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Estimating the uncertainty in deep neural network predictions is crucial for many real-world applications. A common approach to model uncertainty is to choose a parametric distribution and fit the data to it using maximum likelihood…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-28 Ali Harakeh , Jordan Hu , Naiqing Guan , Steven L. Waslander , Liam Paull

Bairamov et al. (Aust N Z J Stat 47:543-547, 2005) characterize the exponential distribution in terms of the regression of a function of a record value with its adjacent record values as covariates. We extend these results to the case of…

概率论 · 数学 2007-07-30 George P. Yanev , M. Ahsanullah , M. I. Beg

In this paper, we propose a novel factor-augmented forecasting regression model with a binary response variable. We develop a maximum likelihood estimation method for the regression parameters and establish the asymptotic properties of the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-23 Tingting Cheng , Jiachen Cong , Fei Liu , Xuanbin Yang

Accurate estimation of the T-year return levels of climate extremes using statistical distribution is a critical step in the projection of future climate and in engineering design for disaster response. We show how the estimation of such…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-06 Yire Shin , Jeong-Soo Park

In this paper a new distribution is proposed. This new model provides more flexibility to modeling data with upside-down bathtub hazard rate function. A significant account of mathematical properties of the new distribution is presented.…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-11-28 Pedro L. Ramos , Francisco Louzada , Taciana K. O. Shimizu , Aline O. Luiz

During the last decade Levy processes with jumps have received increasing popularity for modelling market behaviour for both derviative pricing and risk management purposes. Chan et al. (2009) introduced the use of empirical likelihood…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-01-16 Steven Kou , Tony Sit , Zhiliang Ying

Triangular distributions are a well-known class of distributions that are often used as elementary example of a probability model. In the past, enumeration and order statistic-based methods have been suggested for the maximum likelihood…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-02-16 Hien D Nguyen , Geoffrey J McLachlan

We develop a new goodness fit test for Rayleigh distribution for complete as well as right censored data. We use U-Statistic theory to derive the test statistic. First we develop a test for complete data and then discuss, how right censored…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-19 Vaisakh K. M. , Thomas Xavier , Sreedevi E. P

We propose dual regression as an alternative to the quantile regression process for the global estimation of conditional distribution functions under minimal assumptions. Dual regression provides all the interpretational power of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-26 Richard Spady , Sami Stouli

Birnbaum-Saunders models have been widely used to model positively skewed data. In this paper, we introduce a bivariate Birnbaum-Saunders distribution which has the means as parameters. We present some properties of the univariate and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-01 Helton Saulo , Jeremias Leão , Roberto Vila , Victor Leiva , Vera Tomazella

We formulate a class of angular Gaussian distributions that allows different degrees of isotropy for directional random variables of arbitrary dimension. Through a series of novel reparameterization, this distribution family is indexed by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-13 Zehao Yu , Xianzheng Huang

Analyzing high-dimensional data with manifold learning algorithms often requires searching for the nearest neighbors of all observations. This presents a computational bottleneck in statistical manifold learning when observations of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-11 Fan Cheng , Anastasios Panagiotelis , Rob J Hyndman

We are concerned with obtaining well-calibrated output distributions from regression models. Such distributions allow us to quantify the uncertainty that the model has regarding the predicted target value. We introduce the novel concept of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-16 Hao Song , Tom Diethe , Meelis Kull , Peter Flach

The estimation of conditional quantiles at extreme tails is of great interest in numerous applications. Various methods that integrate regression analysis with an extrapolation strategy derived from extreme value theory have been proposed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-22 Yiwei Tang , Judy Huixia Wang , Deyuan Li

Loynes' distribution, which characterizes the one dimensional marginal of the stationary solution to Lindley's recursion, possesses an ultimately exponential tail for a large class of increment processes. If one can observe increments but…

概率论 · 数学 2013-09-19 Ken R. Duffy , Sean P. Meyn

This work presents a new classifier that is specifically designed to be fully interpretable. This technique determines the probability of a class outcome, based directly on probability assignments measured from the training data. The…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-10-31 Sapan Agarwal , Corey M. Hudson

In structured additive distributional regression, the conditional distribution of the response variables given the covariate information and the vector of model parameters is modelled using a P-parametric probability density function where…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-02-06 Gianmarco Callegher , Thomas Kneib , Johannes Söding , Paul Wiemann

Network models represent a useful tool to describe the complex set of financial relationships among heterogeneous firms in the system. In this paper, we propose a new semiparametric model for temporal multilayer causal networks with both…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-01-05 Billio Monica , Casarin Roberto , Costola Michele , Iacopini Matteo

This paper proposes IV-based estimators for the semiparametric distribution regression model in the presence of an endogenous regressor, which are based on an extension of IV probit estimators. We discuss the causal interpretation of the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-12-08 Dominik Wied

Estimation for the log-logistic and Weibull distributions can be performed by using the equations used for probability plotting. The equations leads to highly heteroscedastic regression. Exact expressions for the variances of the residuals…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-11-06 J. M. van Zyl