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In this paper, we present a novel iterative Monte Carlo method for approximating the stationary probability of a single state of a positive recurrent Markov chain. We utilize the characterization that the stationary probability of a state…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2015-12-11 Christina E. Lee , Asuman Ozdaglar , Devavrat Shah

Iterative load balancing algorithms for indivisible tokens have been studied intensively in the past. Complementing previous worst-case analyses, we study an average-case scenario where the load inputs are drawn from a fixed probability…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2017-03-28 Leran Cai , Thomas Sauerwald

At high levels, the asymptotic distribution of a stationary, regularly varying Markov chain is conveniently given by its tail process. The latter takes the form of a geometric random walk, the increment distribution depending on the sign of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-12-11 Holger Drees , Johan Segers , Michał Warchoł

Consider a point process in Euclidean space obtained by perturbing the integer lattice with independent and identically distributed random vectors. Under mild assumptions on the law of the perturbations, we construct a translation-invariant…

概率论 · 数学 2025-06-23 Dor Elboim , Yinon Spinka , Oren Yakir

We revisit the classical problem of approximating a stochastic differential equation by a discrete-time and discrete-space Markov chain. Our construction iterates Caratheodory's theorem over time to match the moments of the increments…

概率论 · 数学 2021-11-08 Francesco Cosentino , Harald Oberhauser , Alessandro Abate

Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) and Likelihood Ratio Test (LRT) are widely used methods for estimating the transition probability matrix in Markov chains and identifying significant relationships between transitions, such as equality.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-04 Yining Zhou , Ming Gao , Yiting Chen , Xiaoping Shi

We consider last-passage percolation models in two dimensions, in which the underlying weight distribution has a heavy tail of index alpha<2. We prove scaling laws and asymptotic distributions, both for the passage times and for the shape…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Ben Hambly , James B. Martin

We study distributions of meeting times for finite symmetric Markov chains. For Markov kernels defined on large state spaces which satisfy certain weak inhomogeneity in return probabilities of points up to large numbers of steps, we obtain…

概率论 · 数学 2014-10-20 Yu-Ting Chen

Last passage percolation (LPP) is a model of a directed metric and a zero-temperature polymer where the main observable is a directed path evolving in a random environment accruing as energy the sum of the random weights along itself. When…

概率论 · 数学 2025-01-07 Shirshendu Ganguly , Victor Ginsburg , Kyeongsik Nam

Markov chains for probability distributions related to matrix product states and 1D Hamiltonians are introduced. With appropriate 'inverse temperature' schedules, these chains can be combined into a random approximation scheme for ground…

强关联电子 · 物理学 2014-05-14 S. Iblisdir

We consider the problem of sampling from the uniform distribution on the set of Eulerian orientations of subgraphs of the triangular lattice. Although it is known that this can be achieved in polynomial time for any graph, the algorithm…

离散数学 · 计算机科学 2007-05-23 Paidi Creed

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods generate samples that are asymptotically distributed from a target distribution of interest as the number of iterations goes to infinity. Various theoretical results provide upper bounds on the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-10-30 Niloy Biswas , Pierre E. Jacob , Paul Vanetti

In this work we introduce the discrete-space broken line process (with discrete and continues parameter values) and derive some of its properties. We explore polygonal Markov fields techniques developed by Arak-Surgailis. The discrete…

The extremal behaviour of a Markov chain is typically characterized by its tail chain. For asymptotically dependent Markov chains existing formulations fail to capture the full evolution of the extreme event when the chain moves out of the…

Continuous-time Markov chains describing interacting processes exhibit a state space that grows exponentially in the number of processes. This state-space explosion renders the computation or storage of the time-marginal distribution, which…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-06-16 Peter Georg , Lars Grasedyck , Maren Klever , Rudolf Schill , Rainer Spang , Tilo Wettig

We analyse the structure of imprecise Markov chains and study their convergence by means of accessibility relations. We first identify the sets of states, so-called minimal permanent classes, that are the minimal sets capable of containing…

概率论 · 数学 2016-09-20 Damjan Skulj

Consider longitudinal networks whose edges turn on and off according to a discrete-time Markov chain with exponential-family transition probabilities. We characterize when their joint distributions are also exponential families with the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-12 William K. Schwartz , Sonja Petrović , Hemanshu Kaul

The paper proposes a new aggregation method, based on the Arnoldi iteration, for computing approximate transient distributions of Markov chains. This aggregation is not partition-based, which means that an aggregate state may represent any…

概率论 · 数学 2025-08-05 Patrick Sonnentag , Fabian Michel , Markus Siegle

Herein, the Hidden Markov Model is expanded to allow for Markov chain observations. In particular, the observations are assumed to be a Markov chain whose one step transition probabilities depend upon the hidden Markov chain. An…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-04-18 Michael A. Kouritzin

We study the convergence rate to stationarity for a class of exchangeable partition-valued Markov chains called cut-and-paste chains. The law governing the transitions of a cut-and-paste chain are determined by products of i.i.d. stochastic…

概率论 · 数学 2012-09-25 Harry Crane , Steven P. Lalley