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This paper introduces CryptoAnalytics, a software toolkit for cryptocoins price forecasting with machine learning (ML) techniques. Cryptocoins are tradable digital assets exchanged for specific trading prices. While history has shown the…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-09-09 Pasquale De Rosa , Pascal Felber , Valerio Schiavoni

Cryptocurrency markets present unique prediction challenges due to their extreme volatility, 24/7 operation, and hypersensitivity to news events, with existing approaches suffering from key information extraction and poor sideways market…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-10-10 Kairan Hong , Jinling Gan , Qiushi Tian , Yanglinxuan Guo , Rui Guo , Runnan Li

A decade long thrive of cryptocurrency has shown its potential as a source of alternative-finance and the security and the robustness of the underpinning blockchain technology. However, most cryptocurrencies fail to show inimitability and…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2020-03-24 Yibin Xu , Yangyu Huang , Jianhua Shao

We propose factor models for the cross-section of daily cryptoasset returns and provide source code for data downloads, computing risk factors and backtesting them out-of-sample. In "cryptoassets" we include all cryptocurrencies and a host…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2019-04-23 Zura Kakushadze

The research delves into the capabilities of a transformer-based neural network for Ethereum cryptocurrency price forecasting. The experiment runs around the hypothesis that cryptocurrency prices are strongly correlated with other…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-17 Shubham Singh , Mayur Bhat

In relation to the traditional financial markets, the cryptocurrency market is a recent invention and the trading dynamics of all its components are readily recorded and stored. This fact opens up a unique opportunity to follow the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-05-11 Stanisław Drożdż , Jarosław Kwapień , Marcin Wątorek

The cryptocurrency market is a very huge market without effective supervision. It is of great importance for investors and regulators to recognize whether there are market manipulation and its manipulation patterns. This paper proposes an…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2019-02-07 Weili Chen , Jun Wu , Zibin Zheng , Chuan Chen , Yuren Zhou

In the Bitcoin system, transaction fees serve as an incentive for blockchain confirmations. In general, a transaction with a higher fee is likely to be included in the next block mined, whereas a transaction with a smaller fee or no fee may…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2024-05-27 Limeng Zhang , Rui Zhou , Qing Liu , Chengfei Liu , M. Ali Babar

This paper surveys products and studies on cryptoeconomics and tokenomics from an economic perspective, as these terms are still (i) ill-defined and (ii) disconnected from economic disciplines. We first suggest that they can be novel when…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2024-07-23 Kensuke Ito

Bitcoin, as one of the most popular cryptocurrency, is recently attracting much attention of investors. Bitcoin price prediction task is consequently a rising academic topic for providing valuable insights and suggestions. Existing bitcoin…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-08-25 Xiao Li , Weili Wu

Quantum theory is used to model secondary financial markets. Contrary to stochastic descriptions, the formalism emphasizes the importance of trading in determining the value of a security. All possible realizations of investors holding…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Martin Schaden

Two of the most important technological advancements currently underway are the advent of quantum technologies, and the transitioning of global financial systems towards cryptographic assets, notably blockchain-based cryptocurrencies and…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2021-02-02 Peter P. Rohde , Vijay Mohan , Sinclair Davidson , Chris Berg , Darcy Allen , Gavin K. Brennen , Jason Potts

We give an algorithm and source code for a cryptoasset statistical arbitrage alpha based on a mean-reversion effect driven by the leading momentum factor in cryptoasset returns discussed in https://ssrn.com/abstract=3245641. Using empirical…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2019-04-04 Zura Kakushadze , Willie Yu

The value of an asset in a financial market is given in terms of another asset known as numeraire. The dynamics of the value is non-stationary and hence, to quantify the relationships between different assets, one requires convenient…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-06-26 Lasko Basnarkov , Viktor Stojkoski , Zoran Utkovski , Ljupco Kocarev

We analyze tick data of yen-dollar exchange with a focus on its up and down movement. We show that there exists a rather particular conditional probability structure with such high frequency data. This result provides us with evidence to…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Toru Ohira , Naoya Sazuka , Kouhei Marumo , Tokiko Shimizu , Misako Takayasu , Hideki Takayasu

Centralized monetary policy, leading to persistent inflation, is often inconsistent, untrustworthy, and unpredictable. Algorithmic stablecoins enabled by blockchain technology are promising in solving this problem. Algorithmic stablecoins…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-01-17 Luyao Zhang , Yulin Liu

The energy consumption and related carbon emissions of cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin are subject to extensive discussion in public, academia, and industry. As cryptocurrencies continue their journey into mainstream finance, incentives to…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2023-03-21 Ulrich Gallersdörfer , Lena Klaaßen , Christian Stoll

Utilizing graph analytics and learning has proven to be an effective method for exploring aspects of crypto economics such as network effects, decentralization, tokenomics, and fraud detection. However, the majority of existing research…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-03-12 Bingqiao Luo

This research is to assess cryptocurrencies with the conditional beta, compared with prior studies based on unconditional beta or fixed beta. It is a new approach to building a pricing model for cryptocurrencies. Therefore, we expect that…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2020-10-27 Khanh Q. Nguyen

When network products and services become more valuable as their userbase grows (network effects), this tendency can become a major determinant of how they compete with each other in the market and how the market is structured. Network…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2021-01-18 Konstantinos Stylianou , Leonhard Spiegelberg , Maurice Herlihy , Nic Carter