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In samples from a heavy-tailed distribution a second-order approximation is often use to approximate the tail function. Based on the parameters of the approximation, an optimal sample fraction can be estimated which is then used to estimate…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-12-15 J. Martin van Zyl

This paper presents a new model for characterising temporal dependence in exceedances above a threshold. The model is based on the class of trawl processes, which are stationary, infinitely divisible stochastic processes. The model for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-12-19 Ragnhild C. Noven , Almut E. D. Veraart , Axel Gandy

Extreme value theory is part and parcel of any study of order statistics in one dimension. Our aim here is to consider such large sample theory for the maximum distance to the origin, and the related maximum "interpoint distance," in…

概率论 · 数学 2015-10-30 Sreenivasa Rao Jammalamadaka , Svante Janson

This paper deals with optimally-robust parameter estimation in generalized Pareto distributions (GPDs). These arise naturally in many situations where one is interested in the behavior of extreme events as motivated by the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-03-17 Peter Ruckdeschel , Nataliya Horbenko

We derive a closed-form solution for the Kullback-Leibler divergence between two Fr\'echet extreme-value distributions. The resulting expression is rather simple and involves the Euler-Mascheroni constant.

统计理论 · 数学 2023-03-28 Jean-Christophe Pain

Extreme value statistics provides accurate estimates for the small occurrence probabilities of rare events. While theory and statistical tools for univariate extremes are well-developed, methods for high-dimensional and complex data sets…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-06 Sebastian Engelke , Jevgenijs Ivanovs

The problem of estimation of the distribution parameters on the sample when the part of these parameters are discrete (e.g. integer) is considered. We prove that the rate of convergence of MLE estimates under the natural conditions on the…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-02-27 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota , A. Zeldin

In extreme value analysis, the extreme value index plays a vital role as it determines the tail heaviness of the underlying distribution and is the primary parameter required for the estimation of other extreme events. In this paper, we…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-09-27 Richard Minkah , Tertius de Wet , Ezekiel Nii Noi Nortey

The aim of this paper is to investigate, which infinite dimensional consequences follow from the main results of recently published paper of the authors (2009) (see Theorems 2 and 3). We show that the finite dimensional Theorem 3 implies…

概率论 · 数学 2012-03-27 Friedrich Götze , Andrei Yu. Zaitsev

This paper is concerned with the limit theory of the extreme order statistics derived from random walks. We establish the joint convergence of the order statistics near the minimum of a random walk in terms of the Feller chains. Detailed…

概率论 · 数学 2021-09-29 Jim Pitman , Wenpin Tang

We consider the problem of defining the significance of an itemset. We say that the itemset is significant if we are surprised by its frequency when compared to the frequencies of its sub-itemsets. In other words, we estimate the frequency…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-04-30 Nikolaj Tatti

Multivariate extreme value statistical analysis is concerned with observations on several variables which are thought to possess some degree of tail-dependence. In areas such as the modeling of financial and insurance risks, or as the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-12-31 Alexis Bienvenüe , Christian Y. Robert

Let $X_{nr}$ be the $r$th largest of a random sample of size $n$ from a distribution $F (x) = 1 - \sum_{i = 0}^\infty c_i x^{-\alpha - i \beta}$ for $\alpha > 0$ and $\beta > 0$. An inversion theorem is proved and used to derive an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2009-03-26 Saralees Nadarajah , Christopher S. Withers

A common approach for modeling extremes, such as peak flow or high temperatures, is the three-parameter Generalized Extreme-Value distribution. This is typically fit to extreme observations, here defined as maxima over disjoint blocks. This…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-10-07 Nathan Huet , Ilaria Prosdocimi

Extreme value theory (EVT) is a statistical tool for analysis of extreme events. It has a strong theoretical background, however, we need to choose hyper-parameters to apply EVT. In recent studies of machine learning, techniques of choosing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-14 Chikara Nakamura

We address the estimation of quantiles from heavy-tailed distributions when functional covariate information is available and in the case where the order of the quantile converges to one as the sample size increases. Such "extreme"…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-04-04 L. Gardes , S. Girard , A. Lekina

Many multivariate data sets exhibit a form of positive dependence, which can either appear globally between all variables or only locally within particular subgroups. A popular notion of positive dependence that allows for localized…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-06-23 Frank Röttger , Quentin Schmitz

Extremal quantile regression, i.e. quantile regression applied to the tails of the conditional distribution, counts with an increasing number of economic and financial applications such as value-at-risk, production frontiers, determinants…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-24 Victor Chernozhukov , Iván Fernández-Val , Tetsuya Kaji

It is well known and readily seen that the maximum of $n$ independent and uniformly on $[0,1]$ distributed random variables, suitably standardised, converges in total variation distance, as $n$ increases, to the standard negative…

概率论 · 数学 2020-05-06 Michael Falk , Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

The Hellinger distance between quantum states is a significant measure in quantum information theory, known for its Riemannian and monotonic properties. It is also easier to compute than the Bures distance, another measure that shares these…

量子物理 · 物理学 2024-09-24 Vinay Kumar , Kaushik Vasan , Santosh Kumar