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A confidence sequence is a sequence of confidence intervals that is uniformly valid over an unbounded time horizon. Our work develops confidence sequences whose widths go to zero, with nonasymptotic coverage guarantees under nonparametric…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-08-09 Steven R. Howard , Aaditya Ramdas , Jon McAuliffe , Jasjeet Sekhon

Confidence intervals are a standard technique for analyzing data. When applied to time series, confidence intervals are computed for each time point separately. Alternatively, we can compute confidence bands, where we are required to find…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-14 Nikolaj Tatti

In this paper, we construct the simultaneous confidence band (SCB) for the nonparametric component in partially linear panel data models with fixed effects. We remove the fixed effects, and further obtain the estimators of parametric and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-01-23 Xiujuan Yang , Suigen Yang , Gaorong Li

Errors-in-variables curves are curves where errors exist not only in the independent variable but also in the dependent variable. We address the challenge of constructing simultaneous confidence bands (SCBs) for such curves. Our method…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-01-30 Ziqing Dong , Francesco Bartolucci , Satoshi Kuriki , Antonietta Mira

We study torsional rigidity for graph and quantum graph analogs of well-known pairs of isospectral non-isometric planar domains. We prove that such isospectral pairs are distinguished by torsional rigidity.

谱理论 · 数学 2017-01-04 Don Colladay , Leon Kaganovskiy , Patrick McDonald

This paper develops a method to construct uniform confidence bands in deconvolution when the error distribution is unknown. We mainly focus on the baseline setting where an auxiliary sample from the error distribution is available and the…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-07-25 Kengo Kato , Yuya Sasaki

Inference via simultaneous confidence band is studied for stationary covariance function of dense functional data. A two-stage estimation procedure is proposed based on spline approximation, the first stage involving estimation of all the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-10-31 Jiangyan Wang , Guanqun Cao , Li Wang , Lijian Yang

We consider the problem of deriving uniform confidence bands for the mean of a monotonic stochastic process, such as the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of a random variable, based on a sequence of i.i.d.~observations. Our approach…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-02-04 Eugenio Clerico , Hamish E Flynn , Patrick Rebeschini

Inferential models have recently gained in popularity for valid uncertainty quantification. In this paper, we investigate inferential models by exploring relationships between inferential models, fiducial inference, and confidence curves.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-13 Yifan Cui , Jan Hannig

The goal of this paper is to develop a coherent theory for inhomogeneous Diophantine approximation on curves in $R^n$ akin to the well established homogeneous theory. More specifically, the measure theoretic results obtained generalize the…

数论 · 数学 2008-09-24 Dzmitry Badziahin

A statistical model is said to be calibrated if the resulting mean estimates perfectly match the true means of the underlying responses. Aiming for calibration is often not achievable in practice as one has to deal with finite samples of…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-13 Łukasz Delong , Selim Gatti , Mario V. Wüthrich

We consider kernel estimation of marginal densities and regression functions of stationary processes. It is shown that for a wide class of time series, with proper centering and scaling, the maximum deviations of kernel density and…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-10-21 Weidong Liu , Wei Biao Wu

Confidence intervals and joint confidence sets are constructed for the nonparametric calibration of exponential L\'evy models based on prices of European options. To this end, we show joint asymptotic normality in the spectral calibration…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-05-26 Jakob Söhl

We consider inference for high-dimensional separately and jointly exchangeable arrays where the dimensions may be much larger than the sample sizes. For both exchangeable arrays, we first derive high-dimensional central limit theorems over…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-07-13 Harold D. Chiang , Kengo Kato , Yuya Sasaki

We introduce two data-driven procedures for optimal estimation and inference in nonparametric models using instrumental variables. The first is a data-driven choice of sieve dimension for a popular class of sieve two-stage least squares…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-01-09 Xiaohong Chen , Timothy Christensen , Sid Kankanala

In this paper, we use the modern setting of functional empirical processes and recent techniques on uniform estimation for non parametric objects to derive consistency bands for the mean excess function in the i.i.d. case. We apply our…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-10-14 Gane Samb Lo , Diadie Ba , Elhadji Deme , Cheikh Seck

This paper proposes a new test for the comparison of conditional quantile curves when the outcome of interest, typically a duration, is subject to right censoring. The test can be applied both in the case of two independent samples and for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-08 Lorenzo Tedesco , Ingrid Van Keilegom

We study high-dimensional linear models with error-in-variables. Such models are motivated by various applications in econometrics, finance and genetics. These models are challenging because of the need to account for measurement errors to…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-03-03 Alexandre Belloni , Victor Chernozhukov , Abhishek Kaul

We show that confidence intervals in a variance component model, with asymptotically correct uniform coverage probability, can be obtained by inverting certain test-statistics based on the score for the restricted likelihood. The results…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-05 Yiqiao Zhang , Karl Oskar Ekvall , Aaron J. Molstad

In this paper we consider the conservative Lasso which we argue penalizes more correctly than the Lasso and show how it may be desparsified in the sense of van de Geer et al. (2014) in order to construct asymptotically honest (uniform)…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-11-15 Mehmet Caner , Anders Bredahl Kock