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The main approach to inference for multivariate extremes consists in approximating the joint upper tail of the observations by a parametric family arising in the limit for extreme events. The latter may be expressed in terms of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-06-17 Raphaël Huser , Anthony C. Davison , Marc G. Genton

Towards understanding the fundamental limits of estimation from data of varied quality, we study the problem of estimating a mean parameter from heteroskedastic Gaussian observations where the variances are unknown and may vary arbitrarily…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-17 Yanjun Han , Abhishek Shetty , Jacob Shkrob

For $\ell\colon \mathbb{R}^d \to [0,\infty)$ we consider the sequence of probability measures $\left(\mu_n\right)_{n \in \mathbb{N}}$, where $\mu_n$ is determined by a density that is proportional to $\exp(-n\ell)$. We allow for infinitely…

概率论 · 数学 2023-12-11 Mareike Hasenpflug , Daniel Rudolf , Björn Sprungk

We consider a linear model where the coefficients - intercept and slopes - are random with a law in a nonparametric class and independent from the regressors. Identification often requires the regressors to have a support which is the whole…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-06-22 Christophe Gaillac , Eric Gautier

This paper is concerned with minimax conditional independence testing. In contrast to some previous works on the topic, which use the total variation distance to separate the null from the alternative, here we use the Wasserstein distance.…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-08-21 Matey Neykov , Larry Wasserman , Ilmun Kim , Sivaraman Balakrishnan

Stochastic optimal control usually requires an explicit dynamical model with probability distributions, which are difficult to obtain in practice. In this work, we consider the linear quadratic regulator (LQR) problem of unknown linear…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-01-18 Feiran Zhao , Keyou You

In this paper, we develop asymptotic theories for a class of latent variable models for large-scale multi-relational networks. In particular, we establish consistency results and asymptotic error bounds for the (penalized) maximum…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-01 Zhi Wang , Xueying Tang , Jingchen Liu

Over the last 25 years, techniques based on drift and minorization (d&m) have been mainstays in the convergence analysis of MCMC algorithms. However, results presented herein suggest that d&m may be less useful in the emerging area of…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-10-15 Qian Qin , James P. Hobert

We study the robust quickest change detection under unknown pre- and post-change distributions. To deal with uncertainties in the data-generating distributions, we formulate two data-driven ambiguity sets based on the Wasserstein distance,…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-04-28 Liyan Xie

We study multistage distributionally robust linear optimization, where the uncertainty set is defined as a ball of distribution centered at a scenario tree using the nested distance. The resulting minimax problem is notoriously difficult to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-07-24 Rui Gao , Rohit Arora , Yizhe Huang

We extend Stein's celebrated Wasserstein bound for normal approximation via exchangeable pairs to the multi-dimensional setting. As an intermediate step, we exploit the symmetry of exchangeable pairs to obtain an error bound for smooth test…

概率论 · 数学 2020-09-22 Xiao Fang , Yuta Koike

Score matching provides an effective approach to learning flexible unnormalized models, but its scalability is limited by the need to evaluate a second-order derivative. In this paper, we present a scalable approximation to a general family…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-02-19 Ziyu Wang , Shuyu Cheng , Yueru Li , Jun Zhu , Bo Zhang

We consider statistical methods which invoke a min-max distributionally robust formulation to extract good out-of-sample performance in data-driven optimization and learning problems. Acknowledging the distributional uncertainty in learning…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-08-05 Jose Blanchet , Karthyek Murthy , Viet Anh Nguyen

A central result in statistical theory is Pinsker's theorem, which characterizes the minimax rate in the normal means model of nonparametric estimation. In this paper, we present an extension to Pinsker's theorem where estimation is carried…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-09-25 Yuancheng Zhu , John Lafferty

We provide statistical theory for conditional and unconditional Wasserstein generative adversarial networks (WGANs) in the framework of dependent observations. We prove upper bounds for the excess Bayes risk of the WGAN estimators with…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-11-09 Moritz Haas , Stefan Richter

This paper is focused on the statistical analysis of data consisting of a collection of multiple series of probability measures that are indexed by distinct time instants and supported over a bounded interval of the real line. By modeling…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-05 Yiye Jiang , Jérémie Bigot

We consider the horseshoe estimator due to Carvalho, Polson and Scott (2010) for the multivariate normal mean model in the situation that the mean vector is sparse in the nearly black sense. We assume the frequentist framework where the…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-12-16 S. L. van der Pas , B. J. K. Kleijn , A. W. van der Vaart

The efficiency of a Markov sampler based on the underdamped Langevin diffusion is studied for high dimensional targets with convex and smooth potentials. We consider a classical second-order integrator which requires only one gradient…

概率论 · 数学 2021-06-21 Pierre Monmarché

In this work, we study the weighted empirical risk minimization (weighted ERM) schema, in which an additional data-dependent weight function is incorporated when the empirical risk function is being minimized. We show that under a general…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-07 Yikai Zhang , Jiahe Lin , Fengpei Li , Songzhu Zheng , Anant Raj , Anderson Schneider , Yuriy Nevmyvaka

Majority-vote ensembles achieve variance reduction by averaging over diverse, approximately independent base learners. When training data exhibits Markov dependence, as in time-series forecasting, reinforcement learning (RL) replay buffers,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-16 Ibne Farabi Shihab , Sanjeda Akter , Anuj Sharma