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Consider the motion of a Brownian particle in two or more dimensions, whose coordinate processes are standard Brownian motions with zero drift initially, and then at some random/unobservable time, one of the coordinate processes gets a…

概率论 · 数学 2020-07-30 Philip A. Ernst , Goran Peskir

Consider the motion of a Brownian particle in three dimensions, whose two spatial coordinates are standard Brownian motions with zero drift, and the remaining (unknown) spatial coordinate is a standard Brownian motion with a non-zero drift.…

概率论 · 数学 2018-12-19 Philip Ernst , Goran Peskir , Quan Zhou

We formulate and solve a variant of the quickest detection problem which features false negatives. A standard Brownian motion acquires a drift at an independent exponential random time which is not directly observable. Based on the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-02-24 Tiziano De Angelis , Jhanvi Garg , Quan Zhou

In this paper we resolve an open problem proposed by Lai, Poor, Xin, and Georgiadis (2011, IEEE Transactions on Information Theory). Consider a sequence of Brownian Motions with unknown drift equal to one or zero, which we may be observed…

概率论 · 数学 2013-06-26 Erhan Bayraktar , Ross Kravitz

We construct a Bayesian sequential test of two simple hypotheses about the value of the unobservable drift coefficient of a Brownian motion, with a possibility to change the initial decision at subsequent moments of time for some penalty.…

概率论 · 数学 2020-07-28 Mikhail Zhitlukhin

Given a Wiener process with unknown and unobservable drift, we try to estimate this drift as effectively but also as quickly as possible, in the presence of a quadratic penalty for the estimation error and of a fixed, positive cost per unit…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-05-24 Erik Ekström , Ioannis Karatzas , Juozas Vaicenavicius

In the classical quickest detection problem, one must detect as quickly as possible when a Brownian motion without drift "changes" into a Brownian motion with positive drift. The change occurs at an unknown "disorder" time with exponential…

概率论 · 数学 2015-05-29 Robert C. Dalang , Albert N. Shiryaev

We study a classical Bayesian statistics problem of sequentially testing the sign of the drift of an arithmetic Brownian motion with the $0$-$1$ loss function and a constant cost of observation per unit of time for general prior…

概率论 · 数学 2015-09-03 Erik Ekström , Juozas Vaicenavicius

We study interacting systems of linear Brownian motions whose drift vector at every time point is determined by the relative ranks of the coordinate processes at that time. Our main objective has been to study the long range behavior of the…

概率论 · 数学 2008-01-22 Soumik Pal , Jim Pitman

The problem of detecting a change in the drift of a Brownian motion is considered. The change point is assumed to have a modified exponential prior distribution with unknown parameters. A worst-case analysis with respect to these parameters…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-10-11 Taposh Banerjee , George V. Moustakides

The multiple disorder problem seeks to determine a sequence of stopping times which are as close as possible to the unknown times of disorders at which the observation process changes its probability characteristics. We derive closed form…

应用统计 · 统计学 2010-11-02 Pavel V. Gapeev

Brownian motion has played important roles in many different fields of science since its origin was first explained by Albert Einstein in 1905. Einstein's theory of Brownian motion, however, is only applicable at long time scales. At short…

统计力学 · 物理学 2013-09-03 Tongcang Li , Mark G. Raizen

We obtain exact asymptotic results for the disorder averaged persistence of a Brownian particle moving in a biased Sinai landscape. We employ a new method that maps the problem of computing the persistence to the problem of finding the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Satya N. Majumdar , Alain Comtet

We study a system of reflected Brownian motions on the positive half-line in which each particle has a drift toward the origin determined by the local times at the origin of all the particles. If this local time drift is too strong, such…

概率论 · 数学 2026-02-12 Graeme Baker , Ben Hambly , Philipp Jettkant

Among all generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes which sample the same invariant measure and for which the same amount of randomness (a $N$-dimensional Brownian motion) is injected in the system, we prove that the asymptotic rate of…

概率论 · 数学 2021-10-07 Arnaud Guillin , Pierre Monmarché

We consider the quickest change-point detection problem where the aim is to detect the onset of a pre-specified drift in "live"-monitored standard Brownian motion; the change-point is assumed unknown (nonrandom). The object of interest is…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-04-19 Aleksey S. Polunchenko

We construct a stochastic process whose drift is a function of the process's local time at a reflecting barrier. The process arose as a model of the interactions of a Brownian particle and an inert particle in (Knight, 2001). Interesting…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 David White

We consider an optimal control problem, where a Brownian motion with drift is sequentially observed, and the sign of the drift coefficient changes at jump times of a symmetric two-state Markov process. The Markov process itself is not…

概率论 · 数学 2019-08-06 Alexey Muravlev , Mikhail Urusov , Mikhail Zhitlukhin

We consider Langevin equation involving fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index $H\in(0,\frac12)$. Its solution is the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and with unknown drift parameter $\theta$. We construct the estimator that is…

We derive the first-passage-time statistics of a Brownian motion driven by an exponential time-dependent drift up to a threshold. This process corresponds to the signal integration in a simple neuronal model supplemented with an…

统计力学 · 物理学 2012-04-30 Eugenio Urdapilleta
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