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Stepped-wedge designs are increasingly used in randomized experiments to accommodate logistical and ethical constraints by staggering treatment roll-out over time. Despite their popularity, existing analytical methods largely rely on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-12 Liangbo Lyu , Bingkai Wang

We consider the optimal experimental design problem of allocating subjects to treatment or control when subjects participate in multiple, separate controlled experiments within a short time-frame and subject covariate information is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-16 William Fisher , Qiong Zhang , Lulu Kang , Xinwei Deng

While attractive from a theoretical perspective, finely stratified experiments such as paired designs suffer from certain analytical limitations not present in block-randomized experiments with multiple treated and control individuals in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-06-21 Colin B. Fogarty

Randomized saturation designs are a family of designs which assign a possibly different treatment proportion to each cluster of a population at random. As a result, they generalize the well-known (stratified) completely randomized designs…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-21 Chencheng Cai , Jean Pouget-Abadie , Edoardo M. Airoldi

Recent works have proposed optimal subsampling algorithms to improve computational efficiency in large datasets and to design validation studies in the presence of measurement error. Existing approaches generally fall into two categories:…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-25 Jasper B. Yang , Thomas Lumley , Bryan E. Shepherd , Pamela A. Shaw

The intra-cluster correlation coefficient (ICC) plays an important role while designing the cluster randomized trials (CRTs). Often optimal CRTs are designed assuming that the magnitude of the ICC is constant across the clusters. However,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-02-21 Satya Prakash Singh , Pradeep Yadav

Variance reduction for causal inference in the presence of network interference is often achieved through either outcome modeling, typically analyzed under unit-randomized Bernoulli designs, or clustered experimental designs, typically…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-19 Matthew Eichhorn , Samir Khan , Johan Ugander , Christina Lee Yu

This paper studies inference in randomized controlled trials with covariate-adaptive randomization when there are multiple treatments. More specifically, we study inference about the average effect of one or more treatments relative to…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-01-21 Federico A. Bugni , Ivan A. Canay , Azeem M. Shaikh

Given n experiment subjects with potentially heterogeneous covariates and two possible treatments, namely active treatment and control, this paper addresses the fundamental question of determining the optimal accuracy in estimating the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-11-13 Jiachun Li , David Simchi-Levi , Yunxiao Zhao

Optimal two-treatment, $p$ period crossover designs for binary responses are determined. The optimal designs are obtained by minimizing the variance of the treatment contrast estimator over all possible allocations of $n$ subjects to $2^p$…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-05-12 S. Mukhopadhyay , S. P. Singh , A. Dey

This paper deals with a new design methodology for stratified comparative experiments based on interacting reinforced urn systems. The key idea is to model the interaction between urns for borrowing information across strata and to use it…

Randomized experiments can provide unbiased estimates of sample average treatment effects. However, estimates of population treatment effects can be biased when the experimental sample and the target population differ. In this case, the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-10 Wenqi Shi , Xi Lin

We consider the problem of estimating and inferring treatment effects in randomized experiments. In practice, stratified randomization, or more generally, covariate-adaptive randomization, is routinely used in the design stage to balance…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-27 Hanzhong Liu , Fuyi Tu , Wei Ma

We study methods for aggregating pairwise comparison data in order to estimate outcome probabilities for future comparisons among a collection of n items. Working within a flexible framework that imposes only a form of strong stochastic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-03-23 Nihar B. Shah , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Martin J. Wainwright

We address estimation of intervention effects in experimental designs in which (a) interventions are assigned at the cluster level; (b) clusters are selected to form pairs, matched on observed characteristics; and (c) intervention is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-11-24 Zhenke Wu , Constantine E. Frangakis , Thomas A. Louis , Daniel O. Scharfstein

We study the question of how best to stratify units into matched pairs in online experiments, so that units within a pair receive opposite treatment. Past work by Bai, Romano, and Shaikh (2022) has demonstrated the asymptotic variance…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-26 Tim Morrison

Recently, methodology was presented to facilitate the incorporation of interim analyses in stepped-wedge (SW) cluster randomised trials (CRTs). Here, we extend this previous discussion. We detail how the stopping boundaries, allocation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-03-28 Michael Grayling , David Robertson , James Wason , Adrian Mander

This paper studies inference on the average treatment effect in experiments in which treatment status is determined according to "matched pairs" and it is additionally desired to adjust for observed, baseline covariates to gain further…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-10-20 Yuehao Bai , Liang Jiang , Joseph P. Romano , Azeem M. Shaikh , Yichong Zhang

Ordinal classification has been widely applied in many high-stakes applications, e.g., medical imaging and diagnosis, where reliable uncertainty quantification (UQ) is essential for decision making. Conformal prediction (CP) is a general UQ…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-24 Zijian Zhang , Xinyu Chen , Yuanjie Shi , Liyuan Lillian Ma , Zifan Xu , Yan Yan

Randomization, as a key technique in clinical trials, can eliminate sources of bias and produce comparable treatment groups. In randomized experiments, the treatment effect is a parameter of general interest. Researchers have explored the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-05 Fuyi Tu , Wei Ma , Hanzhong Liu