar Sivaraman , Manas Gaur , Shivansh Baijal , Sakthi Balan Muthiah , Amit Sheth

We have established a novel mathematical model that considers various aspects of the spreading of the virus, including, the transmission based on being in the latent period, environment to human transmission, governmental decisions, and…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2020-08-31 Kamran Soltani , Ghader Rezazadeh

The implementation of social distancing policies is key to reducing the impact of the current COVID-19 pandemic. However, their effectiveness ultimately depends on human behavior. In the United States, compliance with social distancing…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-03-29 Christopher Parker , Jorge M. Mejia , Franco Pestilli

Human mobility is a key component of large-scale spatial-transmission models of infectious diseases. Correctly modeling and quantifying human mobility is critical for improving epidemic control policies, but may be hindered by incomplete…

The ability to directly record human face-to-face interactions increasingly enables the development of detailed data-driven models for the spread of directly transmitted infectious diseases at the scale of individuals. Complete coverage of…

The mobility patterns of individuals in China during the early outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic exhibit reversible changes -- in many regions, the mobility first decreased significantly and later restored. Based on this observation, here…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-10-25 Xincheng Shu , Zhongyuan Ruan

The transmission dynamics of Tuberculosis (TB) involve complex epidemiological and socio-economical interactions between individuals living in highly distinct regional conditions. The level of exogenous reinfection and first time infection…

Amidst the COVID-19 pandemic, travel restrictions have emerged as crucial interventions for mitigating the spread of the virus. In this study, we enhance the predictive capabilities of our model, Sequence-to-Sequence Epidemic Attention…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-11-14 Yukang Jiang , Ting Tian , Huajun Xie , Hailiang Guo , Xueqin Wang

Since 1927, until recently, models describing the spread of disease have mostly been of the SIR-compartmental type, based on the assumption that populations are homogeneous and well-mixed. The focus of these models have typically been on…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-07-23 Lara Goscé , David A W Barton , Anders Johansson

Understanding the spread of any disease is a highly complex and interdisciplinary exercise as biological, social, geographic, economic, and medical factors may shape the way a disease moves through a population and options for its eventual…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2016-12-14 Aristides Moustakas

Interactions between commuting individuals can lead to large-scale spreading of rumors, ideas, or disease, even though the commuters have no net displacement. The emergent dynamics depend crucially on the commuting distribution of a…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-05-30 Aaron Winn , Adam Konkol , Eleni Katifori

This paper has the goal of evaluating how changes in mobility has affected the infection spread of Covid-19 throughout the 2020-2021 years. However, identifying a "clean" causal relation is not an easy task due to a high number of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-10-05 Leonardo Martins , Marcelo C. Medeiros

The networked structure of contacts shapes the spreading of epidemic processes. Recent advances on network theory have improved our understanding of the epidemic processes at large scale. The relevance of several considerations still needs…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-02-21 Sergio Gómez , Alberto Fernández , Sandro Meloni , Alex Arenas

Background: The global spread of the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) epidemic has clearly shown the importance of considering the long-range transportation networks in the understanding of emerging diseases outbreaks. The…

其他定量生物学 · 定量生物学 2008-01-16 Vittoria Colizza , Alain Barrat , Marc Barthelemy , Alessandro Vespignani

Nowadays, social media is the main tool in our new lives. The outbreak news and all related obtained from social media, and mob events affect the of spread these news fast. Recently, epidemiological models to study disease spread and…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-04-22 Jumana H. S. Alkhalissi , Ahmed Al-Taweel

The availability of new data sources on human mobility is opening new avenues for investigating the interplay of social networks, human mobility and dynamical processes such as epidemic spreading. Here we analyze data on the time-resolved…

We consider the spread of epidemics in technological and social networks. How do people react? Does awareness and cautious behavior help? We analyze these questions and present a dynamic model to describe the movement of individuals and/or…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2015-03-19 Robert Elsässer , Adrian Ogierman

The frequent emergence of diseases with the potential to become threats at local and global scales, such as influenza A(H1N1), SARS, MERS, and recently COVID-19 disease, makes it crucial to keep designing models of disease propagation and…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-08-27 I. A. Perez , M. A. Di Muro , C. E. La Rocca , L. A. Braunstein

We propose a mathematical model to analyze the time evolution of the total number of infected population with Covid-19 disease at a region in the ongoing pandemic. Using the available data of Covid-19 infected population on various…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-08-17 Nilmani Mathur , Gargi Shaw