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Optimizing the impact on the economy of control strategies aiming at containing the spread of COVID-19 is a critical challenge. We use daily new case counts of COVID-19 patients reported by local health administrations from different…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-03-12 Afroza Shirin , Yen Ting Lin , Francesco Sorrentino

We introduce model-based transition rates for controlled compartmental models in mathematical epidemiology, with a focus on the effects of control strategies applied to interacting multi-agent systems describing contact formation dynamics.…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-07-18 Mattia Zanella , Andrea Medaglia

In this paper, we study an optimal control problem of a communicable disease in a prison population. In order to control the spread of the disease inside a prison, we consider an active case-finding strategy, consisting on screening a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-11-06 Pedro Gajardo , Victor Riquelme , Diego Vicencio

We focus on the modeling and simulation of an infectious disease spreading in a medium size population occupying a confined environment, such as an airport terminal, for short periods of time. Because of the size of the crowd and venue, we…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-07-27 Daewa Kim , Annalisa Quaini

In this work we propose a novel space-dependent multiscale model for the spread of infectious diseases in a two-dimensional spatial context on realistic geographical scenarios. The model couples a system of kinetic transport equations…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-12-21 Walter Boscheri , Giacomo Dimarco , Lorenzo Pareschi

In this paper, we consider an optimal distributed control problem for a reaction-diffusion-based SIR epidemic model with human behavioral effects. We develop a model wherein non-pharmaceutical intervention methods are implemented, but a…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2025-02-11 Marcelo Bongarti , Christian Parkinson , Weinan Wang

Competition and collaboration are at the heart of multi-agent probabilistic spreading processes. The battle on public opinion and competitive marketing campaigns are typical examples of the former, while the joint spread of multiple…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-03-17 Hanlin Sun , David Saad , Andrey Y. Lokhov

In this paper an optimal control problem for a large system of interacting agents is considered using a kinetic perspective. As a prototype model we analyze a microscopic model of opinion formation under constraints. For this problem a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-01-31 Giacomo Albi , Michael Herty , Lorenzo Pareschi

Epidemic control is of great importance for human society. Adjusting interacting partners is an effective individualized control strategy. Intuitively, it is done either by shortening the interaction time between susceptible and infected…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2016-12-28 Bin Wu , Shanjun Mao , Jiazeng Wang , Da Zhou

The temporal evolution of a contagious viral disease is modelled as the dynamic progression of different classes of population with individuals interacting pairwise. This interaction follows a binary mechanism typical of kinetic theory,…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-01-24 Giulia Bertaglia , Lorenzo Pareschi , Giuseppe Toscani

In the absence of drugs and vaccines, policymakers use non-pharmaceutical interventions such as social distancing to decrease rates of disease-causing contact, with the aim of reducing or delaying the epidemic peak. These measures carry…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-04-22 Dylan H. Morris , Fernando W. Rossine , Joshua B. Plotkin , Simon A. Levin

Disease spread in most biological populations requires the proximity of agents. In populations where the individuals have spatial mobility, the contact graph is generated by the "collision dynamics" of the agents, and thus the evolution of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2007-06-07 Z. Toroczkai , H. Guclu

We consider a family of controlled reaction-diffusion equations, describing the spatial spreading of an invasive biological species. For a given propagation speed $c\in{I\!\!R}$, we seek a control with minimum cost, which achieves a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-02-21 Alberto Bressan , Minyan Zhang

The goal of this work is to study an infectious disease spreading in a medium size population occupying a confined environment. For this purpose, we consider a kinetic theory approach to model crowd dynamics in bounded domains and couple it…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-04-28 Daewa Kim , Annalisa Quaini

When a physical system is driven away from equilibrium, the statistical distribution of its dynamical trajectories informs many of its physical properties. Characterizing the nature of the distribution of dynamical observables, such as a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-06-19 Jiawei Yan , Grant M. Rotskoff

Understanding how to effectively control an epidemic spreading on a network is a problem of paramount importance for the scientific community. The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the need for policies that mitigate the spread,…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-09-14 Carlo Cenedese , Lorenzo Zino , Michele Cucuzzella , Ming Cao

The vast majority of strategies aimed at controlling contagion processes on networks considers the connectivity pattern of the system as either quenched or annealed. However, in the real world many networks are highly dynamical and evolve…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-06-17 Suyu Liu , Nicola Perra , Marton Karsai , Alessandro Vespignani

We propose a neural network approach to model general interaction dynamics and an adjoint based stochastic gradient descent algorithm to calibrate its parameters. The parameter calibration problem is considered as optimal control problem…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-02-01 Simone Göttlich , Claudia Totzeck

Understanding the complex patterns in space-time exhibited by active systems has been the subject of much interest in recent times. Complementing this forward problem is the inverse problem of controlling active matter. Here we use optimal…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2022-10-12 Suraj Shankar , Vidya Raju , L. Mahadevan

The process of contagiousness spread modelling is well-known in epidemiology. However, the application of spread modelling to banking market is quite recent. In this work, we present a system of ordinary differential equations, simulating…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-02-19 Olena Kostylenko , Helena Sofia Rodrigues , Delfim F. M. Torres