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In this paper we study the convergence to fractional Brownian motion for long memory time series having independent innovations with infinite second moment. For the sake of applications we derive the self-normalized version of this theorem.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-11-25 Magda Peligrad , Hailin Sang

The problem of estimating the probability of a random process reaching a certain level is well known. In this article, two-sided estimates are established for the probability that a regenerative process reaches a high level. Two auxiliary…

概率论 · 数学 2025-10-29 Kateryna Akbash , Ivan Matsak , Oleg Zakusylo

We calculate the density and expectation for the number of lineages in a reconstructed tree with $n$ extant species. This is done with conditioning on the age of the tree as well as with assuming a uniform prior for the age of the tree.

概率论 · 数学 2007-11-05 Tanja Gernhard , Dennis Wong

The Brownian motion $(U^N_t)_{t\ge 0}$ on the unitary group converges, as a process, to the free unitary Brownian motion $(u_t)_{t\ge 0}$ as $N\to\infty$. In this paper, we prove that it converges strongly as a process: not only in…

概率论 · 数学 2019-03-05 Benoit Collins , Antoine Dahlqvist , Todd Kemp

In this paper, a class of statistics based on high frequency observations of oscillating and skew Brownian motion is considered. Their convergence rate towards the local time of the underlying process is obtained in form of a functional…

概率论 · 数学 2024-04-04 Sara Mazzonetto

Monotone processes, just like martingales, can often be recovered from their final values. Examples include running maxima of supermartingales, as well as running maxima, local times, and various integral functionals of sticky processes…

概率论 · 数学 2018-02-26 Martin Larsson

Under some mild condition, a random walk in the plane is recurrent. In particular each trajectory is dense, and a natural question is how much time one needs to approach a given small neighborhood of the origin. We address this question in…

动力系统 · 数学 2007-09-18 Françoise Pène , Benoit Saussol

Flip-flop processes refer to a family of stochastic fluid processes which converge to either a standard Brownian motion (SBM) or to a Markov modulated Brownian motion (MMBM). In recent years, it has been shown that complex distributional…

概率论 · 数学 2021-10-12 Guy Latouche , Giang T. Nguyen , Oscar Peralta

We consider branching Brownian motion in which initially there is one particle at $x$, particles produce a random number of offspring with mean $m+1$ at the time of branching events, and each particle branches at rate $\beta = 1/2m$.…

概率论 · 数学 2023-10-03 Pascal Maillard , Jason Schweinsberg

In this paper, we construct a family of probability measures, by penalizations of a Walsh's Brownian motion with a weight dependent on its value and its local time at a time t. We prove that this family converges to a probability measure as…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Joseph Najnudel

Several long-time limit theorems of one-dimensional L\'evy processes weighted and normalized by functions of its supremum are studied. The long-time limits are taken via the families of exponential times and that of constant times, called…

概率论 · 数学 2025-03-18 Shosei Takeda

Every adapted absolutely continuous process has a predictable density. The set of adapted absolutely continuous processes equals the set of time integrals of progressive or predictable pathwise locally integrable processes.

概率论 · 数学 2019-01-17 Lars Tyge Nielsen

A Brownian time process is a Markov process subordinated to the absolute value of an independent one-dimensional Brownian motion. Its transition densities solve an initial value problem involving the square of the generator of the original…

概率论 · 数学 2009-06-25 Boris Baeumer , Mark M. Meerschaert , Erkan Nane

Some probabilistic aspects of the number variance statistic are investigated. Infinite systems of independent Brownian motions and symmetric alpha-stable processes are used to construct new examples of processes which exhibit both divergent…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Ben Hambly , Liza Jones

Given an arbitrary long but finite sequence of observations from a finite set, we construct a simple process that approximates the sequence, in the sense that with high probability the empirical frequency, as well as the empirical one-step…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Dinah Rosenberg , Eilon Solan , Nicolas Vieille

A uniform law of large numbers and a central limit theorem are established via a martingale approach for a univariate Hawkes process with immigration given by a renewal process. The results are obtained for renewal processes with absolutely…

概率论 · 数学 2025-07-01 Luis Iván Hernández Ruíz

In Latouche and Nguyen (2015), the authors constructed a sequence of stochastic fluid processes and showed that it converges weakly to a Markov-modulated Brownian motion (MMBM). Here, we construct a different sequence of stochastic fluid…

概率论 · 数学 2019-08-30 Giang T. Nguyen , Oscar Peralta

We consider a stationary fluid queue with fractional Brownian motion input. Conditional on the workload at time zero being greater than a large value $b$, we provide the limiting distribution for the amount of time that the workload process…

概率论 · 数学 2009-12-11 Hernan Awad , Peter Glynn

As a first step toward a characterization of the limiting extremal process of branching Brownian motion, we proved in a recent work [Comm. Pure Appl. Math. 64 (2011) 1647-1676] that, in the limit of large time $t$, extremal particles…

概率论 · 数学 2012-09-25 Louis-Pierre Arguin , Anton Bovier , Nicola Kistler

We first establish strong convergence rates for multiscale systems driven by $\alpha$-stable processes, with analyses constructed in two distinct scaling regimes. When addressing weak convergence rates of this system, we derive four…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-03 Kun Yin