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The purpose of this review is to present a comprehensive overview of the theory of ensemble Kalman-Bucy filtering for continuous-time, linear-Gaussian signal and observation models. We present a system of equations that describe the flow of…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-06-16 Adrian N. Bishop , Pierre Del Moral

Despite the numerous applications that may be expeditiously modelled by counting processes, stochastic filtering strategies involving Poisson-type observations still remain somewhat poorly developed. In this work, we propose a Monte Carlo…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-07-09 Mamatha Venugopal , Ram Mohan Vasu , Debasish Roy

We consider the problem of filtering dynamical systems, possibly stochastic, using observations of statistics. Thus, the computational task is to estimate a time-evolving density $\rho(v, t)$ given noisy observations of the true density…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-12 Eviatar Bach , Tim Colonius , Isabel Scherl , Andrew Stuart

The filtering distribution captures the statistics of the state of a dynamical system from partial and noisy observations. Classical particle filters provably approximate this distribution in quite general settings; however they behave…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-02-10 Edoardo Calvello , Pierre Monmarché , Andrew M. Stuart , Urbain Vaes

We present recent results on the existence of a continuous time limit for Ensemble Kalman Filter algorithms. In the setting of continuous signal and observation processes, we apply the original Ensemble Kalman Filter algorithm proposed by…

概率论 · 数学 2020-12-08 Theresa Lange , Wilhelm Stannat

The empirical measure of an interacting particle system is a purely atomic random probability measure. In the limit as the number of particles grows to infinity, we show for McKean-Vlasov systems with common noise that this measure becomes…

概率论 · 数学 2025-09-01 Robert Alexander Crowell

In this paper we introduce a novel particle filter scheme for a class of partially-observed multivariate diffusions. %continuous-time dynamic models where the %signal is given by a multivariate diffusion process. We consider a variety of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2007-10-24 Paul Fearnhead , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Gareth Roberts

The success of the ensemble Kalman filter has triggered a strong interest in expanding its scope beyond classical state estimation problems. In this paper, we focus on continuous-time data assimilation where the model and measurement errors…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-06-26 Nikolas Nüsken , Sebastian Reich , Paul J. Rozdeba

Particle flow filters solve Bayesian inference problems by smoothly transforming a set of particles into samples from the posterior distribution. Particles move in state space under the flow of an McKean-Vlasov-Ito process. This work…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-05-02 Amit N Subrahmanya , Andrey A Popov , Adrian Sandu

The Ensemble Kalman filter is a sophisticated and powerful data assimilation method for filtering high dimensional problems arising in fluid mechanics and geophysical sciences. This Monte Carlo method can be interpreted as a mean-field…

概率论 · 数学 2016-10-04 Pierre Del Moral , Julian Tugaut

Various particle filters have been proposed over the last couple of decades with the common feature that the update step is governed by a type of control law. This feature makes them an attractive alternative to traditional sequential Monte…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-11-18 Sahani Pathiraja , Sebastian Reich , Wilhelm Stannat

Despite the widespread usage of discrete generation Ensemble Kalman particle filtering methodology to solve nonlinear and high dimensional filtering and inverse problems, little is known about their mathematical foundations. As genetic-type…

概率论 · 数学 2021-07-06 Pierre del Moral , Emma Horton

An approximation to the solution of a stochastic parabolic equation is constructed using the Galerkin approximation followed by the Wiener Chaos decomposition. The result is applied to the nonlinear filtering problem for the time…

概率论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Sergey V. Lototsky

In this paper, an alternative approximation to the innovation method is introduced for the parameter estimation of diffusion processes from partial and noisy observations. This is based on a convergent approximation to the first two…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2013-12-19 J. C. Jimenez

Data assimilation provides algorithms for widespread applications in various fields. It is of practical use to deal with a large amount of information in the complex system that is hard to estimate. Weather forecasting is one of the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-03-23 Yihua Yang

The method of potential solutions of Fokker-Planck equations is used to develop a transport equation for the joint probability of N coupled stochastic variables with the Dirichlet distribution as its asymptotic solution. To ensure a bounded…

数学物理 · 物理学 2013-03-05 J. Bakosi , J. R. Ristorcelli

Real-time nonlinear Bayesian filtering algorithms are overwhelmed by data volume, velocity and increasing complexity of computational models. In this paper, we propose a novel ensemble based nonlinear Bayesian filtering approach which only…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-06-05 Xiao Lin , Gabriel Terejanu

Quantitative evaluations of differences and/or similarities between data samples define and shape optimisation problems associated with learning data distributions. Current methods to compare data often suffer from limitations in capturing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-23 Deborah Pelacani Cruz , George Strong , Oscar Bates , Carlos Cueto , Jiashun Yao , Lluis Guasch

Discrete diffusion models have gained increasing attention for their ability to model complex distributions with tractable sampling and inference. However, the error analysis for discrete diffusion models remains less well-understood. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-04 Yinuo Ren , Haoxuan Chen , Grant M. Rotskoff , Lexing Ying

Two types of random evolution processes are studied for ensembles of the standard map with driving parameter $K$ that determines its degree of stochasticity. For one type of processes the parameter $K$ is chosen at random from a Gaussian…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2015-10-28 Or Alus , Shmuel Fishman
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