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Ethereum is one of the most popular blockchain systems that supports more than half a million transactions every day and fosters miscellaneous decentralized applications with its Turing-complete smart contract machine. Whereas it remains…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-01-16 Qianlan Bai , Chao Zhang , Yuedong Xu , Xiaowei Chen , Xin Wang

We propose an ensemble method to improve the generalization performance of trading strategies trained by deep reinforcement learning algorithms in a highly stochastic environment of intraday cryptocurrency portfolio trading. We adopt a…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2023-09-06 Shuyang Wang , Diego Klabjan

This study examines the weak form of the efficient market hypothesis for Bitcoin using a feedforward neural network. Due to the increasing popularity of cryptocurrencies in recent years, the question has arisen, as to whether market…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-08-16 Mike Kraehenbuehl , Joerg Osterrieder

Our work presents two fundamental contributions. On the application side, we tackle the challenging problem of predicting day-ahead crypto-currency prices. On the methodological side, a new dynamical modeling approach is proposed. Our…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-11-28 Shalini Sharma , Angshul Majumdar , Emilie Chouzenoux , Victor Elvira

This study investigates the impact of data source diversity on the performance of cryptocurrency forecasting models by integrating various data categories, including technical indicators, on-chain metrics, sentiment and interest metrics,…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2025-07-16 Giorgos Demosthenous , Chryssis Georgiou , Eliada Polydorou

The objective of this paper is the construction of new indicators that can be useful to operate in the cryptocurrency market. These indicators are based on public data obtained from the blockchain network, specifically from the nodes that…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-03-05 Juan C. King , Roberto Dale , José M. Amigó

In this paper, we analyse the impacts of exogenous and endogenous factors on wealth distribution in the Bitcoin token economy, where wealth distribution refers to the distribution of BTC between economic participants or groups of economic…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2026-02-20 Rem Sadykhov , Geoff Goodell , Philip Treleaven

This research proposes a model for the intraday variation between the ETHBTC spot and the quotient of ETHUSDT and BTCUSDT traded on Binance. Under conditions of no-arbitrage, perfect accuracy and no microstructure effects, the variation…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2022-01-06 Sidharth Mallik

This paper presents a pioneering approach for simulation of economic activity, policy implementation, and pricing of goods in token economies. The paper proposes a formal analysis framework for wealth distribution analysis and simulation of…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2024-01-17 Rem Sadykhov , Geoffrey Goodell , Denis de Montigny , Martin Schoernig , Philip Treleaven

The aim of this paper is to reemphasize the money theory of exchange which is centered on the function of exchange medium of money, and make a contribution towards linearization of the quantity equation of exchange. A dynamical quantity…

经济学 · 定量金融 2020-04-28 Zhao Jianglin

Blockchain technology shows significant results and huge potential for serving as an interweaving fabric that goes through every industry and market, allowing decentralized and secure value exchange, thus connecting our civilization like…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2018-10-17 Zvezdin Besarabov , Todor Kolev

Currently, there is no consensus on the real properties of Bitcoin. The discussion comprises its use as a speculative or safe haven assets, while other authors argue that the augmented attractiveness could end accomplishing money's…

经济学 · 定量金融 2017-06-06 Obryan Poyser

This work aims to analyse the predictability of price movements of cryptocurrencies on both hourly and daily data observed from January 2017 to January 2021, using deep learning algorithms. For our experiments, we used three sets of…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-02-18 Marco Ortu , Nicola Uras , Claudio Conversano , Giuseppe Destefanis , Silvia Bartolucci

We outline a method to estimate the value of computation for a flexible algorithm using empirical data. To determine a reasonable trade-off between cost and value, we build an empirical model of the value obtained through computation, and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-30 Michael C. Horsch , David L. Poole

The properties of tokens within the Ethereum blockchain, such as their current prices, trade volumes, and potential future values, have been the subjects of numerous studies. Employing social networks and graphs, as powerful tools for…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2023-10-24 Aryan Soltani Mohammadi , Moein Karami , Amir Pasha Motamed , Behnam Bahrak

We propose a novel framework to analyse the velocity of money in terms of the contribution (MicroVelocity) of each individual agent, and to uncover the distributional determinants of aggregate velocity. Leveraging on complete publicly…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2023-05-04 Carlo Campajola , Marco D'Errico , Claudio J. Tessone

A central problem of Quantitative Finance is that of formulating a probabilistic model of the time evolution of asset prices allowing reliable predictions on their future volatility. As in several natural phenomena, the predictions of such…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2012-09-25 Fulvio Baldovin , Dario Bovina , Francesco Camana , Attilio L. Stella

We outline a token model for Truebit, a retrofitting, blockchain enhancement which enables secure, community-based computation. The model addresses the challenge of stable task pricing, as raised in the Truebit whitepaper, without appealing…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2019-08-09 Jason Teutsch , Sami Mäkelä , Surya Bakshi

Cryptocurrencies are distributed systems that allow exchanges of native tokens among participants, or the exchange of such tokens for fiat currencies in markets external to these public ledgers. The availability of their complete historical…

Estimating market impact and transaction costs of large trades (metaorders) is a very important topic in finance. However, using models of price and trade based on public market data provide average price trajectories which are…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2025-12-04 Manuel Naviglio , Giacomo Bormetti , Francesco Campigli , German Rodikov , Fabrizio Lillo