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相关论文: Generalized Bradley-Terry Models for Score Estimat…

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Most statistical models for pairwise comparisons, including the Bradley-Terry (BT) and Thurstone models and many extensions, make a relatively strong assumption of stochastic transitivity. This assumption imposes the existence of an…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-12 Sze Ming Lee , Yunxiao Chen

The Bradley-Terry model assigns probabilities for the outcome of paired comparison experiments based on strength parameters associated with the objects being compared. We consider different proposed choices of prior parameter distributions…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-12-15 John T. Whelan

The Bradley-Terry model has previously been used in both Bayesian and frequentist interpretations to evaluate the strengths of sports teams based on win-loss game results. It has also been extended to handle additional possible results such…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-01-10 John T. Whelan , Jacob E. Klein

The Bradley-Terry (BT) model is a common and successful practice in reward modeling for Large Language Model (LLM) alignment. However, it remains unclear why this model -- originally developed for multi-player stochastic game matching --…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-01-28 Hao Sun , Yunyi Shen , Jean-Francois Ton

The Bradley-Terry model is a popular approach to describe probabilities of the possible outcomes when elements of a set are repeatedly compared with one another in pairs. It has found many applications including animal behaviour, chess…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-17 Francois Caron , Arnaud Doucet

Pairwise comparison data are widely used to infer latent rankings in areas such as sports, social choice, and machine learning. The Bradley-Terry model provides a foundational probabilistic framework but inherently assumes transitive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-13 Hisaya Okahara , Tomoyuki Nakagawa , Shonosuke Sugasawa

If you tell a learning model that you prefer an alternative $a$ over another alternative $b$, then you probably expect the model to be monotone, that is, the valuation of $a$ increases, and that of $b$ decreases. Yet, perhaps surprisingly,…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-23 Julien Fageot , Peva Blanchard , Gilles Bareilles , Lê-Nguyên Hoang

Evaluating generative models is challenging because standard metrics often fail to reflect human preferences. Human evaluations are more reliable but costly and noisy, as participants vary in expertise, attention, and diligence. Pairwise…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-13 Till Aczel , Lucas Theis , Roger Wattenhofer

The rating of items based on pairwise comparisons has been a topic of statistical investigation for many decades. Numerous approaches have been proposed. One of the best known is the Bradley-Terry model. This paper seeks to assemble and…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-08-08 Ian Hamilton , Nick Tawn , David Firth

Several methods of preference modeling, ranking, voting and multi-criteria decision making include pairwise comparisons. It is usually simpler to compare two objects at a time, furthermore, some relations (e.g., the outcome of sports…

PageRank and the Bradley-Terry model are competing approaches to ranking entities such as teams in sports tournaments or journals in citation networks. The Bradley-Terry model is a classical statistical method for ranking based on paired…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-13 David Antony Selby

This technical report studies the problem of ranking from pairwise comparisons in the classical Bradley-Terry-Luce (BTL) model, with a focus on score estimation. For general graphs, we show that, with sufficiently many samples, maximum…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-04-17 Yanxi Chen

Prediction and modelling of competitive sports outcomes has received much recent attention, especially from the Bayesian statistics and machine learning communities. In the real world setting of outcome prediction, the seminal \'{E}l\H{o}…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-01-30 Franz J. Király , Zhaozhi Qian

Motivated by the home-field advantage in sports, we propose a generalized Bradley--Terry model that incorporates covariate information for paired comparisons. It has an $n$-dimensional merit parameter $\bs{\beta}$ and a fixed-dimensional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-31 Ting Yan

Thurstonian and Bradley-Terry models are the most commonly applied models in the analysis of paired comparison data. Since their introduction, numerous developments have been proposed in different areas. This paper provides an updated…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-10-04 Manuela Cattelan

In this paper, we study a popular method for inference of the Bradley-Terry model parameters, namely the MM algorithm, for maximum likelihood estimation and maximum a posteriori probability estimation. This class of models includes the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-29 Milan Vojnovic , Seyoung Yun , Kaifang Zhou

We consider the problem of aggregating pairwise comparisons to obtain a consensus ranking order over a collection of objects. We use the popular Bradley-Terry-Luce (BTL) model which allows us to probabilistically describe pairwise…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2019-01-30 Mine Alsan , Ranjitha Prasad , Vincent Y. F. Tan

In a wide class of paired comparisons, especially in the sports games, in which all subjects are divided into several groups, the intragroup comparisons are dense and the intergroup comparisons are sparse. Typical examples include the NFL…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2012-06-11 Ting Yan , Jinfeng Xu , Yaning Yang

Paired comparison models, such as Bradley-Terry and Thurstone-Mosteller, are commonly used to estimate relative strengths of pairwise compared items in tournament-style data. We discuss estimation of paired comparison models with a ridge…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-03 Cristiano Varin , David Firth

Ranking problems based on pairwise comparisons, such as those arising in online gaming, often involve a large pool of items to order. In these situations, the gap in performance between any two items can be significant, and the smallest and…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-06-16 Heejong Bong , Alessandro Rinaldo
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