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Standard epidemiological models for COVID-19 employ variants of compartment (SIR) models at local scales, implicitly assuming spatially uniform local mixing. Here, we examine the effect of employing more geographically detailed diffusion…

The outbreak of COVID-19 i.e. a variation of coronavirus, also known as novel corona virus causing respiratory disease is a big concern worldwide since the end of December 2019. As of September 12, 2020, it has turned into an epidemic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-08 Neeraj , Jimson Mathew , Ranjan Kumar Behera , Zenin Easa Panthakkalakath

The COVID-19 pandemic and the implementation of social distancing policies have rapidly changed people's visiting patterns, as reflected in mobility data that tracks mobility traffic using location trackers on cell phones. However, the…

The COVID-19 pandemic has dramatically changed how healthcare is delivered to patients, how patients interact with healthcare providers, and how healthcare information is disseminated to both healthcare providers and patients. Analytical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-22 Michele Bennett , Jaya Balusu , Karin Hayes , Ewa J. Kleczyk

Classical compartmental models in epidemiology often assume a homogeneous population for simplicity, which neglects the inherent heterogeneity among individuals. This assumption frequently leads to inaccurate predictions when applied to…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-09-09 Ning Jiang , Weiqi Chu , Yao Li

Current efforts of modelling COVID-19 are often based on the standard compartmental models such as SEIR and their variations. As pre-symptomatic and asymptomatic cases can spread the disease between populations through travel, it is…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-10-06 Xiaoye Ding , Shenyang Huang , Abby Leung , Reihaneh Rabbany

We propose the deep demixing (DDmix) model, a graph autoencoder that can reconstruct epidemics evolving over networks from partial or aggregated temporal information. Assuming knowledge of the network topology but not of the epidemic model,…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2023-06-14 Boning Li , Gojko Čutura , Ananthram Swami , Santiago Segarra

COVID-19 pandemic has an unprecedented impact all over the world since early 2020. During this public health crisis, reliable forecasting of the disease becomes critical for resource allocation and administrative planning. The results from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-07 Xiaoyong Jin , Yu-Xiang Wang , Xifeng Yan

In this work, we contribute the first visual open-source empirical study on human behaviour during the COVID-19 pandemic, in order to investigate how compliant a general population is to mask-wearing-related public-health policy.…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2023-11-23 Yuxi Heluo , Kexin Wang , Charles W. Robson

Recently, Graph Convolutional Networks (GCNs) have proven to be a powerful machine learning tool for Computer-Aided Diagnosis (CADx) and disease prediction. A key component in these models is to build a population graph, where the graph…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-16 Luca Cosmo , Anees Kazi , Seyed-Ahmad Ahmadi , Nassir Navab , Michael Bronstein

Game theory has been an effective tool in the control of disease spread and in suggesting optimal policies at both individual and area levels. In this paper, we propose a multi-region SEIR model based on stochastic differential game theory,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-03-10 Yao Xuan , Robert Balkin , Jiequn Han , Ruimeng Hu , Hector D. Ceniceros

A disease in a given population is termed endemic when it exhibits a steady prevalence. We address the pertinent question as to what extent COVID-19 has turned endemic in India. There are several existing models for studying endemic…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-11-14 Madhuchhanda Bhattacharjee , Arup Bose

The rapid spreading of SARS-CoV-2 and its dramatic consequences, are forcing policymakers to take strict measures in order to keep the population safe. At the same time, societal and economical interactions are to be safeguarded. A wide…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2021-02-17 Lorenzo Chicchi , Lorenzo Giambagli , Lorenzo Buffoni , Duccio Fanelli

We demonstrate an approach to replicate and forecast the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) pandemic using the toolkit of probabilistic programming languages (PPLs). Our goal is to study the impact of various modeling assumptions and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-08 Swapneel Mehta , Noah Kasmanoff

To combat the recent coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), academician and clinician are in search of new approaches to predict the COVID-19 outbreak dynamic trends that may slow down or stop the pandemic. Epidemiological models like…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2021-09-01 Hanuman Verma , Saurav Mandal , Akshansh Gupta

COVID-19 pandemic has spread rapidly and caused a shortage of global medical resources. The efficiency of COVID-19 diagnosis has become highly significant. As deep learning and convolutional neural network (CNN) has been widely utilized and…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-05-30 Alexandros Shikun Zhang , Naomi Fengqi Li

With COVID-19 affecting every country globally and changing everyday life, the ability to forecast the spread of the disease is more important than any previous epidemic. The conventional methods of disease-spread modeling, compartmental…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-08-19 Benjamin Lucas , Behzad Vahedi , Morteza Karimzadeh

This paper investigates the impact of human activity and mobility (HAM) in the spreading dynamics of an epidemic. Specifically, it explores the interconnections between HAM and its effect on the early spread of the COVID-19 virus. During…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-08-06 Shakib Mustavee , Shaurya Agarwal , Chinwendu Enyioha , Suddhasattwa Das

Topic modelling with innovative deep learning methods has gained interest for a wide range of applications that includes COVID-19. Topic modelling can provide, psychological, social and cultural insights for understanding human behaviour in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-02 Janhavi Lande , Arti Pillay , Rohitash Chandra

The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly challenged traditional epidemiological models due to factors such as delayed diagnosis, asymptomatic transmission, isolation-induced contact changes, and underreported mortality. In response to these…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-03-10 Wenchen Liu , Chang Liu , Dehui Wang , Yiyuan She