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For discrete-time linear systems subject to parametric uncertainty described by random variables, we develop a sampling-based Stochastic Model Predictive Control algorithm. Unlike earlier results employing a scenario approximation, we…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2016-06-21 Matthias Lorenzen , Fabrizio Dabbene , Roberto Tempo , Frank Allgöwer

Algorithms and dynamics over networks often involve randomization, and randomization may result in oscillating dynamics which fail to converge in a deterministic sense. In this paper, we observe this undesired feature in three applications,…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2013-12-17 Chiara Ravazzi , Paolo Frasca , Roberto Tempo , Hideaki Ishii

In this article, we consider computing expectations w.r.t. probability measures which are subject to discretization error. Examples include partially observed diffusion processes or inverse problems, where one may have to discretize time…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-02-25 Jeremy Heng , Ajay Jasra , Kody J. H. Law , Alexander Tarakanov

Solution of Ordinary Differential Equation (ODE) model of dynamical system may not agree with its observed values. Often this discrepancy can be attributed to unmodeled forcings in the evolution rule of the dynamical system. In this…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2021-08-13 Saurabh Dixit , Soumyendu Raha

It has been observed that an interesting class of non-Gaussian stationary processes is obtained when in the harmonics of a signal with random amplitudes and phases, frequencies can also vary randomly. In the resulting models, the…

概率论 · 数学 2019-11-19 Anastassia Baxevani , Krzysztof Podgórski

Discrete numerical methods with finite time-steps represent a practical technique to solve initial-value problems involving nonlinear differential equations. These methods seem particularly useful to the study of chaos since no analytical…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2010-01-01 Lun-Shin Yao

Analytical solutions to the chaotic and ergodic motion of a certain class of one-dimensional dissipative and discrete dynamical systems are derived. This allows us to obtain exact expressions for physical properties like the time…

chao-dyn · 物理学 2009-10-30 D. Pingel , P. Schmelcher , F. K. Diakonos

An experimental approach is taken to study the dynamics of the dripping water faucet, a simple deterministic system. The time interval between successive drops may be affected by the many drops preceding it. The time interval is predicted…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2023-07-13 Michael Sekatchev

The vast majority of stochastic simulation models are imperfect in that they fail to exactly emulate real system dynamics. The inexactness of the simulation model, or model discrepancy, can impact the predictive accuracy and usefulness of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-07-21 Matthew Plumlee , Henry Lam

We study the problem of system identification for stochastic continuous-time dynamics, based on a single finite-length state trajectory. We present a method for estimating the possibly unstable open-loop matrix by employing properly…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-30 Reza Sadeghi Hafshejani , Mohamad Kazem Shirani Fradonbeh

For a simple model of chaotic dynamical systems with a large number of degrees of freedom, we find that there is an ensemble of unstable periodic orbits (UPOs) with the special property that the expectation values of macroscopic quantities…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Mitsuhiro Kawasaki , Shin-ichi Sasa

The dynamics of many systems nowadays follow not only physical laws but also man-made rules. These systems are known as discrete event dynamic systems and their performances can be accurately evaluated only through simulations. Existing…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2012-06-27 Qing-Shan Jia

Simulation is a fundamental research tool in the computer architecture field. These kinds of tools enable the exploration and evaluation of architectural proposals capturing the most relevant aspects of the highly complex systems under…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2019-02-11 Adrian Colaso , Pablo Prieto , Jose-Angel Herrero , Pablo Abad , Valentin Puente , Jose-Angel Gregorio

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are widely used to model biological, (bio-)chemical and technical processes. The parameters of these ODEs are often estimated from experimental data using ODE-constrained optimisation. This article…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-11-06 Anna Fiedler , Fabian J. Theis , Jan Hasenauer

A probabilistic approach of computing geometric rate of convergence of stochastic processes is introduced in this paper. The goal is to quantitatively compute both upper and lower bounds of the exponential rate of convergence to the…

动力系统 · 数学 2020-12-02 Yao Li , Shirou Wang

We experimentally observe the nonlinear dynamics of an optoelectronic time-delayed feedback loop designed for chaotic communication using commercial fiber optic links, and we simulate the system using delay differential equations. We show…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2009-08-24 Adam B. Cohen , Bhargava Ravoori , Thomas E. Murphy , Rajarshi Roy

The Path-dependent Neural Jump ODE (PD-NJ-ODE) is a model for online prediction of generic (possibly non-Markovian) stochastic processes with irregular (in time) and potentially incomplete (with respect to coordinates) observations. It is a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-07-29 Florian Krach , Josef Teichmann

When reporting statistics from simulations of statistically stationary chaotic phenomenon, it is important to verify that the simulations are time-converged. This condition is connected with the statistical error or number of digits with…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2021-11-24 Yasaman Shirian , Jeremy Horwitz , Ali Mani

Tipping behavior can occur when an equilibrium of a dynamical system loses stability in response to a slowly varying parameter crossing a bifurcation threshold, or where noise drives a system from one attractor to another, or some…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2026-01-26 Raphael Römer , Peter Ashwin

In engineering, accurately modeling nonlinear dynamic systems from data contaminated by noise is both essential and complex. Established Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, used for the Bayesian identification of these systems, facilitate…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-04-25 Joe D. Longbottom , Max D. Champneys , Timothy J. Rogers