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Prediction markets allow traders to bet on potential future outcomes. These markets exist for weather, political, sports, and economic forecasting. Within this work we consider a decentralized framework for prediction markets using…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2025-01-10 Hamed Amini , Maxim Bichuch , Zachary Feinstein

Automated market makers (AMMs) are pricing mechanisms utilized by decentralized exchanges (DEX). Traditional AMM approaches are constrained by pricing solely based on their own liquidity pool, without consideration of external markets or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-27 Daniel Jiwoong Im , Alexander Kondratskiy , Vincent Harvey , Hsuan-Wei Fu

Automated market makers (AMMs) are one of the most prominent decentralized finance (DeFi) applications. AMMs allow users to trade different types of crypto-tokens, without the need to find a counter-party. There are several implementations…

形式语言与自动机理论 · 计算机科学 2023-06-22 Massimo Bartoletti , James Hsin-yu Chiang , Alberto Lluch-Lafuente

Automated market makers (AMMs) have emerged as the dominant market mechanism for trading on decentralized exchanges implemented on blockchains. This paper presents a single mechanism that targets two important unsolved problems for AMMs:…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2025-02-13 Austin Adams , Ciamac C. Moallemi , Sara Reynolds , Dan Robinson

The sports betting industry has experienced rapid growth, driven largely by technological advancements and the proliferation of online platforms. Machine learning (ML) has played a pivotal role in the transformation of this sector by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-30 René Manassé Galekwa , Jean Marie Tshimula , Etienne Gael Tajeuna , Kyamakya Kyandoghere

Automated Market Makers (AMMs) are a cornerstone of decentralized finance. They are smart contracts (stateful programs) running on blockchains. They enable virtual token exchange: traders swap tokens with the AMM for a fee, while liquidity…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2025-09-03 Hongyin Chen , Amit Vaisman , Ittay Eyal

We consider a prediction market in which all aspects are controlled by market forces, in particular the correct outcomes of events are decided by the market itself rather than by trusted arbiters. This kind of a decentralized prediction…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2017-03-09 Iddo Bentov , Alex Mizrahi , Meni Rosenfeld

Inefficient markets allow investors to consistently outperform the market. To demonstrate that inefficiencies exist in sports betting markets, we created a betting algorithm that generates above market returns for the NFL, NBA, NCAAF,…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2019-10-24 Sathya Ramesh , Ragib Mostofa , Marco Bornstein , John Dobelman

The study proposes a quote-driven predictive automated market maker (AMM) platform with on-chain custody and settlement functions, alongside off-chain predictive reinforcement learning capabilities to improve liquidity provision of…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2023-01-27 Tristan Lim

An automated market maker (AMM) is a state machine that manages pools of assets, allowing parties to buy and sell those assets according to a fixed mathematical formula. AMMs are typically implemented as smart contracts on blockchains, and…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2024-01-29 Kenan Wood , Maurice Herlihy , Hammurabi Mendes , Jonad Pulaj

Automated Market Makers (AMMs) are decentralized applications that allow users to exchange crypto-tokens without the need for a matching exchange order. AMMs are one of the most successful DeFi use cases: indeed, major AMM platforms process…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2022-07-20 Massimo Bartoletti , James Hsin-yu Chiang , Alberto Lluch-Lafuente

Automated Market Makers (AMMs) are a class of smart contracts on Ethereum and other blockchains that "make markets" autonomously. In other words, AMMs stand ready to trade with other market participants that interact with them, at the…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2022-12-22 Stefan Loesch

We present a decentralized online gaming platform implemented as a Decentralized Application (DApp) on the Ethereum blockchain. The gaming platform enables secure gaming, where the account balances and the stakes of the players are secured…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2022-05-06 Katharina Alefs , Florian Hartl , Luke Newman , Banu Ozdeveci , Wisnu Uriawan

The asset trading volume on blockchain-based exchanges (DEX) increased substantially since the advent of Automated Market Makers (AMM). Yet, AMMs and their forks compete on the same blockchain, incurring unnecessary network and block-space…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2021-06-21 Liyi Zhou , Kaihua Qin , Arthur Gervais

Automated market makers (AMMs) are a new prototype of decentralised exchanges which are revolutionising market interactions. The majority of AMMs are constant product markets (CPMs) where exchange rates are set by a trading function. This…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2025-06-19 Álvaro Cartea , Fayçal Drissi , Marcello Monga

Decentralized prediction markets (DePMs) allow open participation in event-based wagering without fully relying on centralized intermediaries. We review the history of DePMs which date back to 2011 and includes hundreds of proposals.…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-03-16 Nahid Rahman , Joseph Al-Chami , Jeremy Clark

We investigate the market microstructure of Automated Market Makers (AMMs), the most prominent type of blockchain-based decentralized exchanges. We show that the order execution mechanism yields token value loss for liquidity providers if…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2021-07-22 Agostino Capponi , Ruizhe Jia

An automated market maker (AMM) provides a method for creating a decentralized exchange on the blockchain. For this purpose, individual investors lend liquidity to the AMM pool in exchange for a stream of fees earned from its operations as…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2025-09-30 Maxim Bichuch , Zachary Feinstein

We describe three independent implementations of a new agent-based model (ABM) that simulates a contemporary sports-betting exchange, such as those offered commercially by companies including Betfair, Smarkets, and Betdaq. The motivation…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2021-08-06 Dave Cliff , James Hawkins , James Keen , Roberto Lau-Soto

Automated Market Makers (AMMs), as a core infrastructure of decentralized finance (DeFi), uniquely drive on-chain asset pricing through a deterministic reserve ratio mechanism. Unlike traditional markets, AMM price dynamics is triggered…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-23 Huaiyu Jia , Jiehshun You , Yizhi Luo , Jingyu Liu , Shuo Sun
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