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Birth-death processes (BDPs) are continuous-time Markov chains that track the number of "particles" in a system over time. While widely used in population biology, genetics and ecology, statistical inference of the instantaneous particle…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-11-22 Forrest W. Crawford , Vladimir N. Minin , Marc A. Suchard

We introduce a family of multivariate continuous-time pure birth and pure death chains, with birth and death rates defined in terms of the generalized binomial coefficients for multiplicity free actions. The state spaces for some of the…

概率论 · 数学 2019-05-30 Wojciech Matysiak , Marcin Świeca

We consider an approximating sequence of interacting population models with branching, mutation and competition. Each individual is characterized by its trait and the traits of its ancestors. Birth- and death-events happen at exponential…

概率论 · 数学 2014-12-08 Sandra Kliem

The paper presents a phenomenon occurring in population processes that start near zero and have large carrying capacity. By the classical result of Kurtz~(1970), such processes, normalized by the carrying capacity, converge on finite…

概率论 · 数学 2016-12-19 A. D. Barbour , P. Chigansky , F. C. Klebaner

A birth-death chain is a discrete-time Markov chain on the integers whose transition probabilities $p_{i,j}$ are non-zero if and only if $|i-j|=1$. We consider birth-death chains whose birth probabilities $p_{i,i+1}$ form a periodic…

概率论 · 数学 2022-03-07 Mark Holmes , Alexander E. Holroyd , Alejandro Ramírez

We consider the task of filtering a dynamic parameter evolving as a diffusion process, given data collected at discrete times from a likelihood which is conjugate to the marginal law of the diffusion, when a generic dual process on a…

In this paper, we develop an in-depth analysis of non-reversible Markov chains on denumerable state space from a similarity orbit perspective. In particular, we study the class of Markov chains whose transition kernel is in the similarity…

概率论 · 数学 2020-08-21 Michael C. H. Choi , Pierre Patie

The classical Schrodinger bridge seeks the most likely probability law for a diffusion process, in path space, that matches marginals at two end points in time; the likelihood is quantified by the relative entropy between the sought law and…

数学物理 · 物理学 2015-06-19 Tryphon T. Georgiou , Michele Pavon

For birth and death chains, we derive bounds on the spectral gap and mixing time in terms of birth and death rates. Together with the results of Ding et al. in 2010, this provides a criterion for the existence of a cutoff in terms of the…

概率论 · 数学 2013-04-17 Guan-Yu Chen , Laurent Saloff-Coste

In this paper, we introduce and examine a fractional linear birth--death process $N_{\nu}(t)$, $t>0$, whose fractionality is obtained by replacing the time derivative with a fractional derivative in the system of difference-differential…

概率论 · 数学 2013-03-28 Enzo Orsingher , Federico Polito

In a Markov chain population model subject to catastrophes, random immigration events (birth), promoting growth, are in balance with the effect of binomial catastrophes that cause recurrent mass removal (death). Using a generating function…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-01-12 Branda Goncalves , Thierry Huillet

In this paper we propose a new method for approximating the nonstationary moment dynamics of one dimensional Markovian birth-death processes. By expanding the transition probabilities of the Markov process in terms of Poisson-Charlier…

数值分析 · 数学 2014-09-23 Stefan Engblom , Jamol Pender

We introduce and study the dynamics of an \emph{immortal} critical branching process. In the classic, critical branching process, particles give birth to a single offspring or die at the same rates. Even though the average population is…

概率论 · 数学 2021-06-22 P. L. Krapivsky , S. Redner

A coinless quantisation procedure of continuous and discrete time Birth and Death (BD) processes is presented. The quantum Hamiltonian H is derived by similarity transforming the matrix L describing the BD equation in terms of the square…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-02-05 Ryu Sasaki

Extreme mutation rates in microbes and cancer cells can result in error-induced extinction (EEX), where every descendant cell eventually acquires a lethal mutation. In this work, we investigate critical birth-death processes with $n$…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-07-08 Meritxell Brunet Guasch , P. L. Krapivsky , Tibor Antal

A common problem that affects simulations of complex systems within the computational physics and chemistry communities is the so-called sampling problem or rare event problem where proper sampling of energy landscapes is impeded by the…

计算物理 · 物理学 2023-03-06 Benjamin Pampel , Simon Holbach , Lisa Hartung , Omar Valsson

We establish the general equivalence between rare event process for arbitrary continuous functions whose maximal values are achieved on non-trivial sets, and the entry times distribution for arbitrary measure zero sets. We then use it to…

动力系统 · 数学 2019-05-27 Fan Yang

We consider a continuous-time symmetric branching random walk on multidimensional lattices with immigration and infinite number of initial particles. We assume that at every lattice point a process of birth and death of particles is…

概率论 · 数学 2020-02-11 Yu. Makarova , D. Han , S. Molchanov , E. Yarovaya

We study composition-valued continuous-time Markov chains that appear naturally in the framework of Chinese Restaurant Processes (CRPs). As time evolves, new customers arrive (up-step) and existing customers leave (down-step) at suitable…

概率论 · 数学 2020-06-12 Dane Rogers , Matthias Winkel

For a birth-death process subject to catastrophes, defined on the state-space $S=\{r,r+1,r+2,...\}$, with $r$ a positive integer or zero, the first-visit time to a state $k\in S$ is considered and the Laplace transform of its probability…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 A. Di Crescenzo , V. Giorno , A. G. Nobile , L. M. Ricciardi