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Bilateral markets, such as those for government bonds, involve decentralized and opaque transactions between market makers (MMs) and clients, posing significant challenges for traditional modeling approaches. To address these complexities,…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2025-03-05 Alicia Vidler , Toby Walsh

The liberalization of electricity markets and the development of renewable energy sources has led to new challenges for decision makers. These challenges are accompanied by an increasing uncertainty about future electricity price movements.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-09-12 Florian Ziel , Rick Steinert

Short-term industrial enterprises power system forecasting is an important issue for both load control and machine protection. Scientists focus on load forecasting but ignore other valuable electric-meters which should provide guidance of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-04 Xiaoqiao Chen

This paper deals with the market-bidding problem of a cluster of price-responsive consumers of electricity. We develop an inverse optimization scheme that, recast as a bilevel programming problem, uses price-consumption data to estimate the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-11-04 Javier Saez-Gallego , Juan M. Morales , Marco Zugno , Henrik Madsen

The paper proposes a computationally efficient electricity market simulation tool (MST) suitable for future grid scenario analysis. The market model is based on a unit commitment (UC) problem and takes into account the uptake of emerging…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-06-13 Shariq Riaz , Gregor Verbic , Archie C. Chapman

Market making is a fundamental trading problem in which an agent provides liquidity by continually offering to buy and sell a security. The problem is challenging due to inventory risk, the risk of accumulating an unfavourable position and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-04-13 Thomas Spooner , John Fearnley , Rahul Savani , Andreas Koukorinis

Bidding strategies that help advertisers determine bidding prices are receiving increasing attention as more and more ad impressions are sold through real-time bidding systems. This paper first describes the problem and challenges of…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2022-12-06 Mengjuan Liu , Zhengning Hu , Zhi Lai , Daiwei Zheng , Xuyun Nie

Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated remarkable capabilities in natural language tasks, yet their performance in dynamic, real-world financial environments remains underexplored. Existing approaches are limited to historical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-03 Tianmi Ma , Jiawei Du , Wenxin Huang , Wenjie Wang , Liang Xie , Xian Zhong , Joey Tianyi Zhou

We develop a bidding strategy for a hybrid power plant combining co-located wind turbines and an electrolyzer, constructing a price-quantity bidding curve for the day-ahead electricity market while optimally scheduling hydrogen production.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-03-27 Yannick Heiser , Farzaneh Pourahmadi , Jalal Kazempour

In electronic trading markets often only the price or volume time series, that result from interaction of multiple market participants, are directly observable. In order to test trading strategies before deploying them to real-time trading,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-03 Victor Storchan , Svitlana Vyetrenko , Tucker Balch

In an electric power system, demand fluctuations may result in significant ancillary cost to suppliers. Furthermore, in the near future, deep penetration of volatile renewable electricity generation is expected to exacerbate the variability…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2012-07-13 John N. Tsitsiklis , Yunjian Xu

Agent-based modeling is a powerful simulation technique to understand the collective behavior and microscopic interaction in complex financial systems. Recently, the concept for determining the key parameters of the agent-based models from…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2017-03-21 T. T. Chen , B. Zheng , Y. Li , X. F. Jiang

The ATLAS model simulates the various stages of the electricity market chain in Europe, including the formulation of offers by different market actors, the coupling of European markets, strategic optimization of production portfolios and,…

This paper introduces and rationalizes a new model for bidding and clearing energy storage resources in wholesale energy markets. Charge and discharge bids in this model depend on the storage state-of-charge (SoC). In this setting, storage…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-01-27 Ningkun Zheng , Xin Qin , Di Wu , Gabe Murtaugh , Bolun Xu

We assume the market price to diffuse in a hierarchical comb of barriers, the heights of which represent the importance of new information entering the market. We find fat tails with the desired exponent for the price change distribution,…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Christian Schulze

A smart grid connects wind or solar or storage farms, fossil fuel plants, industrialor commercial loads, or load serving entities, modeled as stochastic dynamical systems. In each time period, they consume or supply electrical energy, with…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-06-30 Rahul Singh , P. R. Kumar , Le Xie

We analyze the efficiency of markets with friction, particularly power markets. We model the market as a dynamic system with $(d_t;\,t\geq 0)$ the demand process and $(s_t;\,t\geq 0)$ the supply process. Using stochastic differential…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2011-09-19 Arman C. Kizilkale , Shie Mannor

Thermodynamic selection is an indirect competition between agents feeding on the same energy resource and obeying the laws of thermodynamics. We examine scenarios of this selection, where the agent is modeled as a heat-engine coupled to two…

统计力学 · 物理学 2022-05-18 S. G. Babajanyan , E. V. Koonin , A. E. Allahverdyan

We propose and analyze a day-ahead reserve market model that handles bids from flexible loads. This pool market model takes into account the fact that a load modulation in one direction must usually be compensated later by a modulation of…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2014-05-28 Sébastien Mathieu , Quentin Louveaux , Damien Ernst , Bertrand Cornélusse

This paper develops a machine learning-driven portfolio optimization framework for virtual bidding in electricity markets considering both risk constraint and price sensitivity. The algorithmic trading strategy is developed from the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-08 Yinglun Li , Nanpeng Yu , Wei Wang