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Dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) is a method that estimates the correlation between two time series across time. Although used primarily in finance so far, DCC has been proposed recently as a model-based estimation method for…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-06-05 Aparna John , Toshikazu Ikuta , Janina D Ferbinteanu , Majnu John

We seek to narrow the gap between parametric and nonparametric modelling of stationary time series processes. The approach is inspired by recent advances in focused inference and model selection techniques. The paper generalises and extends…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-20 Gudmund Hermansen , Nils Lid Hjort , Martin Jullum

Granger causality, commonly used for inferring causal structures from time series data, has been adopted in widespread applications across various fields due to its intuitive explainability and high compatibility with emerging deep neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-18 Ziyi Zhang , Shaogang Ren , Xiaoning Qian , Nick Duffield

It becomes increasingly popular to perform mediation analysis for complex data from sophisticated experimental studies. In this paper, we present Granger Mediation Analysis (GMA), a new framework for causal mediation analysis of multiple…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-09-18 Yi Zhao , Xi Luo

Multivariate time series anomaly detection has numerous real-world applications and is being extensively studied. Modeling pairwise correlations between variables is crucial. Existing methods employ learnable graph structures and graph…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-24 Zehao Liu , Mengzhou Gao , Pengfei Jiao

A structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) process is a linear causal model for variables that evolve over a discrete set of time points and between which there may be lagged and instantaneous effects. The qualitative causal structure of an…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-08-19 Nicolas-Domenic Reiter , Jonas Wahl , Andreas Gerhardus , Jakob Runge

When common factors strongly influence two cross-correlated time series recorded in complex natural and social systems, the results will be biased if we use multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis (MF-DXA) without considering…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-04-14 Bao-Gen Li , Dian-Yi Ling , Zu-Guo Yu

When dealing with time series data, causal inference methods often employ structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) processes to model time-evolving random systems. In this work, we rephrase recursive SVAR processes with possible latent…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-08-19 Nicolas-Domenic Reiter , Andreas Gerhardus , Jonas Wahl , Jakob Runge

Current fluctuations play an important role in non-equilibrium statistical mechanics, and are a key object of interest in both theoretical studies and in practical applications. So far, most of the studies were devoted to the fluctuations…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-06-01 Bertrand Lacroix-A-Chez-Toine , Oren Raz

Federated Graph Learning (FGL) has emerged as a powerful paradigm for decentralized training of graph neural networks while preserving data privacy. However, existing FGL methods are predominantly designed for static graphs and rely on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-01 Yuxuan Liu , Wenchao Xu , Haozhao Wang , Zhiming He , Zhaofeng Shi , Chongyang Xu , Peichao Wang , Boyuan Zhang

We develop a general methodological framework for probabilistic inference in discrete- and continuous-time stochastic processes evolving on directed acyclic graphs (DAGs). The process is observed only at the leaf nodes, and the challenge is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-27 Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Stefan Sommer

Uncertainty quantification techniques such as the time-dependent generalized polynomial chaos (TD-gPC) use an adaptive orthogonal basis to better represent the stochastic part of the solution space (aka random function space) in time.…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-07-22 Hugo Esquivel , Arun Prakash , Guang Lin

Correlation analysis is convenient and frequently used tool for investigation of time series from complex systems. Recently new methods such as the multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MFDFA) and the wavelet transform modulus…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Nikolay K. Vitanov , kenschi Sakai , Elka D. Yankulova

Multifractal formalisms provide an apt framework to study random cascades in which multifractal spectrum width $\Delta\alpha$ fluctuates depending on the number of estimable power-law relationships. Then again, multifractality without…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2023-12-12 Madhur Mangalam , Aaron D Likens , Damian G Kelty-Stephen

For decades, uncertainty quantification techniques based on the spectral approach have been demonstrated to be computationally more efficient than the Monte Carlo method for a wide variety of problems, particularly when the dimensionality…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-07-22 Hugo Esquivel , Arun Prakash , Guang Lin

Understanding causal relationships within a system is crucial for uncovering its underlying mechanisms. Causal discovery methods, which facilitate the construction of such models from time-series data, hold the potential to significantly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-31 Zsigmond Benkő , Bálint Varga , Marcell Stippinger , Zoltán Somogyvári

Gaussian process factor analysis (GPFA) is a latent variable modeling technique commonly used to identify smooth, low-dimensional latent trajectories underlying high-dimensional neural recordings. Specifically, researchers model spiking…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-21 Yididiya Y. Nadew , Xuhui Fan , Christopher J. Quinn

Canonical correlation analysis (CCA) is a state-of-the-art method for frequency recognition in steady-state visual evoked potential (SSVEP)-based brain-computer interface (BCI) systems. Various extended methods have been developed, and…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2018-07-03 Yangsong Zhang , Erwei Yin , Fali Li , Yu Zhang , Toshihisa Tanaka , Qibin Zhao , Yan Cui , Peng Xu , Dezhong Yao , Daqing Guo

High-concentration time-frequency (TF) representation provides a valuable tool for characterizing multi-component non-stationary signals. In our previous work, we proposed using an instantaneous frequency (IF) equation to sharpen the TF…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-03-13 Xiangxiang Zhu , Kunde Yang , Zhuosheng Zhang

A novel approach is developed for discovering directed connectivity between specified pairs of nodes in a high-dimensional network (HDN) of brain signals. To accurately identify causal connectivity for such specified objectives, it is…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-05-06 Sipan Aslan , Hernando Ombao