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We have developed a sophisticated statistical model for predicting the hitting performance of Major League baseball players. The Bayesian paradigm provides a principled method for balancing past performance with crucial covariates, such as…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-07-21 Shane T. Jensen , Blake McShane , Abraham J. Wyner

With the rapid development of electronic science and technology, the research on wearable devices is constantly updated, but for now, it is not comprehensive for wearable devices to recognize and analyze the movement of specific sports.…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-09-15 Zhuo-yong Shi , Ye-tao Jia , Ke-xin Zhang , Ding-han Wang , Long-meng Ji , Yong Wu

The standard mathematical approach to fourth-down decision making in American football is to make the decision that maximizes estimated win probability. Win probability estimates arise from machine learning models fit from historical data.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-02-03 Ryan S. Brill , Ronald Yurko , Abraham J. Wyner

Predicting the outcome of sports events is a hard task. We quantify this difficulty with a coefficient that measures the distance between the observed final results of sports leagues and idealized perfectly balanced competitions in terms of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-11-27 Raquel YS Aoki , Renato M Assuncao , Pedro OS Vaz de Melo

Gauging an individual's skill level is crucial, as it inherently shapes their behavior. Quantifying skill, however, is challenging because it is latent to the observed actions. To explore skill understanding in human behavior, we focus on…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-03-27 Akihiro Kubota , Tomoya Hasegawa , Ryo Kawahara , Ko Nishino

Poker is a challenging problem for artificial intelligence, with non-deterministic dynamics, partial observability, and the added difficulty of unknown adversaries. Modelling all of the uncertainties in this domain is not an easy task. In…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2012-07-09 Finnegan Southey , Michael P. Bowling , Bryce Larson , Carmelo Piccione , Neil Burch , Darse Billings , Chris Rayner

The question of how people vote strategically under uncertainty has attracted much attention in several disciplines. Theoretical decision models have been proposed which vary in their assumptions on the sophistication of the voters and on…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2018-05-22 Roy Fairstein , Adam Lauz , Kobi Gal , Reshef Meir

Cricket betting is a multi-billion dollar market. Therefore, there is a strong incentive for models that can predict the outcomes of games and beat the odds provided by bookers. The aim of this study was to investigate to what degree it is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-11-19 Stylianos Kampakis , William Thomas

In tennis tournaments, momentum, a critical yet elusive phenomenon, reflects the dynamic shifts in performance of athletes that can decisively influence match outcomes. Despite its significance, momentum in terms of effective modeling and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-30 Ruijie Li , Xiang Zhao , Qiao Ning , Shikai Guo

Competition is a primary driver of player satisfaction and engagement in multiplayer online games. Traditional matchmaking systems aim at creating matches involving teams of similar aggregated individual skill levels, such as Elo score or…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-06-25 Sofia M Nikolakaki , Ogheneovo Dibie , Ahmad Beirami , Nicholas Peterson , Navid Aghdaie , Kazi Zaman

An increasing number of domains are providing us with detailed trace data on human decisions in settings where we can evaluate the quality of these decisions via an algorithm. Motivated by this development, an emerging line of work has…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2016-06-17 Ashton Anderson , Jon Kleinberg , Sendhil Mullainathan

We present an extensive statistical analysis of the results of all sports competitions in five major sports leagues in England and the United States. We characterize the parity among teams by the variance in the winning fraction from…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2007-05-23 E. Ben-Naim , F. Vazquez , S. Redner

Statistical modelling of sports data has become more and more popular in the recent years and different types of models have been proposed to achieve a variety of objectives: from identifying the key characteristics which lead a team to win…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-11-21 Andrea Gabrio

Predicting performance outcomes has the potential to transform training approaches, inform coaching strategies, and deepen our understanding of the factors that contribute to athletic success. Traditional non-automated data analysis in…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2025-09-12 Melik Ozolcer , Tongze Zhang , Sang Won Bae

The increasing use of artificial intelligence (AI) technology in turn-based sports, such as badminton, has sparked significant interest in evaluating strategies through the analysis of match video data. Predicting future shots based on past…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-04-09 Minwoo Seong , Jeongseok Oh , SeungJun Kim

Our objective is to find the five best college sports coaches of past century for three different sports. We decided to look at men's basketball, football, and baseball. We wanted to use an approach that could definitively determine team…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-04-11 Tian-Shun Jiang , Zachary Polizzi , Christopher Yuan

We introduce a novel method for collecting table tennis video data and perform stroke detection and classification. A diverse dataset containing video data of 11 basic strokes obtained from 14 professional table tennis players, summing up…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-06-02 Kaustubh Milind Kulkarni , Sucheth Shenoy

In this work, the novel task of detecting and classifying table tennis strokes solely using the ball trajectory has been explored. A single camera setup positioned in the umpire's view has been employed to procure a dataset consisting of…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-02-21 Kaustubh Milind Kulkarni , Rohan S Jamadagni , Jeffrey Aaron Paul , Sucheth Shenoy

Fantasy Premier League (FPL) performance predictors tend to base their algorithms purely on historical statistical data. The main problems with this approach is that external factors such as injuries, managerial decisions and other…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-17 Nicholas Bonello , Joeran Beel , Seamus Lawless , Jeremy Debattista

AI research in chess has been primarily focused on producing stronger agents that can maximize the probability of winning. However, there is another aspect to chess that has largely gone unexamined: its aesthetic appeal. Specifically, there…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-08-06 Kamron Zaidi , Michael Guerzhoy