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For algorithms based on interacting particle systems that admit a mean-field description, convergence analysis is often more accessible at the mean-field level. In order to transfer convergence results obtained at the mean-field level to…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-03 Nicolai Jurek Gerber , Franca Hoffmann , Urbain Vaes

We propose a method for the accurate estimation of rare event or failure probabilities for expensive-to-evaluate numerical models in high dimensions. The proposed approach combines ideas from large deviation theory and adaptive importance…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-03-28 Shanyin Tong , Georg Stadler

We consider the computation of free energy-like quantities for diffusions in high dimension, when resorting to Monte Carlo simulation is necessary. Such stochastic computations typically suffer from high variance, in particular in a low…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-07-06 Grégoire Ferré

Sampling rare events in metastable dynamical systems is often a computationally expensive task and one needs to resort to enhanced sampling methods such as importance sampling. Since we can formulate the problem of finding optimal…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-10-05 Enric Ribera Borrell , Jannes Quer , Lorenz Richter , Christof Schütte

We consider a collection of weakly interacting diffusion processes moving in a two-scale locally periodic environment. We study the large deviations principle of the empirical distribution of the particles' positions in the combined limit…

概率论 · 数学 2022-11-03 Zachary Bezemek , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Hamiltonian Flow Monte Carlo(HFMC) methods have been implemented in engineering, biology and chemistry. HFMC makes large gradient based steps to rapidly explore the state space. The application of the Hamiltonian dynamics allows to estimate…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-09-06 Raphael Douady , Shohruh Miryusupov

In this paper, we study a Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation set on the Wasserstein space $\mathcal{P}_2(\mathbb{R}^d)$, with a second order term arising from a purely common noise. We do not assume that the Hamiltonian is convex in the…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2025-10-06 Samuel Daudin , Joe Jackson , Benjamin Seeger

Importance sampling is a variance reduction technique for efficient estimation of rare-event probabilities by Monte Carlo. In standard importance sampling schemes, the system is simulated using an a priori fixed change of measure suggested…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Paul Dupuis , Hui Wang

In this paper we study a mean field control problem in which particles are absorbed when they reach the boundary of a smooth domain. The value of the N-particle problem is described by a hierarchy of Hamilton-Jacobi equations which are…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2026-05-14 Pierre Cardaliaguet , Joe Jackson , Panagiotis E. Souganidis

Bayesian sampling is an important task in statistics and machine learning. Over the past decade, many ensemble-type sampling methods have been proposed. In contrast to the classical Markov chain Monte Carlo methods, these new methods deploy…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-05-14 Shi Chen , Zhiyan Ding , Qin Li

We study in this paper a control problem in a space of random variables. We show that its Hamilton Jacobi Bellman equation is related to the Master equation in Mean field theory. P.L. Lions in [14,15] introduced the Hilbert space of square…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-08-05 Alain Bensoussan , Phillip Yam

This paper introduces and analyses interacting underdamped Langevin algorithms, termed Kinetic Interacting Particle Langevin Monte Carlo (KIPLMC) methods, for statistical inference in latent variable models. We propose a diffusion process…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-04-17 Paul Felix Valsecchi Oliva , O. Deniz Akyildiz

This paper develops a comparison theorem for viscosity solutions of a new class of Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equations, which is used to solve the separated problem governed by the K-S equation in the Wasserstein space. A distinctive…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2025-03-05 Hexiang Wan , Jie Xiong

We study an optimal control problem of McKean--Vlasov branching diffusion processes, in which the interaction term is determined by the marginal measure induced by all alive particles in the system. Accordingly, the value function is…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-12-02 Julien Claisse , Jiazhi Kang , Tianxu Lan , Xiaolu Tan

Accurate and efficient estimation of rare events probabilities is of significant importance, since often the occurrences of such events have widespread impacts. The focus in this work is on precisely quantifying these probabilities, often…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-23 Konstantinos G. Papakonstantinou , Hamed Nikbakht , Elsayed Eshra

In this article we consider likelihood-based estimation of static parameters for a class of partially observed McKean-Vlasov (POMV) diffusion process with discrete-time observations over a fixed time interval. In particular, using the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-12 Ajay Jasra , Mohamed Maama , Raul Tempone

We consider a mean-field system of path-dependent stochastic interacting diffusions in random media over a finite time window. The interaction term is given as a function of the empirical measure and is allowed to be non-linear and path…

概率论 · 数学 2022-03-03 Rangel Baldasso , Alan Pereira , Guilherme Reis

Wasserstein gradient flows provide a powerful means of understanding and solving many diffusion equations. Specifically, Fokker-Planck equations, which model the diffusion of probability measures, can be understood as gradient descent over…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-26 Petr Mokrov , Alexander Korotin , Lingxiao Li , Aude Genevay , Justin Solomon , Evgeny Burnaev

We study existence of probability measure valued jump-diffusions described by martingale problems. We develop a simple device that allows us to embed Wasserstein spaces and other similar spaces of probability measures into locally compact…

概率论 · 数学 2020-12-03 Martin Larsson , Sara Svaluto-Ferro

In this article we consider static Bayesian parameter estimation for partially observed diffusions that are discretely observed. We work under the assumption that one must resort to discretizing the underlying diffusion process, for…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-01-23 Ajay Jasra , Kengo Kamatani , Kody J. H. Law , Yan Zhou