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Compartmental models have long served as important tools in mathematical epidemiology, with their usefulness highlighted by the recent COVID-19 pandemic. However, most of the classical models fail to account for certain features of this…

动力系统 · 数学 2023-08-21 Monique Chyba , Taylor Klotz , Yuriy Mileyko , Corey Shanbrom

We consider the control of the COVID-19 pandemic through a standard SIR compartmental model. This control is induced by the aggregation of individuals' decisions to limit their social interactions: when the epidemic is ongoing, an…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-06-22 Romuald Elie , Emma Hubert , Gabriel Turinici

The SIQR model is reformulated where compartments for infected and quarantined are redefined so as to be appropriate to COVID-19, and exact properties of the model are presented. It is shown that the maximum number of infected at large…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-12-30 Takashi Odagaki

This study assesses the impact of COVID-19 vaccines through an epidemiological model that quantifies their role in pandemic control. We analyze an SIR-based model incorporating vaccination effects and calculate the basic reproduction…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-07-29 Tesfalem Abate Tegegn , Yibeltal Adane Terefe

In this article, we construct an age-structured model for COVID-19 with vaccination and analyze it from multiple perspectives. We derive the unique disease-free equilibrium point and the basic reproduction number $ \mathscr{R}_0 $, then we…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-07-09 Ruiyang Zhou , Fengying Wei

In this paper, a generalized fractional-order SEIR model is proposed, denoted by SEIQRP model, which has a basic guiding significance for the prediction of the possible outbreak of infectious diseases like COVID-19 and other insect diseases…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-04-30 Conghui Xu , Yongguang Yu , QuanChen Yang , Zhenzhen Lu

This paper introduces a spatiotemporal SEIQR epidemic model governed by a system of reaction-diffusion partial differential equations that incorporates optimal control strategies. The model captures the transmission dynamics of an…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-07-29 Achraf Zinihi , Matthias Ehrhardt , Moulay Rchid Sidi Ammi

We consider the SEIRS epidemiology model with such features of the COVID-19 outbreak as: abundance of unidentified infected individuals, limited time of immunity and a possibility of vaccination. The control of the pandemic dynamics is…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-03-31 J. Ilnytskyi , T. Patsahan

We consider the $SEIRS$ epidemiology model with such features of the COVID-19 outbreak as: abundance of unidentified infected individuals, limited time of immunity and a possibility of vaccination. Within a compartmental realization of this…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-12-07 Jaroslav Ilnytskyi , Taras Patsahan

In this work, we develop a spatial SEIAR-type epidemic model considering a quarantined population (denoted as Q), which we call the SQEIAR model. The dynamics of the SQEIAR model are described by six Partial Differential Equations (PDEs)…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-01-27 Elghandouri Mohammed , Ezzinbi Khalil , Youness Mezzan

Social distancing has been enacted in order to mitigate the spread of COVID-19. Like many authors, we adopt the classic epidemic SIR model, where the infection rate is the control variable. Its differential flatness property yields ele…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-10-05 Michel Fliess , Cédric Join , Alberto d'Onofrio

India is one of the worst affected countries by the Covid-19 pandemic at present. We studied publicly available data of the Covid-19 patients in India and analyzed possible impacts of quarantine and social distancing within the stochastic…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-06-12 Athokpam Langlen Chanu , R. K. Brojen Singh

The aim of this study is to propose a modified Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Removed (SEIR) model that describes the behaviour of symptomatic, asymptomatic and hospitalized patients of COVID-19 epidemic, including the effect of demographic…

COVID-19 will be a continuous threat to human population despite having a few vaccines at hand until we reach the endemic state through natural herd immunity and total immunization through universal vaccination. However, the vaccine acts as…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-08-26 V. R. Saiprasad , R. Gopal , V. K. Chandrasekar , M. Lakshmanan

In this paper, we propose a dynamical model to describe the transmission of COVID-19, which is spreading in China and many other countries. To avoid a larger outbreak in the worldwide, Chinese government carried out a series of strong…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-03-09 Jiwei Jia , Jian Ding , Siyu Liu , Guidong Liao , Jingzhi Li , Ben Duan , Guoqing Wang , Ran Zhang

The Covid-19 outbreak of 2020 has required many governments to develop and adopt mathematical-statistical models of the pandemic for policy and planning purposes. To this end, this work provides a tutorial on building a compartmental model…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-09-13 Elizabeth B Amona , Ryad A Ghanam , Edward L Boone , Indranil Sahoo , Laith J Abu-Raddad

We consider the SEIRS compartment epidemiology model suitable for predicting the evolution of the COVID-19 pandemy in the extreme limiting case of no acquired immunity. The disease-free and endemic fixed points are found and their stability…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-12-15 J. M. Ilnytskyi

Within a short period of time, COVID-19 grew into a world-wide pandemic. Transmission by pre-symptomatic and asymptomatic viral carriers rendered intervention and containment of the disease extremely challenging. Based on reported infection…

A pandemic, the worldwide spread of a disease, can threaten human beings from the social as well as biological perspectives and paralyze existing living habits. To stave off the more devastating disaster and return to a normal life, people…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-07-25 Gyeong Hwan Jang , Sung Jin Kim , Mi Jin Lee , Seung-Woo Son

Motivated by the increasing number of COVID-19 cases that have been observed in many countries after the vaccination and relaxation of non-pharmaceutical interventions, we propose a mathematical model on time-varying networks for the spread…

动力系统 · 数学 2022-03-09 Kathinka Frieswijk , Lorenzo Zino , Ming Cao
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