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We propose a non-parametric extension with leverage functions to the Andersen commodity curve model. We calibrate this model to market data for WTI and NG including option skew at the standard maturities. While the model can be calibrated…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2022-12-16 Orcan Ogetbil , Bernhard Hientzsch

We present an alternative approach to the forecasting of motor vehicle collision rates. We adopt an oft-used tool in mathematical finance, the Heston Stochastic Volatility model, to forecast the short-term and long-term evolution of motor…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-03-04 Darren Shannon , Grigorios Fountas

The volatility characterizes the amplitude of price return fluctuations. It is a central magnitude in finance closely related to the risk of holding a certain asset. Despite its popularity on trading floors, the volatility is unobservable…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Zoltan Eisler , Josep Perello , Jaume Masoliver

We consider a model of stochastic volatility which combines features of the multiplicative model for large volatilities and of the Heston model for small volatilities. The steady-state distribution in this model is a Beta Prime and is…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2024-04-15 M. Dashti Moghaddam , R. A. Serota

We examine whether model-based spot volatility estimators extracted from traded options data enhance the predictive power of the Heterogeneous Autoregressive (HAR) model for realized volatility. Specifically, we infer spot volatility under…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2026-04-13 Zheqi Fan , Meng Melody Wang , Yifan Ye

We propose a convolution-FFT method for pricing European options under the Heston model that leverages a continuously differentiable representation of the joint characteristic function. Unlike existing Fourier-based methods that rely on…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-12-08 Xiang Gao , Cody Hyndman

We consider the infinite dimensional Heston stochastic volatility model proposed in \arXiv:1706:03500. The price of a forward contract on a non-storable commodity is modelled by a generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process in the Filipovi\'{c}…

概率论 · 数学 2020-12-23 Fred Espen Benth , Giulia Di Nunno , Iben Cathrine Simonsen

We consider a stochastic volatility asset price model in which the volatility is the absolute value of a continuous Gaussian process with arbitrary prescribed mean and covariance. By exhibiting a Karhunen-Lo\`{e}ve expansion for the…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2017-02-08 Archil Gulisashvili , Frederi Viens , Xin Zhang

Using microscopic price models based on Hawkes processes, it has been shown that under some no-arbitrage condition, the high degree of endogeneity of markets together with the phenomenon of metaorders splitting generate rough Heston-type…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-01-20 Aditi Dandapani , Paul Jusselin , Mathieu Rosenbaum

This study presents contemporaneous modeling of asset return and price range within the framework of stochastic volatility with leverage. A new representation of the probability density function for the price range is provided, and its…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-10-28 Yuta Kurose

The correlated stochastic volatility models constitute a natural extension of the Black and Scholes-Merton framework: here the volatility is not a constant, but a stochastic process correlated with the price log-return one. At present,…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2008-12-02 E. Cisana , L. Fermi , G. Montagna , O. Nicrosini

In this short paper, we study the simulation of a large system of stochastic processes subject to a common driving noise and fast mean-reverting stochastic volatilities. This model may be used to describe the firm values of a large pool of…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-10-13 Andrei Cozma , Christoph Reisinger

How to reconcile the classical Heston model with its rough counterpart? We introduce a lifted version of the Heston model with n multi-factors, sharing the same Brownian motion but mean reverting at different speeds. Our model nests as…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2019-11-25 Eduardo Abi Jaber

We introduce a class of randomly time-changed fast mean-reverting stochastic volatility models and, using spectral theory and singular perturbation techniques, we derive an approximation for the prices of European options in this setting.…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2012-05-15 Matthew Lorig

Motivated by empirical evidence from the joint behavior of realized volatility time series, we propose to model the joint dynamics of log-volatilities using a multivariate fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. This model is a multivariate…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2026-05-19 Ranieri Dugo , Giacomo Giorgio , Paolo Pigato

This paper investigates the valuation of variable annuity contracts with an early surrender option under non-Markovian models. Moreover, policyholders are provided with guaranteed minimum maturity and death benefits to protect against the…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2026-04-23 Wenyuan Li , Haoqi Lyu

The quadratic rough Heston model provides a natural way to encode Zumbach effect in the rough volatility paradigm. We apply multi-factor approximation and use deep learning methods to build an efficient calibration procedure for this model.…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2022-05-31 Mathieu Rosenbaum , Jianfei Zhang

This thesis investigates Merton's portfolio problem under two different rough Heston models, which have a non-Markovian structure. The motivation behind this choice of problem is due to the recent discovery and success of rough volatility…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2019-09-09 Benjamin James Duthie

An analytical formula for the probability distribution of stock-market returns, derived from the Heston model assuming a mean-reverting stochastic volatility, was recently proposed by Dragulescu and Yakovenko in Quantitative Finance 2002.…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2007-05-23 Gilles Daniel

Most of the empirical studies on stochastic volatility dynamics favor the 3/2 specification over the square-root (CIR) process in the Heston model. In the context of option pricing, the 3/2 stochastic volatility model is reported to be able…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2015-05-01 Wendong Zheng , Pingping Zeng