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Objective: COVID-19 has spread worldwide and made a huge influence across the world. Modeling the infectious spread situation of COVID-19 is essential to understand the current condition and to formulate intervention measurements.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-23 Ruhan Liu , Jiajia Li , Yang Wen , Huating Li , Ping Zhang , Bin Sheng , David Dagan Feng

In power grids, short-term load forecasting (STLF) is crucial as it contributes to the optimization of their reliability, emissions, and costs, while it enables the participation of energy companies in the energy market. STLF is a…

COVID-19 has caused lasting damage to almost every domain in public health, society, and economy. To monitor the pandemic trend, existing studies rely on the aggregation of traditional statistical models and epidemic spread theory. In other…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-08-10 Yichao Zhou , Jyun-yu Jiang , Xiusi Chen , Wei Wang

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a considerable impact on day-to-day life. Tackling the disease by providing the necessary resources to the affected is of paramount importance. However, estimation of the required resources is not a trivial…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-05-11 Sai Vidyaranya Nuthalapati , Marcela Vizcaychipi , Pallav Shah , Piotr Chudzik , Chee Hau Leow , Paria Yousefi , Ahmed Selim , Keiran Tait , Ben Irving

Given aggregated mobile device data, the goal is to understand the impact of COVID-19 policy interventions on mobility. This problem is vital due to important societal use cases, such as safely reopening the economy. Challenges include…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2022-01-19 Arun Sharma , Majid Farhadloo , Yan Li , Aditya Kulkarni , Jayant Gupta , Shashi Shekhar

In this paper, a susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) model has been used to track the evolution of the spread of the COVID-19 virus in four countries of interest. In particular, the epidemic model, that depends on some basic characteristics,…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-10-28 Ian Cooper , Argha Mondal , Chris G. Antonopoulos

With the continued spread of coronavirus, the task of forecasting distinctive COVID-19 growth curves in different cities, which remain inadequately explained by standard epidemiological models, is critical for medical supply and treatment.…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-02-23 Zhenyu Han , Fengli Xu , Yong Li , Tao Jiang , Depeng Jin , Jianhua Lu , James A. Evans

Accurately forecasting patient arrivals at Urgent Care Clinics (UCCs) and Emergency Departments (EDs) is important for effective resourcing and patient care. However, correctly estimating patient flows is not straightforward since it…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-03 Teo Susnjak , Paula Maddigan

The COVID-19 pandemic has brought forth the importance of epidemic forecasting for decision makers in multiple domains, ranging from public health to the economy as a whole. While forecasting epidemic progression is frequently…

Since the outbreak of COVID-19, it has rapidly evolved into a sudden and major public health emergency globally. With the variants of COVID-19, the difficulty of pandemic control continues to increase, which has brought significant costs to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-08-26 Yufei Wang , Mingzhuang Hua , Xuewu Chen , Wendong Chen , Long Cheng

We build a deep-learning-based SEIR-AIM model integrating the classical Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Removed epidemiology model with forecast modules of infection, community mobility, and unemployment. Through linking Google's…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-09-22 Lin William Cong , Ke Tang , Bing Wang , Jingyuan Wang

Several researches and evidence show the increasing likelihood of pandemics (large-scale outbreaks of infectious disease) which has far reaching sequels in all aspects of human lives ranging from rapid mortality rates to economic and social…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-06 Shreya Ghosh , Anwesha Mukherjee , Soumya K Ghosh , Rajkumar Buyya

In the recent COVID-19 pandemic we assisted at a sequence of epidemic waves intertwined by anomalous fade-outs with periods of low but persistent epidemic prevalence. These long-living epidemic states complicate epidemic control and…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-08-27 Javier Aguilar , Beatriz Arregui García , Raúl Toral , Sandro Meloni , Jose J. Ramasco

Timely and rapid diagnoses are core to informing on optimum interventions that curb the spread of COVID-19. The use of medical images such as chest X-rays and CTs has been advocated to supplement the Reverse-Transcription Polymerase Chain…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-05-31 Ogechukwu Ukwandu , Hanan Hindy , Elochukwu Ukwandu

Among various spatio-temporal prediction tasks, epidemic forecasting plays a critical role in public health management. Recent studies have demonstrated the strong potential of spatio-temporal graph neural networks (STGNNs) in extracting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-30 Yufan Zheng , Wei Jiang , Tong Chen , Alexander Zhou , Nguyen Quoc Viet Hung , Choujun Zhan , Hongzhi Yin

As the COVID-19 pandemic continues to ravage the world, it is of critical significance to provide a timely risk prediction of the COVID-19 in multi-level. To implement it and evaluate the public health policies, we develop a framework with…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-12-02 Lingxiao Wang , Tian Xu , Till Hannes Stoecker , Horst Stoecker , Yin Jiang , Kai Zhou

Deep Learning has been successfully applied to many application domains, yet its advantages have been slow to emerge for time series forecasting. For example, in the well-known Makridakis (M) Competitions, hybrids of traditional statistical…

Pandemics can cause immense disruption and damage to communities and societies. Thus far, modeling of pandemics has focused on either large-scale difference equation models like the SIR and the SEIR models, or detailed micro-level…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2010-07-27 Teruhiko Yoneyama , Sanmay Das , Mukkai Krishnamoorthy

Effective epidemic modeling is essential for managing public health crises, requiring robust methods to predict disease spread and optimize resource allocation. This study introduces a novel deep learning framework that advances time series…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-01-19 Mousa Alizadeh , Mohammad Hossein Samaei , Azam Seilsepour , Alireza Monavarian , Mohammad TH Beheshti

The COVID-19 pandemic has shed light on how the spread of infectious diseases worldwide are importantly shaped by both human mobility networks and socio-economic factors. Few studies, however, have examined the interaction of mobility…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-02-09 Shiv G. Yücel , Rafael H. M. Pereira , Pedro S. Peixoto , Chico Q. Camargo