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Every day, we judge the probability of propositions. When we communicate graded confidence (e.g. "I am 90% sure"), we enable others to gauge how much weight to attach to our judgment. Ideally, people should share their judgments to reach…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2025-01-10 Patrick Stinson , Jasper van den Bosch , Trenton Jerde , Nikolaus Kriegeskorte

Collectiveness is an important property of many systems--both natural and artificial. By exploiting a large number of individuals, it is often possible to produce effects that go far beyond the capabilities of the smartest individuals, or…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-10-26 Roberto Casadei

A core part of human intelligence is the ability to work flexibly with others to achieve goals. The incorporation of artificial agents into human spaces is making increasing demands on artificial intelligence (AI) to demonstrate and…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2026-03-30 William J. Bingley , S. Alexander Haslam , Janet Wiles

Scientific investigation procedures have been evolving to follow an ever-changing cultural landscape, the sophistication of the technology available and an ever-growing knowledge base. This continuous evolution brought investigation…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2018-09-11 Jorge Faleiro

Low-level "adaptive" and higher-level "sophisticated" human reasoning processes have been proposed to play opposing roles in the emergence of unpredictable collective behaviors like crowd panics, traffic jams, and market bubbles. While…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-06-08 Seth Frey , Robert L. Goldstone

Many researchers motivate explainable AI with studies showing that human-AI team performance on decision-making tasks improves when the AI explains its recommendations. However, prior studies observed improvements from explanations only…

The puzzling idea that the combination of independent estimates of the magnitude of a quantity results in a very accurate prediction, which is superior to any or, at least, to most of the individual estimates is known as the wisdom of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-05-26 Sandro M. Reia , José F. Fontanari

This paper examines whether artificial intelligence (AI) acts as a substitute or complement to human labour, drawing on 12 million online job vacancies from the United States spanning 2018-2023. We adopt a two-pronged approach: first,…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-02-27 Elina Mäkelä , Fabian Stephany

Wisdom of the crowd, the collective intelligence derived from responses of multiple human or machine individuals to the same questions, can be more accurate than each individual, and improve social decision-making and prediction accuracy.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-29 Lingfei Wang , Tom Michoel

Despite their performance, large language models (LLMs) can inadvertently perpetuate biases found in the data they are trained on. By analyzing LLM responses to bias-eliciting headlines, we find that these models often mirror human biases.…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-05-20 Axel Abels , Tom Lenaerts

Prevailing methods for assessing and comparing generative AIs incentivize responses that serve a hypothetical representative individual. Evaluating models in these terms presumes homogeneous preferences across the population and engenders…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-06 Dilip Arumugam , Shi Dong , Benjamin Van Roy

Competent-looking judgment, including selecting, ranking, attributing, and certifying, is now produced at scale at marginal cost approaching zero, inverting the dominant economics-of-AI reading that treats judgment as the scarce complement…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Lauri Lovén

Artificial Intelligence (AI) has burrowed into our lives in various aspects; however, without appropriate testing, deployed AI systems are often being criticized to fail in critical and embarrassing cases. Existing testing approaches mainly…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-10-23 Siwei Fu , Anbang Xu , Xiaotong Liu , Huimin Zhou , Rama Akkiraju

Across neuroscience, artificial intelligence, and related fields, dominant models of intelligence typically privilege convergence: uncertainty is reduced, competing explanations are eliminated, and behaviour is governed by the optimisation…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2026-01-21 Alexander D Shaw

Suppose we need a deep collective analysis of an open scientific problem: there is a complex scientific hypothesis and a large online group of mutually unrelated experts with relevant private information of a diverse and unpredictable…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2026-01-27 Alexey V. Osipov , Nikolay N. Osipov

We introduce a novel framework for incorporating human expertise into algorithmic predictions. Our approach leverages human judgment to distinguish inputs which are algorithmically indistinguishable, or "look the same" to predictive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-31 Rohan Alur , Manish Raghavan , Devavrat Shah

Human-AI complementarity, the idea that combining human and AI judgments can outperform either alone, offers a promising pathway toward robust oversight of advanced AI systems. However, whether human-AI complementarity can be achieved on…

Generative AI is increasingly transforming creativity into a hybrid human-artificial process, but its impact on the quality and diversity of creative output remains unclear. We study collective creativity using a controlled word-guessing…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2026-02-27 Chenyi Li , Raja Marjieh , Haoyu Hu , Mark Steyvers , Katherine M. Collins , Ilia Sucholutsky , Nori Jacoby

Collective intelligence plays a central role in many fields, from economics and evolutionary theory to neural networks and eusocial insects, and is also core to work on emergence and self-organisation in complex-systems theory. However, in…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2025-07-09 Michael S. Harré , Catherine Drysdale , Jaime Ruiz-Serra

Hybrid human-ML systems increasingly make consequential decisions in a wide range of domains. These systems are often introduced with the expectation that the combined human-ML system will achieve complementary performance, that is, the…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2023-11-07 Charvi Rastogi , Liu Leqi , Kenneth Holstein , Hoda Heidari