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相关论文: Newsvendor Conditional Value-at-Risk Minimisation:…

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In many data-driven decision-making problems, performance guarantees often depend heavily on the correctness of model assumptions, which may frequently fail in practice. We address this issue in the context of a feature-based newsvendor…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-18 Junyu Cao

In many sequential decision-making problems we may want to manage risk by minimizing some measure of variability in costs in addition to minimizing a standard criterion. Conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) is a relatively new risk measure that…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2014-07-14 Yinlam Chow , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh

The newsvendor problem is a popular inventory management problem in supply chain management and logistics. Solutions to the newsvendor problem determine optimal inventory levels. This model is typically fully determined by a purchase and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-10-20 Sergey Tarima , Zhanna Zenkova

In this paper we address the problem of decision making within a Markov decision process (MDP) framework where risk and modeling errors are taken into account. Our approach is to minimize a risk-sensitive conditional-value-at-risk (CVaR)…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2015-06-09 Yinlam Chow , Aviv Tamar , Shie Mannor , Marco Pavone

We study the feature-based newsvendor problem, in which a decision-maker has access to historical data consisting of demand observations and exogenous features. In this setting, we investigate feature selection, aiming to derive sparse,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-13 Breno Serrano , Stefan Minner , Maximilian Schiffer , Thibaut Vidal

In retailer management, the Newsvendor problem has widely attracted attention as one of basic inventory models. In the traditional approach to solving this problem, it relies on the probability distribution of the demand. In theory, if the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-06-12 Yanfei Zhang , Junbin Gao

This paper investigates the data-driven pricing newsvendor problem, which focuses on maximizing expected profit by deciding on inventory and pricing levels based on historical demand and feature data. We first build an approximate model by…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-05-12 Wenxuan Liu , Zhihai Zhang

Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) are popular risk measures from academic, industrial and regulatory perspectives. The problem of minimizing CVaR is theoretically known to be of Neyman-Pearson type binary solution. We…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2013-08-19 Jing Li , Mingxin Xu

In classical newsvendor model, piece-wise linear shortage and excess costs are balanced out to determine the optimal order quantity. However, for critical perishable commodities, severity of the costs may be much more than linear. In this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-01 Soham Ghosh , Sujay Mukhoti

We consider a repeated newsvendor problem where the inventory manager has no prior information about the demand, and can access only censored/sales data. In analogy to multi-armed bandit problems, the manager needs to simultaneously…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-10-17 Gábor Lugosi , Mihalis G. Markakis , Gergely Neu

Conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) is a prominent risk measure in financial engineering, energy systems, and supply chain management. In these domains, Markov decision processes (MDPs) with a long-run CVaR criterion effectively mitigate cost…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-03-11 Qixin Wang , Hao Cao , Jian-Qiang Hu , Mingjie Hu , Li Xia

The classic newsvendor model yields an optimal decision for a ``newsvendor'' selecting a quantity of inventory, under the assumption that the demand is drawn from a known distribution. Motivated by applications such as cloud provisioning…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-02-21 Lin An , Andrew A. Li , Benjamin Moseley , R. Ravi

We propose a Policy Averaging Approach (PAA) that synthesizes the strengths of existing approaches to create more reliable, flexible and justifiable policies for stochastic optimization problems. An important component of the PAA is risk…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-03-25 Xiangyu Cui , Nicholas G. Hall , Yun Shi , Tianyuan Su

In this work, we tackle the problem of minimising the Conditional-Value-at-Risk (CVaR) of output quantities of complex differential models with random input data, using gradient-based approaches in combination with the Multi-Level Monte…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-10-16 Sundar Ganesh , Fabio Nobile

We present the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) in the context of Markov chains and Markov decision processes with reachability and mean-payoff objectives. CVaR quantifies risk by means of the expectation of the worst p-quantile. As such it…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2018-05-09 Jan Křetínský , Tobias Meggendorfer

We consider a liquidation problem in which a risk-averse trader tries to liquidate a fixed quantity of an asset in the presence of market impact and random price fluctuations. The trader encounters a trade-off between the transaction costs…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2022-01-31 Seungki Min , Ciamac C. Moallemi , Costis Maglaras

We propose a risk-averse statistical learning framework wherein the performance of a learning algorithm is evaluated by the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) of losses rather than the expected loss. We devise algorithms based on stochastic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-02-17 Tasuku Soma , Yuichi Yoshida

In high-stakes machine learning applications, it is crucial to not only perform well on average, but also when restricted to difficult examples. To address this, we consider the problem of training models in a risk-averse manner. We propose…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-09 Sebastian Curi , Kfir. Y. Levy , Stefanie Jegelka , Andreas Krause

This paper proposes a safety analysis method that facilitates a tunable balance between the worst-case and risk-neutral perspectives. First, we define a risk-sensitive safe set to specify the degree of safety attained by a stochastic…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-07-28 Margaret P. Chapman , Jonathan P. Lacotte , Kevin M. Smith , Insoon Yang , Yuxi Han , Marco Pavone , Claire J. Tomlin

The geology of oil reservoirs is largely unknown. Consequently, the reservoir models used for production optimization are subject to significant uncertainty. To minimize the associated risk, the oil literature has mainly used ensemble-based…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-01-03 Andrea Capolei , Lasse Hjuler Christiansen , John Bagterp Jørgensen
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