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The random matrix theory method of planar Gaussian diagrammatic expansion is applied to find the mean spectral density of the Hermitian equal-time and non-Hermitian time-lagged cross-covariance estimators, firstly in the form of master…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2012-05-22 Andrzej Jarosz

The posterior probability distribution for a set of model parameters encodes all that the data have to tell us in the context of a given model; it is the fundamental quantity for Bayesian parameter estimation. In order to infer the…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2015-06-16 Rupert Allison , Joanna Dunkley

The variance--covariance matrix plays a central role in the inferential theories of high-dimensional factor models in finance and economics. Popular regularization methods of directly exploiting sparsity are not directly applicable to many…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-03-15 Jianqing Fan , Yuan Liao , Martina Mincheva

We study large sample properties of Bayesian analysis of the proportional hazard model with neutral to the right process priors on the baseline hazard function. We show that the posterior distribution of the baseline cumulative hazard…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Yongdai Kim

We study full Bayesian procedures for sparse linear regression when errors have a symmetric but otherwise unknown distribution. The unknown error distribution is endowed with a symmetrized Dirichlet process mixture of Gaussians. For the…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-03-26 Minwoo Chae , Lizhen Lin , David B. Dunson

We analyze the posterior contraction rates of parameters in Bayesian models via the Langevin diffusion process, in particular by controlling moments of the stochastic process and taking limits. Analogous to the non-asymptotic analysis of…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-08-18 Wenlong Mou , Nhat Ho , Martin J. Wainwright , Peter Bartlett , Michael I. Jordan

The aim of this note is to state a couple of general results about the properties of the penalized maximum likelihood estimators (pMLE) and of the posterior distribution for parametric models in a non-asymptotic setup and for possibly large…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-12-13 Vladimir Spokoiny

We consider heteroscedastic nonparametric regression models, when both the mean function and variance function are unknown and to be estimated with nonparametric approaches. We derive convergence rates of posterior distributions for this…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-10-07 Yuao Hu

The Inverse-Wishart (IW) distribution is a standard and popular choice of priors for covariance matrices and has attractive properties such as conditional conjugacy. However, the IW family of priors has crucial drawbacks, including the lack…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-07-03 Partha Sarkar , Kshitij Khare , Malay Ghosh

We derive rates of contraction of posterior distributions on nonparametric or semiparametric models based on Gaussian processes. The rate of contraction is shown to depend on the position of the true parameter relative to the reproducing…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-12-18 A. W. van der Vaart , J. H. van Zanten

We study the distribution of the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) in high-dimensional logistic models, extending the recent results from Sur (2019) to the case where the Gaussian covariates may have an arbitrary covariance structure. We…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-01-05 Qian Zhao , Pragya Sur , Emmanuel J. Candès

Bayesian inference and the use of posterior or posterior predictive probabilities for decision making have become increasingly popular in clinical trials. The current practice in Bayesian clinical trials relies on a hybrid…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-30 Shirin Golchi , James Willard

Sampling from the posterior is a key technical problem in Bayesian statistics. Rigorous guarantees are difficult to obtain for Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms of common use. In this paper, we study an alternative class of algorithms…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-08-26 Andrea Montanari , Yuchen Wu

The present work provides an original framework for random matrix analysis based on revisiting the concentration of measure theory from a probabilistic point of view. By providing various notions of vector concentration ($q$-exponential,…

概率论 · 数学 2021-01-19 Cosme Louart , Romain Couillet

Parameter inference is a fundamental problem in data-driven modeling. Given observed data that is believed to be a realization of some parameterized model, the aim is to find parameter values that are able to explain the observed data. In…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2016-04-20 Carlo Albert , Simone Ulzega , Ruedi Stoop

This paper studies the problem of estimating a covariance matrix from correlated sub-Gaussian samples. We consider using the correlated sample covariance matrix estimator to approximate the true covariance matrix. We establish…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2019-10-17 Xu Zhang , Wei Cui , Yulong Liu

We employ stabilization methods and second order Poincar\'e inequalities to establish rates of multivariate normal convergence for a large class of vectors $(H_s^{(1)},...,H_s^{(m)})$, $s \geq 1$, of statistics of marked Poisson processes…

概率论 · 数学 2021-03-02 Matthias Schulte , J. E. Yukich

The problem of determining a periodic Lipschitz vector field $b=(b_1, \dots, b_d)$ from an observed trajectory of the solution $(X_t: 0 \le t \le T)$ of the multi-dimensional stochastic differential equation \begin{equation*} dX_t =…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-07-21 Richard Nickl , Kolyan Ray

Multivariate hypergeometric distribution arises frequently in elementary statistics and probability courses, for simultaneously studying the occurence law of specified events, when sampling without replacement from a finite population with…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-01-05 X. G. Duan

We study the behavior of a real $p$-dimensional Wishart random matrix with $n$ degrees of freedom when $n,p\rightarrow\infty$ but $p/n\rightarrow 0$. We establish the existence of phase transitions when $p$ grows at the order…

概率论 · 数学 2017-05-11 Didier Chételat , Martin T. Wells