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Entropy metrics are nonlinear measures to quantify the complexity of time series. Among them, permutation entropy is a common metric due to its robustness and fast computation. Multivariate entropy metrics techniques are needed to analyse…

组合数学 · 数学 2022-03-02 John Stewart Fabila-Carrasco , Chao Tan , Javier Escudero

A significant challenge in many fields of science and engineering is making sense of time-dependent measurement data by recovering governing equations in the form of differential equations. We focus on finding parsimonious ordinary…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-04 Doris Voina , Steven Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

In this work, we developed a nonlinear System Identification (SID) method that we called Entropic Regression. Our method adopts an information-theoretic measure for the data-driven discovery of the underlying dynamics. Our method shows…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-01-29 Abd AlRahman R. AlMomani , Jie Sun , Erik Bollt

Quantifying the directionality of information flow is instrumental in understanding, and possibly controlling, the operation of many complex systems, such as transportation, social, neural, or gene-regulatory networks. The standard Transfer…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2020-01-09 Jingjing Zhang , Osvaldo Simeone , Zoran Cvetkovic , Eugenio Abela , Mark Richardson

Critical infrastructure systems must be both robust and resilient in order to ensure the functioning of society. To improve the performance of such systems, we often use risk and vulnerability analysis to find and address system weaknesses.…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-05-08 Sarah LaRocca , Jonas Johansson , Henrik Hassel , Seth Guikema

Nonstationary thermodynamic quantities depend on the full details of nonstationary probability distributions, making them difficult to measure directly in experiments and numerics. We propose a method to infer thermodynamic quantities in…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-04-04 Naruo Ohga , Sosuke Ito

Complex systems are commonly modeled using nonlinear dynamical systems. These models are often high-dimensional and chaotic. An important goal in studying physical systems through the lens of mathematical models is to determine when the…

计算几何 · 计算机科学 2014-03-25 Jesse Berwald , Marian Gidea , Mikael Vejdemo-Johansson

Time-lagged autoencoders (TAEs) have been proposed as a deep learning regression-based approach to the discovery of slow modes in dynamical systems. However, a rigorous analysis of nonlinear TAEs remains lacking. In this work, we discuss…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-09-04 Wei Chen , Hythem Sidky , Andrew L. Ferguson

A method for classification of complex time series using coarse-grained entropy rates (CER's) is presented. The CER's, which are computed from information-theoretic functionals -- redundancies, are relative measures of regularity and…

comp-gas · 物理学 2015-06-24 Milan Palus

The Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) provides a tool to characterize time series in terms of its implicit components oscillating at different time-scales. We apply this decomposition to intraday time series of the following three…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2018-04-04 Noemi Nava , T. Di Matteo , Tomaso Aste

This article presents the applicability of Permutation Entropy based complexity measure of a time series for detection of fault in wind turbines. A set of electrical data from one faulty and one healthy wind turbine were analysed using…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2016-01-21 Sumit Kumar Ram , Geir Kulia , Marta Molinas

Inferring the coupling structure of complex systems from time series data in general by means of statistical and information-theoretic techniques is a challenging problem in applied science. The reliability of statistical inferences…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2014-11-20 Jie Sun , Carlo Cafaro , Erik M. Bollt

The Multiplicative Error Model (Engle (2002)) for nonnegative valued processes is specified as the product of a (conditionally autoregressive) scale factor and an innovation process with nonnegative support. A multivariate extension allows…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2016-04-06 Fabrizio Cipollini , Robert F. Engle , Giampiero M. Gallo

Acquisition and analysis of time-tagged events is a ubiquitous tool in scientific and industrial applications. With increasing time resolution, number of input channels, and acquired events, the amount of data can be overwhelming for…

仪器与探测器 · 物理学 2021-08-31 Zuzeng Lin , Lucas Schweickert , Samuel Gyger , Klaus D. Jöns , Val Zwiller

Information theory allows us to investigate information processing in neural systems in terms of information transfer, storage and modification. Especially the measure of information transfer, transfer entropy, has seen a dramatic surge of…

Agentic Test-Time Scaling (TTS) has delivered state-of-the-art (SOTA) performance on complex software engineering tasks such as code generation and bug fixing. However, its practical adoption remains limited due to significant computational…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2026-05-14 Chenhui Mao , Yuanting Lei , Zhixiang Wei , Ming Liang , Zhixiang Wang , Jingxuan Xu , Dajun Chen , Wei Jiang , Yong Li

Discovering dominant patterns and exploring dynamic behaviors especially critical state transitions and tipping points in high-dimensional time-series data are challenging tasks in study of real-world complex systems, which demand…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-01-23 Pei Chen , Yaofang Suo , Rui Liu , Luonan Chen

The methods currently used to determine the scaling exponent of a complex dynamic process described by a time series are based on the numerical evaluation of variance. This means that all of them can be safely applied only to the case where…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Nicola Scafetta , Paolo Grigolini

This paper presents a new period finding method based on conditional entropy that is both efficient and accurate. We demonstrate its applicability on simulated and real data. We find that it has comparable performance to other…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2015-06-16 Matthew J. Graham , Andrew J. Drake , S. G. Djorgovski , Ashish A Mahabal , Ciro Donalek

In this paper, we developed a novel method of nonparametric relative entropy (RlEn) for modelling loss of complexity in intermittent time series. The method consists of two steps. We first fit a nonlinear autoregressive model to each…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-08 Jie Li , Jian Zhang , Samantha L. Winter , Mark Burnley