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This paper concerns sequential hypothesis testing in competitive multi-agent systems where agents exchange potentially manipulated information. Specifically, a two-agent scenario is studied where each agent aims to correctly infer the true…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-04-04 Aneesh Raghavan , M. Umar B. Niazi , Karl H. Johansson

We consider a dose-optimization design for first-in-human oncology trial that aims to identify a suitable dose for late-phase drug development. The proposed approach, called the Pharmacometrics-Enabled DOse OPtimization (PEDOOP) design,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-06-19 Shijie Yuan , Zhanbo Huang , Jiaxin Liu , Yuan Ji

The proximal causal inference framework enables the identification and estimation of causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding by leveraging two disjoint sets of observed strong proxies: negative control treatments and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-16 Antonio Olivas-Martinez , Peter B. Gilbert , Andrea Rotnitzky

Big longitudinal observational medical data potentially hold a wealth of information and have been recognised as potential sources for gaining new drug safety knowledge. Unfortunately there are many complexities and underlying issues when…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2016-07-22 Jenna Marie Reps , Jonathan M. Garibaldi , Uwe Aickelin , Jack E. Gibson , Richard B. Hubbard

The problem of detection and possible estimation of a signal generated by a dynamic system when a variable number of noisy measurements can be taken is here considered. Assuming a Markov evolution of the system (in particular, the pair…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2022-05-12 Emanuele Grossi , Marco Lops

A key objective in vaccine studies is to evaluate vaccine-induced immunogenicity and determine whether participants have mounted a response to the vaccine. Cellular immune responses are essential for assessing vaccine-induced…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-10 Zhe Chen , Siyu Heng , Asa Tapley , Stephen De Rosa , Bo Zhang

Flexible estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects lies at the heart of many statistical challenges, such as personalized medicine and optimal resource allocation. In this paper, we develop a general class of two-step algorithms for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-08-07 Xinkun Nie , Stefan Wager

Group sequential designs (GSDs) are well established and the most commonly used adaptive design in confirmatory clinical trials with interim analyses. However, they remain underutilised, and their implementation involves unique theoretical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-09 Zhangyi He , Suzie Cro , Laurent Billot

Accurately and efficiently diagnosing Post-Acute Sequelae of COVID-19 (PASC) remains challenging due to its myriad symptoms that evolve over long- and variable-time intervals. To address this issue, we developed a hybrid natural language…

Sequential likelihood ratio testing is found to be most powerful in sequential studies with early stopping rules when grouped data come from the one-parameter exponential family. First, to obtain this elusive result, the probability measure…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-28 Sergey Tarima , Nancy Flournoy

We study the $(\varepsilon, \delta)$-PAC policy identification problem in finite-horizon episodic Markov Decision Processes. Existing approaches provide finite-time guarantees for approximate settings ($\varepsilon>0$) but suffer from high…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-06 Cyrille Kone , Kevin Jamieson

Real-world vaccine effectiveness has increasingly been studied using matching-based approaches, particularly in observational cohort studies following the target trial emulation framework. Although matching is appealing in its simplicity,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-07 Emily Wu , Elizabeth Rogawski McQuade , Mats Stensrud , Razieh Nabi , David Benkeser

An objective of phase I dose-finding trials is to find the maximum tolerated dose; the dose with a particular risk of toxicity. Frequently, this risk is assessed across the first cycle of therapy. However, in oncology, a course of treatment…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-05-03 Helen Barnett , Oliver Boix , Dimintris Kontos , Thomas Jaki

We consider an evolving system for which a sequence of observations is being made, with each observation revealing additional information about current and past states of the system. We suppose each observation is made without error, but…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-03-10 Valentina Di Marco , Jonathan Keith

In this paper, we address the problem of detecting anomalies among a given set of binary processes via learning-based controlled sensing. Each process is parameterized by a binary random variable indicating whether the process is anomalous.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-04 Geethu Joseph , Chen Zhong , M. Cenk Gursoy , Senem Velipasalar , Pramod K. Varshney

We first review existing sequential methods for estimating a binomial proportion. Afterward, we propose a new family of group sequential sampling schemes for estimating a binomial proportion with prescribed margin of error and confidence…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-11-05 Zhengjia Chen , Xinjia Chen

Background: Phase I trials desire to identify the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) early and proceed quickly to an expansion cohort or phase II trial for efficacy. We propose an early completion method based on multiple dosages to accelerate…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2021-10-04 Masahiro Kojima

Existing sequential generalized estimating equation methodology for longitudinal and group-correlated data focuses on narrow hypotheses concerning treatment efficacy and often makes modeling assumptions that impede the desirable robustness…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-16 Nathan T. Provost , Abdus S. Wahed

The goal of sequential event prediction is to estimate the next event based on a sequence of historical events, with applications to sequential recommendation, user behavior analysis and clinical treatment. In practice, the next-event…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-18 Chenxiao Yang , Qitian Wu , Qingsong Wen , Zhiqiang Zhou , Liang Sun , Junchi Yan

Many approaches for multiple testing begin with the assumption that all tests in a given study should be combined into a global false-discovery-rate analysis. But this may be inappropriate for many of today's large-scale screening problems,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-06-10 James G. Scott , Ryan C. Kelly , Matthew A. Smith , Pengcheng Zhou , Robert E. Kass
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