相关论文: Exponential twist of probability measures: drift c…
We consider a general piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP) $X=\{X_t\}_{t\geqslant 0}$ with measure-valued generator $\mathcal{A}$, for which the conditional distribution function of the inter-occurrence time is not necessarily…
Let $f$ be the density function associated to a matrix-exponential distribution of parameters $(\alpha, T,s)$. By exponentially tilting $f$, we find a probabilistic interpretation which generalises the one associated to phase-type…
We show the variational convergence of an irreversible Markov jump process describing a finite stochastic particle system to the solution of a countable infinite system of deterministic time-inhomogeneous quadratic differential equations…
We prove the convergence at an exponential rate towards the invariant probability measure for a class of solutions of stochastic differential equations with finite delay. This is done, in this non-Markovian setting, using the cluster…
The existence and uniqueness of the numerical invariant measure of the backward Euler-Maruyama method for stochastic differential equations with Markovian switching is yielded, and it is revealed that the numerical invariant measure…
The theory of ``Markov-up'' processes is being developed. This is a new class of stochastic processes with ``partial'' markovian features; it could also be called ``one-sided Markov''. Such a behavior may be found in the real world and in…
Given a mild solution $X$ to a semilinear stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE), we consider an exponential change of measure based on its infinitesimal generator $L$, defined in the topology of bounded pointwise convergence. The…
We study the problem of exponential mixing and large deviations for discrete-time Markov processes associated with a class of random dynamical systems. Under some dissipativity and regularisation hypotheses for the underlying deterministic…
We consider the minimization over probability measures of the expected value of a random variable, regularized by relative entropy with respect to a given probability distribution. In the general setting we provide a complete…
We provide sufficient conditions which ensure that the intrinsic martingale in the supercritical branching random walk converges exponentially fast to its limit. The case of Galton-Watson processes is particularly included so that our…
This article contains new tools for studying the shape of the stationary distribution of sizes in a dynamic economic system in which units experience random multiplicative shocks and are occasionally reset. Each unit has a Markov-switching…
The invariant measure is a fundamental object in the theory of Markov processes. In finite dimensions a Markov process is defined by transition rates of the corresponding stochastic matrix. The Markov tree theorem provides an explicit…
We study a Markov process with two components: the first component evolves according to one of finitely many underlying Markovian dynamics, with a choice of dynamics that changes at the jump times of the second component. The second…
We consider probability measures on $A^N$, the set of sequences of symbols on a finite alphabet $A$ of length $N$, that give a weight to each sequence in terms of a collection of matrices with non-negative entries and having rows and…
This article analyzes and compares two general techniques of rare event simulation for generating paths of Markov processes over fixed time horizons: exponential tilting and stochastic bridge. These two methods allow to accurately compute…
For local martingales with nonnegative jumps, we prove a sufficient criterion for the corresponding exponential martingale to be a true martingale. The criterion is in terms of exponential moments of a convex combination of the optional and…
Let {X_n,n\geq0} be a Markov chain on a general state space X with transition probability P and stationary probability \pi. Suppose an additive component S_n takes values in the real line R and is adjoined to the chain such that…
The problem of the steady-state velocity distribution in a driven inelastic Maxwell model of shaken granular material is revisited. Numerical solution of the master equation and analytical arguments show that the model has bilateral…
In this paper, we develop a general theory for the estimation of the transition probabilities of reversible Markov chains using the maximum entropy principle. A broad range of physical models can be studied within this approach. We use…
Marginal structural models were introduced in order to provide estimates of causal effects from interventions based on observational studies in epidemiological research. The key point is that this can be understood in terms of Girsanov's…