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We investigate the behavior of the Generalized Likelihood Ratio Test (GLRT) (Fan, Zhang and Zhang [Ann. Statist. 29 (2001) 153-193]) for time varying coefficient models where the regressors and errors are non-stationary time series and can…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-02-05 Zhou Zhou

The danger of confusing long-range dependence with non-stationarity has been pointed out by many authors. Finding an answer to this difficult question is of importance to model time-series showing trend-like behavior, such as river run-off…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-06-08 Olaf Kouamo , Eric Moulines , François Roueff

We consider strictly stationary stochastic processes of Hilbert space-valued random variables and focus on fully functional tests for the equality of the lag-zero autocovariance operators of several independent functional time series. A…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-04-07 Dimitrios Pilavakis , Efstathios Paparoditis , Theofanis Sapatinas

This article studies bootstrap inference for high dimensional weakly dependent time series in a general framework of approximately linear statistics. The following high dimensional applications are covered: (1) uniform confidence band for…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-08-12 Xianyang Zhang , Guang Cheng

We present a test for independence of two strictly stationary time series based on a bootstrap procedure for the distance covariance. Our test detects any kind of dependence between the two time series within an arbitrary maximum lag $L$.…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-02-06 Annika Betken , Herold Dehling , Marius Kroll

The paper presents a systematic theory for asymptotic inference of autocovariances of stationary processes. We consider nonparametric tests for serial correlations based on the maximum (or ${\cal L}^\infty$) and the quadratic (or ${\cal…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-19 Han Xiao , Wei Biao Wu

In this paper we propose a nonparametric procedure for validating the assumption of stationarity in multivariate locally stationary time series models. We develop a bootstrap assisted test based on a Kolmogorov-Smirnov type statistic, which…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-12-06 Ruprecht Puchstein , Philip Preuß

Forecasting the evolution of complex systems is one of the grand challenges of modern data science. The fundamental difficulty lies in understanding the structure of the observed stochastic process. In this paper, we show that every…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-01-01 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

Multivariate locally stationary functional time series provide a flexible framework for modeling complex data structures exhibiting both temporal and spatial dependencies while allowing for time-varying data generating mechanism. In this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-15 Lujia Bai , Holger Dette , Weichi Wu

For testing hypothesis on the covariance operator of functional time series, we suggest to use the full functional information and to avoid dimension reduction techniques. The limit distribution follows from the central limit theorem of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-03-02 Olimjon Sh. Sharipov , Martin Wendler

Wavelets provide the flexibility to analyse stochastic processes at different scales. Here, we apply them to multivariate point processes as a means of detecting and analysing unknown non-stationarity, both within and across data streams.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-04 Edward A. K. Cohen , Alexander J. Gibberd

We consider infinite-dimensional Hilbert space-valued random variables that are assumed to be temporal dependent in a broad sense. We prove a central limit theorem for the moving block bootstrap and for the tapered block bootstrap, and show…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-10-24 Dimitrios Pilavakis , Efstathios Paparoditis , Theofanis Sapatinas

In this paper, we introduce a new method for testing the stationarity of time series, where the test statistic is obtained from measuring and maximising the difference in the second-order structure over pairs of randomly drawn intervals.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-11-29 Haeran Cho

We consider the problem of testing for long-range dependence in time-varying coefficient regression models, where the covariates and errors are locally stationary, allowing complex temporal dynamics and heteroscedasticity. We develop KPSS,…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-03-10 Lujia Bai , Weichi Wu

We consider estimation of covariance matrices and their inverses (a.k.a. precision matrices) for high-dimensional stationary and locally stationary time series. In the latter case the covariance matrices evolve smoothly in time, thus…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-01-07 Xiaohui Chen , Mengyu Xu , Wei Biao Wu

In this paper we investigate how the bootstrap can be applied to time series regressions when the volatility of the innovations is random and non-stationary. The volatility of many economic and financial time series displays persistent…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-01-12 H. Peter Boswijk , Giuseppe Cavaliere , Anders Rahbek , Iliyan Georgiev

We introduce a Gaussian process-based model for handling of non-stationarity. The warping is achieved non-parametrically, through imposing a prior on the relative change of distance between subsequent observation inputs. The model allows…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-12-06 David Tolpin

We propose a bootstrap-based test to detect a mean shift in a sequence of high-dimensional observations with unknown time-varying heteroscedasticity. The proposed test builds on the U-statistic based approach in Wang et al. (2022), targets…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-17 Teng Wu , Stanislav Volgushev , Xiaofeng Shao

High-dimensional multivariate time series are common in many scientific and industrial applications, where the interest lies in identifying key dependence structure within the data for subsequent analysis tasks, such as forecasting. An…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-15 Madeline A. Shelley , Chiara Boetti , Marina I. Knight , Matthew A. Nunes

Strict stationarity is a common assumption used in the time series literature in order to derive asymptotic distributional results for second-order statistics, like sample autocovariances and sample autocorrelations. Focusing on weak…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-02-28 Yunyi Zhang , Efstathios Paparoditis , Dimitris N. Politis
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