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Cricket is unarguably one of the most popular sports in the world. Predicting the outcome of a cricket match has become a fundamental problem as we are advancing in the field of machine learning. Multiple researchers have tried to predict…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-08-24 Harsh Mittal , Deepak Rikhari , Jitendra Kumar , Ashutosh Kumar Singh

We study a stochastic process that mimics single-game elimination tournaments. In our model, the outcome of each match is stochastic: the weaker player wins with upset probability q<=1/2, and the stronger player wins with probability 1-q.…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 E. Ben-Naim , S. Redner , F. Vazquez

In professional tennis, it is often acknowledged that the server has an initial advantage. Indeed, the majority of points are won by the server, making the serve one of the most important elements in this sport. In this paper, we focus on…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-09-10 Silvia Montagna , Vanessa Orani , Raffaele Argiento

We consider the problem of ranking objects from noisy pairwise comparisons, for example, ranking tennis players from the outcomes of matches. We follow a standard approach to this problem and assume that each object has an unobserved…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-12-18 Daniel Sánchez Catalina , George T. Cantwell

Despite growing interest in quantifying and modeling the scoring dynamics within professional sports games, relative little is known about what patterns or principles, if any, cut across different sports. Using a comprehensive data set of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-03-24 Sears Merritt , Aaron Clauset

Predicting player behavior in strategic games, especially complex ones like chess, presents a significant challenge. The difficulty arises from several factors. First, the sheer number of potential outcomes stemming from even a single…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-09 Benny Skidanov , Daniel Erbesfeld , Gera Weiss , Achiya Elyasaf

Predicting athletes' performance has relied mostly on statistical data. Besides the traditional data, various types of data, including video, have become available. However, it is challenging to use them for deep learning, especially when…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2023-04-07 Jaeyoun You , Jinhan Choi , Ho-Jae Shin , Bongwon Suh

As the technology advances, an ample amount of data is collected in sports with the help of advanced sensors. Sports Analytics is the study of this data to provide a constructive advantage to the team and its players. The game of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-05 Rahul Chakwate , Madhan R A

Inspired by applications in sports where the skill of players or teams competing against each other varies over time, we propose a probabilistic model of pairwise-comparison outcomes that can capture a wide range of time dynamics. We…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-20 Lucas Maystre , Victor Kristof , Matthias Grossglauser

We show that information on the first server influences the expected total number of games and margin in a tennis match under the standard assumption that each player's serve point win probability remains constant, and identify the exact…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-07 Ali Mohammadi

This paper proposes a model to predict the outcome of the March Madness tournament based on historical NCAA basketball data since 2013. The framework of this project is a simplification of the FiveThrityEight NCAA March Madness prediction…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-03-31 Christian McIver , Karla Avalos , Nikhil Nayak

Many popular sports involve matches between two teams or players where each team have the possibility of scoring points throughout the match. While the overall match winner and result is interesting, it conveys little information about the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-12-23 Claus Thorn Ekstrøm , Andreas Kryger Jensen

Traditional NBA player evaluation metrics are based on scoring differential or some pace-adjusted linear combination of box score statistics like points, rebounds, assists, etc. These measures treat performances with the outcome of the game…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-09-21 Sameer K. Deshpande , Shane T. Jensen

Value functions are used in sports applications to determine the optimal action players should employ. However, most literature implicitly assumes that the player can perform the prescribed action with known and fixed probability of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-10-05 Timothy C. Y. Chan , Douglas S. Fearing , Craig Fernandes , Stephanie Kovalchik

Biathlon is a unique winter sport that combines precision rifle marksmanship with the endurance demands of cross-country skiing. We develop a Bayesian hierarchical model to predict and understand shooting performance using data from the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-11-05 Manuele Leonelli

The use of statistical methods in sport analytics has gained a rapidly growing interest over the last decade, and nowadays is common practice. In particular, the interest in understanding and predicting an athlete's performance throughout…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-21 Patric Dolmeta , Raffaele Argiento , Silvia Montagna

Patterns of wins and losses in pairwise contests, such as occur in sports and games, consumer research and paired comparison studies, and human and animal social hierarchies, are commonly analyzed using probabilistic models that allow one…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-11-03 Maximilian Jerdee , M. E. J. Newman

This paper proposes a novel methodological framework for analyzing momentum effects in tennis singles. To statistically substantiate the existence of momentum, we employ Chi-squared independence tests for the contingency table. Assuming…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-09-03 Chang Du , Caiya Zhang , Likai Zhou

In the competitive realm of sports, optimal performance necessitates rigorous management of nutrition and physical conditioning. Specifically, in badminton, the agility and precision required make it an ideal candidate for motion analysis…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2024-03-15 Dhruv Toshniwal , Arpit Patil , Nancy Vachhani

What factors contribute to the success of national teams in the Men's Ice Hockey World Championships and the Men's Ice Hockey World Junior Championships? This study examines whether hosting the tournament provides a home advantage; the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-05-27 Vladimír Holý