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We consider a variant of sequential testing by betting where, at each time step, the statistician is presented with multiple data sources (arms) and obtains data by choosing one of the arms. We consider the composite global null hypothesis…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-19 Ricardo J. Sandoval , Ian Waudby-Smith , Michael I. Jordan

Sequential parallel comparison design (SPCD) clinical trials aim to adjust active treatment effect estimates for placebo response to minimize the impact of placebo responders on the estimates. This is potentially accomplished using a two…

Applied researchers in biomedicine and related fields are often interested in estimating the causal effect of a treatment or intervention. Although randomized clinical trials are considered the gold standard for establishing causal effects,…

A simple and common type of medical research involves the comparison of one treatment against another. The logical aim should be both to establish which treatment is superior and the strength of evidence supporting this conclusion, a task…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-08 Nicholas Adams

Sequential search models provide a powerful framework for studying consumer search using rich data that records the sequence of consumer actions taken during the search process. In existing empirical applications, their implementation often…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-05 Tinghan Zhang

It has been recently shown that e-processes are sufficient for sequential testing in the following sense: every level-$\alpha$ sequential test can be obtained by thresholding an e-process at $1/\alpha$. However, in the above result, neither…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-14 Ashwin Ram , Aaditya Ramdas

The paper addresses a sequential changepoint detection problem, assuming that the duration of change may be finite and unknown. This problem is of importance for many applications, e.g., for signal and image processing where signals appear…

We consider the sequential anomaly detection problem in the one-class setting when only the anomalous sequences are available and propose an adversarial sequential detector by solving a minimax problem to find an optimal detector against…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-04-07 Shixiang Zhu , Henry Shaowu Yuchi , Minghe Zhang , Yao Xie

The test-negative design has become popular for evaluating the effectiveness of post-licensure vaccines using observational data. In addition to its logistical convenience on data collection, the design is also believed to control for the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-15 Soumyabrata Kundu , Peng Ding , Jingshu Wang , Xinran Li

Randomized clinical trials are considered the gold standard for estimating causal effects. Nevertheless, in studies that are aimed at examining adverse effects of interventions, such trials are often impractical because of ethical and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-20 Anthony D. Scotina , Andrew R. Zullo , Robert J. Smith , Roee Gutman

Many policies involve dynamics in their treatment assignments, where individuals receive sequential interventions over multiple stages. We study estimation of an optimal dynamic treatment regime that guides the optimal treatment assignment…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-09-04 Shosei Sakaguchi

In Anscombe's classical model, the objective is to find the optimal sequential rule for learning about the difference between two alternative treatments and subsequently selecting the superior one. The population for which the procedure is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-12-18 Sebastian Jobjörnsson , Sören Christensen

We consider the problem of detecting an odd process among a group of Poisson point processes, all having the same rate except the odd process. The actual rates of the odd and non-odd processes are unknown to the decision maker. We consider…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2015-09-24 Nidhin Koshy Vaidhiyan , Rajesh Sundaresan

It is commonly required to detect change points in sequences of random variables. In the most difficult setting of this problem, change detection must be performed sequentially with new observations being constantly received over time.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-05-08 Gordon J Ross

During the course of an epidemic, one of the most challenging tasks for authorities is to decide what kind of restrictive measures to introduce and when these should be enforced. In order to take informed decisions in a fully rational…

Side effects of prescribed medications are a common occurrence. Electronic healthcare databases present the opportunity to identify new side effects efficiently but currently the methods are limited due to confounding (i.e. when an…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2016-11-17 Jenna M. Reps , Uwe Aickelin , Jiangang Ma , Yanchun Zhang

The aim of sequential change-point detection is to issue an alarm when it is thought that certain probabilistic properties of the monitored observations have changed. This work is concerned with nonparametric, closed-end testing procedures…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-27 Ivan Kojadinovic , Ghislain Verdier

The design of multiple experiments is commonly undertaken via suboptimal strategies, such as batch (open-loop) design that omits feedback or greedy (myopic) design that does not account for future effects. This paper introduces new…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-04-29 Xun Huan , Youssef M. Marzouk

This thesis considers sequential decision problems, where the loss/reward incurred by selecting an action may not be inferred from observed feedback. A major part of this thesis focuses on the unsupervised sequential selection problem,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-23 Arun Verma

Detection of interactions between treatment effects and patient descriptors in clinical trials is critical for optimizing the drug development process. The increasing volume of data accumulated in clinical trials provides a unique…