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The first order behavior of multivariate heavy-tailed random vectors above large radial thresholds is ruled by a limit measure in a regular variation framework. For a high dimensional vector, a reasonable assumption is that the support of…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-06-27 Holger Drees , Anne Sabourin

The angular measure on the unit sphere characterizes the first-order dependence structure of the components of a random vector in extreme regions and is defined in terms of standardized margins. Its statistical recovery is an important step…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-07-16 Stéphane Lhaut , Johan Segers

Many statistical estimation techniques for high-dimensional or functional data are based on a preliminary dimension reduction step, which consists in projecting the sample $\bX_1, \hdots, \bX_n$ onto the first $D$ eigenvectors of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-04-26 Gérard Biau , André Mas

We analyse the reconstruction error of principal component analysis (PCA) and prove non-asymptotic upper bounds for the corresponding excess risk. These bounds unify and improve existing upper bounds from the literature. In particular, they…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-04-01 Markus Reiß , Martin Wahl

We propose a principal components regression method based on maximizing a joint pseudo-likelihood for responses and predictors. Our method uses both responses and predictors to select linear combinations of the predictors relevant for the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-10 Karl Oskar Ekvall

Modelling the extremal dependence of bivariate variables is important in a wide variety of practical applications, including environmental planning, catastrophe modelling and hydrology. The majority of these approaches are based on the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-27 C. J. R. Murphy-Barltrop , J. L. Wadsworth , E. F. Eastoe

Motivated by the increasing availability of data of functional nature, we develop a general probabilistic and statistical framework for extremes of regularly varying random elements $X$ in $L^2[0,1]$. We place ourselves in a…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-08-03 Stephan Clémençon , Nathan Huet , Anne Sabourin

We propose kernel PCA as a method for analyzing the dependence structure of multivariate extremes and demonstrate that it can be a powerful tool for clustering and dimension reduction. Our work provides some theoretical insight into the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-11-28 Marco Avella-Medina , Richard A. Davis , Gennady Samorodnitsky

For multivariate regularly random vectors of dimension $d$, the dependence structure of the extremes is modeled by the so-called angular measure. When the dimension $d$ is high, estimating the angular measure is challenging because of its…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-29 Lucas Butsch , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann

Principal component analysis (PCA) aims at estimating the direction of maximal variability of a high-dimensional dataset. A natural question is: does this task become easier, and estimation more accurate, when we exploit additional…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2014-06-19 Andrea Montanari , Emile Richard

We study principal components regression (PCR) in an asymptotic high-dimensional regression setting, where the number of data points is proportional to the dimension. We derive exact limiting formulas for the estimation and prediction…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-18 Alden Green , Elad Romanov

We consider the non-parametric Poisson regression problem where the integer valued response $Y$ is the realization of a Poisson random variable with parameter $\lambda(X)$. The aim is to estimate the functional parameter $\lambda$ from…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-05-14 Martin Kroll

Functional linear regression has recently attracted considerable interest. Many works focus on asymptotic inference. In this paper we consider in a non asymptotic framework a simple estimation procedure based on functional Principal…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-01-16 Elodie Brunel , André Mas , Angelina Roche

The extremal dependence structure of a regularly varying random vector Xis fully described by its limiting spectral measure. In this paper, we investigate how torecover characteristics of the measure, such as extremal coefficients, from the…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-07-04 Marco Oesting , Olivier Wintenberger

We analyse the prediction error of principal component regression (PCR) and prove non-asymptotic upper bounds for the corresponding squared risk. Under mild assumptions, we show that PCR performs as well as the oracle method obtained by…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-04-17 Martin Wahl

Two dynamical indicators, the local dimension and the extremal index, used to quantify persistence in phase space have been developed and applied to different data across various disciplines. These are computed using the asymptotic limit of…

动力系统 · 数学 2024-11-26 Ignacio del Amo , George Datseris , Mark Holland

The extremal index $\theta$, a measure of the degree of local dependence in the extremes of a stationary process, plays an important role in extreme value analyses. We estimate $\theta$ semiparametrically, using the relationship between the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-06-02 Paul J. Northrop

The angular measure on the unit sphere characterizes the first-order dependence structure of the components of a random vector in extreme regions and is defined in terms of standardized margins. Its statistical recovery is an important step…

Capturing the dependence structure of multivariate extreme events is a major concern in many fields involving the management of risks stemming from multiple sources, e.g. portfolio monitoring, insurance, environmental risk management and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-03-15 Nicolas Goix , Anne Sabourin , Stéphan Clémençon

One of the central objectives of modern risk management is to find a set of risks where the probability of multiple simultaneous catastrophic events is negligible. That is, risks are taken only when their joint behavior seems sufficiently…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-04-02 Jaakko Lehtomaa , Sidney Resnick
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