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The sequential multiple assignment randomized trial (SMART) is the gold standard trial design to generate data for the evaluation of multi-stage treatment regimes. As with conventional (single-stage) randomized clinical trials, interim…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-13 Cole Manschot , Eric Laber , Marie Davidian

To maximize clinical benefit, clinicians routinely tailor treatment to the individual characteristics of each patient, where individualized treatment rules are needed and are of significant research interest to statisticians. In the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-23 Trinetri Ghosh , Yanyuan Ma , Rui Song , Pingshou Zhong

We often seek to estimate the causal effect of an exposure on a particular outcome in both randomized and observational settings. One such estimation method is the covariate-adjusted residuals estimator, which was designed for individually…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-10-28 Stephen A. Lauer , Nicholas G. Reich , Laura B. Balzer

This paper considers identification and estimation of the causal effect of the time Z until a subject is treated on a survival outcome T. The treatment is not randomly assigned, T is randomly right censored by a random variable C and the…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-12-20 Jad Beyhum , Samuele Centorrino , Jean-Pierre Florens , Ingrid Van Keilegom

The field of precision medicine aims to tailor treatment based on patient-specific factors in a reproducible way. To this end, estimating an optimal individualized treatment regime (ITR) that recommends treatment decisions based on patient…

In confirmatory cancer clinical trials, overall survival (OS) is normally a primary endpoint in the intention-to-treat (ITT) analysis under regulatory standards. After the tumor progresses, it is common that patients allocated to the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-19 José L. Jiménez , Julia Niewczas , Alexander Bore , Carl-Fredrik Burman

The instrumental variable (IV) approach is a widely used way to estimate the causal effects of a treatment on an outcome of interest from observational data with latent confounders. A standard IV is expected to be related to the treatment…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-30 Debo Cheng , Ziqi Xu , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Jixue Liu , Thuc Duy Le

This paper provides a link between causal inference and machine learning techniques - specifically, Classification and Regression Trees (CART) - in observational studies where the receipt of the treatment is not randomized, but the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-05-23 Falco J. Bargagli-Stoffi , Giorgio Gnecco

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are the gold standard for evaluating causal effects but are often costly and difficult to scale; consequently, they are frequently augmented with auxiliary external controls in many applications. Prior…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-28 Jiawei Shan , Yiteng Tu , Guanbo Wang , Chao Ying , Jiwei Zhao

For settings with a binary treatment and a binary outcome, instrumental variables can be used to construct bounds on a causal treatment effect. With continuous outcomes, meaningful bounds are more difficult to obtain because the domain of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-03-26 Tao Liu , Joseph W. Hogan

Applied researchers are increasingly interested in whether and how treatment effects vary in randomized evaluations, especially variation not explained by observed covariates. We propose a model-free approach for testing for the presence of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-12-17 Peng Ding , Avi Feller , Luke Miratrix

This paper develops methods for uncertainty quantification in causal inference settings with random network interference. We study the large-sample distributional properties of the classical difference-in-means Hajek treatment effect…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-11 Matias D. Cattaneo , Yihan He , Ruiqi Rae Yu

A crucial task for a randomized controlled trial (RCT) is to specify a statistical method that can yield an efficient estimator and powerful test for the treatment effect. A novel and effective strategy to obtain efficient and powerful…

Instrumental variable (IV) is a powerful approach to inferring the causal effect of a treatment on an outcome of interest from observational data even when there exist latent confounders between the treatment and the outcome. However,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-06-07 Debo Cheng , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Kui Yu , Thuc Duy Lee , Jixue Liu

Time-to-event analyses are often plagued by both -- possibly unmeasured -- confounding and competing risks. To deal with the former, the use of instrumental variables for effect estimation is rapidly gaining ground. We show how to make use…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-01-04 Torben Martinussen , Stijn Vansteelandt

Instrumental variable is an essential tool for addressing unmeasured confounding in observational studies. Two stage predictor substitution (2SPS) estimator and two stage residual inclusion(2SRI) are two commonly used approaches in applying…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-07-20 Andrew Ying , Ronghui Xu , James Murphy

We discuss the fundamental issue of identification in linear instrumental variable (IV) models with unknown IV validity. With the assumption of the "sparsest rule", which is equivalent to the plurality rule but becomes operational in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-06 Yiqi Lin , Frank Windmeijer , Xinyuan Song , Qingliang Fan

Sequential multiple assignment randomized trials mimic the actual treatment processes experienced by physicians and patients in clinical settings and inform the comparative effectiveness of dynamic treatment regimes. In such trials,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-07 Zi Wang , Yu Cheng , Abdus S. Wahed

Instrumental variables have been widely used to estimate the causal effect of a treatment on an outcome. Existing confidence intervals for causal effects based on instrumental variables assume that all of the putative instrumental variables…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-07-14 Hyunseung Kang , T. Tony Cai , Dylan S. Small

To promote precision medicine, individualized treatment regimes (ITRs) are crucial for optimizing the expected clinical outcome based on patient-specific characteristics. However, existing ITR research has primarily focused on scenarios…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-20 Chang Wang , Lu Wang