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The outbreak of COVID-19 in 2020 has led to a surge in the interest in the mathematical modeling of infectious diseases. Disease transmission may be modeled as compartmental models, in which the population under study is divided into…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-10-27 Malú Grave , Alvaro L. G. A. Coutinho

Throughout human history, epidemics have been a constant presence. Understanding their dynamics is essential to predict scenarios and make substantiated decisions. Mathematical models are powerful tools to describe an epidemic behavior.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-07-26 Walter HMendes aselein , Diego Eckhard

The spread of diseases has been studied for many years, but it receives a particular focus recently due to the outbreak and spread of COVID-19. Studies show that the spread of COVID-19 can be characterized by the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-12 Xiaoxu Zhong , Yukun Ye

Standard epidemiological models for COVID-19 employ variants of compartment (SIR) models at local scales, implicitly assuming spatially uniform local mixing. Here, we examine the effect of employing more geographically detailed diffusion…

We introduce an interacting particle system that models the spread of an epidemic in terms of heterogeneous diffusive dynamics, rather than exogenous contact and transmission rates at the population level as in classical compartmental…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-20 Eliana Fausti , Andreas Sojmark

Compartmental models like the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR)\cite{Kermack1927} and its extensions such as the Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered (SEIRS)\cite{Ottar2020,Ignazio2021,Grimm2021,Paoluzzi2021} are commonly used to model…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-07-14 Kasturi Banerjee , Subhankar Ray , Jayalakshmi Shamanna

We introduce an epidemic spreading model on a network using concepts from percolation theory. The model is motivated by discussing the standard SIR model, with extensions to describe effects of lockdowns within a population. The underlying…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-08-26 Fabrizio Croccolo , H. Eduardo Roman

Contact patterns in populations fundamentally influence the spread of infectious diseases. Current mathematical methods for epidemiological forecasting on networks largely assume that contacts between individuals are fixed, at least for the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2007-05-23 Erik Volz , Lauren Ancel Meyers

We have designed a computational model of a virus spread near the outbreak threshold. Using computer simulation we studied the Susceptible - Infected - Recovered (SIR) process where in consequence of a force of habit that is manifested by…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-12-23 Jozef Černák

The study of epidemic models plays an important role in mathematical epidemiology. There are many researches on epidemic models using ordinary differential equations, partial differential equations or stochastic differential equations. In…

概率论 · 数学 2023-03-10 Yuqi Li , Lihua Zhang

An epidemic model where disease transmission can occur either through global contacts or through local, nearest neighbor interactions is considered. The classical SIR--model describing the global interactions is extended by adding…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-02-02 Thomas Götz

A physics-informed neural network (PINN) embedded with the susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) model is devised to understand the temporal evolution dynamics of infectious diseases. Firstly, the effectiveness of this approach is demonstrated…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2025-04-08 Shuai Han , Lukas Stelz , Horst Stoecker , Lingxiao Wang , Kai Zhou

In this paper, we introduce a gauge-mediated Epidemiological Model inspired by Quantum Electrodynamics (QED). In this model, the ``direct contact'' paradigm of classical SIR models is replaced by a gauge-mediated interaction where the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-04-02 Jose de Jesus Bernal-Alvarado , David Delepine

As the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has shown profound effects on public health and the economy worldwide, it becomes crucial to assess the impact on the virus transmission and develop effective strategies to address the challenge. A…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-05-12 Chih-Li Sung

We present an approach to studying and predicting the spatio-temporal progression of infectious diseases. We treat the problem by adopting a partial differential equation (PDE) version of the Susceptible, Infected, Recovered, Deceased…

In this paper we analyze the effects of commuting and social inequalities for the epidemic development of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19). With this aim we consider a SEIRD (susceptible, exposed, infected, recovered and dead by disease)…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-08-18 João A. M. Gondim , Thiago Yukio Tanaka

We examine the age-structured SIR model, a variant of the classical Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model of epidemic propagation, in the context of COVID-19. In doing so, we provide a theoretical basis for the model, perform an…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-03-11 Rohit Parasnis , Ryosuke Kato , Amol Sakhale , Massimo Franceschetti , Behrouz Touri

To provide a comprehensive view for dynamics of and on many real-world temporal networks, we investigate the interplay of temporal connectivity patterns and spreading phenomena, in terms of the susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) model on…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-07-23 Hyewon Kim , Meesoon Ha , Hawoong Jeong

We examine the role of boundaries and the structure of nontrivial duality functions for three non conservative interacting particle systems in one dimension that model epidemic spreading: (i) the diffusive contact process (DCP), (ii) a…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-11 Chiara Franceschini , Ellen Saada , Gunter M. Schütz , Sonia Velasco

Modelling diffusion processes on dynamic contact networks is an important research area for epidemiology, marketing, cybersecurity, and ecology. However, current diffusion models cannot capture transmissions occurring for indirect…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2019-06-10 Md Shahzamal