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This paper proposed a methodology to forecast electoral outcomes using the result of the combination of a fundamental model and a model-based aggregation of polls. We propose a Bayesian hierarchical structure for the fundamental model that…

Automated tennis stroke analysis has advanced significantly with the integration of biomechanical motion cues alongside deep learning techniques, enhancing stroke classification accuracy and player performance evaluation. Despite these…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-10-07 Arushi Dashore , Aryan Anumala , Emily Hui , Olivia Yang

Agent forecasting systems have been explored to investigate agent patterns and improve decision-making in various domains, e.g., pedestrian predictions and marketing bidding. Badminton represents a fascinating example of a multifaceted…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-12-19 Wei-Yao Wang , Wen-Chih Peng , Wei Wang , Philip S. Yu

Esports has emerged as a popular genre for players as well as spectators, supporting a global entertainment industry. Esports analytics has evolved to address the requirement for data-driven feedback, and is focused on cyber-athlete…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2017-11-20 Victoria Hodge , Sam Devlin , Nick Sephton , Florian Block , Anders Drachen , Peter Cowling

Sports tracking data are the high-resolution spatiotemporal observations of a competitive event. The growing collection of these data in professional sport allows us to address a fundamental problem of modern sport: how to attribute value…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-05-27 Stephanie Kovalchik , Martin Ingram , Kokum Weeratunga , Cagatay Goncu

This paper presents CourtMotion, a spatiotemporal modeling framework for analyzing and predicting game events and plays as they develop in professional basketball. Anticipating basketball events requires understanding both physical motion…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-12-10 Omer Sela , Michael Chertok , Lior Wolf

The paper presents a hierarchical Bayesian model for simultaneous inference of tournament graphs and informant error. From multiple informant reports or measurement instrument outputs, the model estimates the structure of a criterion (i.e.,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-10-14 Ben Hanowell

Many works in the domain of artificial intelligence in games focus on board or video games due to the ease of reimplementing their mechanics. Decision-making problems in real-world sports share many similarities to such domains.…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-08-13 Carlo Nübel , Alexander Dockhorn , Sanaz Mostaghim

Predicting the winner of an election is of importance to multiple stakeholders. To formulate the problem, we consider an independent sequence of categorical data with a finite number of possible outcomes in each. The data is assumed to be…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-10-17 Soudeep Deb , Rishideep Roy , Shubhabrata Das

Machine Learning (ML) algorithms are vital for supporting clinical decision-making in biomedical informatics. However, their predictive performance can vary across demographic groups, often due to the underrepresentation of historically…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-04 Ioannis Bilionis , Ricardo C. Berrios , Luis Fernandez-Luque , Carlos Castillo

We present a comprehensive video-based analytics framework for tennis doubles that addresses the lack of automated analysis tools for this strategically complex sport. Our approach introduces a standardised annotation methodology…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-07-08 Jia Wei Chen

An effective ranking model usually requires a large amount of training data to learn the relevance between documents and queries. User clicks are often used as training data since they can indicate relevance and are cheap to collect, but…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2023-02-21 Xiaojie Sun , Lulu Yu , Yiting Wang , Keping Bi , Jiafeng Guo

Though athletics statistics are abundant, it is a difficult task to quantitatively compare performances from different events of track, field, and road running in a meaningful way. There are several commonly-used methods, but each has its…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-08-27 Brian Godsey

In machine learning tasks, especially in the tasks of prediction, scientists tend to rely solely on available historical data and disregard unproven insights, such as experts' opinions, polls, and betting odds. In this paper, we propose a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-06 Jafar Habibi , Amir Fazelinia , Issa Annamoradnejad

We show that the Brier game of prediction is mixable and find the optimal learning rate and substitution function for it. The resulting prediction algorithm is applied to predict results of football and tennis matches. The theoretical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2009-11-02 Vladimir Vovk , Fedor Zhdanov

The Bradley-Terry model is widely used for the analysis of pairwise comparison data and, in essence, produces a ranking of the items under comparison. We embed the Bradley-Terry model within a stochastic block model, allowing items to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-06 Lapo Santi , Nial Friel

Sales pipeline analysis is fundamental to proactive management of an enterprize's sales pipeline and critical for business success. In particular, win propensity prediction, which involves quantitatively estimating the likelihood that…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2015-02-24 Junchi Yan , Min Gong , Changhua Sun , Jin Huang , Stephen M. Chu

This study employs Bayesian methodologies to explore the influence of player or positional factors in predicting the probability of a shot resulting in a goal, measured by the expected goals (xG) metric. Utilising publicly available data…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-01-14 Alexander Scholtes , Oktay Karakuş

This study proposes a statistically grounded framework for real-time win probability evaluation and player assessment in score-based team sports, based on minute-by-minute cumulative box-score data. We introduce a continuous dominance…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-02-24 Yasutaka Shimizu , Atsushi Yamanobe

We present a skill analysis with time series image data using data mining methods, focused on table tennis. We do not use body model, but use only hi-speed movies, from which time series data are obtained and analyzed using data mining…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2014-01-22 Toshiyuki Maeda , Masanori Fujii , Isao Hayashi