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Phenomenological and deterministic models are often used for the estimation of transmission parameters in an epidemic and for the prediction of its growth trajectory. Such analyses are usually based on single peak outbreak dynamics. In…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-01-20 D. P. Mahapatra , S. Triambak

Epidemics unfold by means of a spreading process from each infected individual to a random number of secondary cases. It has been claimed that the so-called superspreading events in COVID-19 are governed by a power-law tailed distribution…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-06-29 Carles Falcó , Álvaro Corral

A finite size scaling theory, originally developed only for transitions to absorbing states [Phys. Rev. E {\bf 92}, 062126 (2015)], is extended to distinct sorts of discontinuous nonequilibrium phase transitions. Expressions for quantities…

统计力学 · 物理学 2018-06-13 Marcelo M. de Oliveira , M. G. E. da Luz , Carlos E. Fiore

We analyze large deviations of the time-averaged activity in the one dimensional Fredrickson-Andersen model, both numerically and analytically. The model exhibits a dynamical phase transition, which appears as a singularity in the large…

统计力学 · 物理学 2017-03-17 Takahiro Nemoto , Robert L. Jack , Vivien Lecomte

Finite-size effects in systems with diverging characteristic lengthscale have been addressed via state-of-the-art Monte Carlo and molecular dynamics simulations of various models exhibiting solid-solid, liquid-liquid and vapor-liquid…

统计力学 · 物理学 2018-03-09 Subir K. Das , Sutapa Roy , Suman Majumder , Shaista Ahmad

Using the concept of finite-size scaling, Monte Carlo calculations of various models have become a very useful tool for the study of critical phenomena, with the system linear dimension as a variable. As an example, several recent studies…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Kurt Binder , Erik Luijten , Marcus Müller , Nigel B. Wilding , Henk W. J. Blöte

We analyze numerically three different models exhibiting an absorbing phase transition. We focus on the finite-size scaling as well as the dynamical scaling behavior. An accurate determination of several critical exponents allows to…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 S. Lubeck , P. C. Heger

This work systematically conducts a data analysis based on the numbers of both cumulative and daily confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths in a time span through April 2020 to June 2022 for over 200 countries around the world. Such research…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-03-20 Peng Liu , Yanyan Zheng

Finite-size scaling is a key tool in statistical physics, used to infer critical behavior in finite systems. Here we use the analogous concept of finite-time scaling to describe the bifurcation diagram at finite times in discrete dynamical…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2018-04-12 Alvaro Corral , Lluis Alseda , Josep Sardanyes

Widespread growth signatures in COVID-19 confirmed case counts are reported, with sharp transitions between three distinct dynamical regimes (exponential, superlinear and sublinear). Through analytical and numerical analysis, a novel…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-03-26 Magdalena Djordjevic , Marko Djordjevic , Bojana Ilic , Stefan Stojku , Igor Salom

Background: Recent work showed that the temporal growth of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) follows a sub-exponential power-law scaling whenever effective control interventions are in place. Taking this into consideration, we…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-11-24 S. Triambak , D. P. Mahapatra , N. Mallick , R. Sahoo

The spread of COVID-19 has been greatly impacted by regulatory policies and behavior patterns that vary across counties, states, and countries. Population-level dynamics of COVID-19 can generally be described using a set of ordinary…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-04-11 Joshua P. Keller , Tianjian Zhou , Andee Kaplan , G. Brooke Anderson , Wen Zhou

To study the kinetics of phase separation in active matter systems, we consider models that impose a Vicsek-type self-propulsion rule on otherwise passive particles interacting via the Lennard-Jones potential. Two types of kinetics are of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2023-10-31 Tanay Paul , Nalina Vadakkayil , Subir K. Das

Large-scale testing is considered key to assess the state of the current COVID-19 pandemic. Yet, the link between the reported case numbers and the true state of the pandemic remains elusive. We develop mathematical models based on…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-02-04 Michel Besserve , Simon Buchholz , Bernhard Schölkopf

Two stochastic models are proposed to describe the evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic. In the first model the population is partitioned into four compartments: susceptible $S$, infected $I$, removed $R$ and dead people $D$. In order to have…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-09-16 Fabiana Calleri , Giovanni Nastasi , Vittorio Romano

To forecast the time dynamics of an epidemic, we propose a discrete stochastic model that unifies and generalizes previous approaches to the subject. Viewing a given population of individuals or groups of individuals with given health state…

We study the reported data from the COVID-19 pandemic outbreak in January - May 2020 in 119 countries. We observe that the time series of active cases in individual countries (the difference of the total number of confirmed infections and…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-05-15 Katarina Bodova , Richard Kollar

We review and discuss recent advances in the simulation of bulk critical phenomena in model fluids. In particular we emphasise the extensions to finite-size scaling theory needed to cope with the lack of symmetry between coexisting fluid…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-10-28 N. B. Wilding

Spatial metapopulation models are fundamental to theoretical ecology, enabling to study how landscape structure influences global species dynamics. Traditional models, including recent generalizations, often rely on the deterministic limit…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-06-24 Alice Doimo , Giorgio Nicoletti , Davide Bernardi , Prajwal Padmanabha

We introduce and study a class of particle hopping models consisting of a single box coupled to a pair of reservoirs. Despite being zero-dimensional, in the limit of large particle number and long observation time, the current and activity…

统计力学 · 物理学 2022-08-31 Yongjoo Baek , Yariv Kafri , Vivien Lecomte
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