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The standard approach to inference from cosmic large-scale structure data employs summary statistics that are compared to analytic models in a Gaussian likelihood with pre-computed covariance. To overcome the idealising assumptions about…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2023-08-24 Kiyam Lin , Maximilian von Wietersheim-Kramsta , Benjamin Joachimi , Stephen Feeney

The convolution of a Gaussian and a Cauchy distribution, known as the Voigt distribution, is widely used in spectroscopy and provides a natural framework for modeling heavy-tailed measurement noise. We derive analytical expressions for its…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-29 Peter Reinhard Hansen , Chen Tong

This work aims at making a comprehensive contribution in the general area of parametric inference for discretely observed diffusion processes. Established approaches for likelihood-based estimation invoke a time-discretisation scheme for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-30 Yuga Iguchi , Alexandros Beskos , Matthew M. Graham

This article provides a survey of recent research efforts on the application of quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods to elliptic partial differential equations (PDEs) with random diffusion coefficients. It considers, and contrasts, the uniform…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-06-22 Frances Y. Kuo , Dirk Nuyens

This paper develops a general methodology to conduct statistical inference for observations indexed by multiple sets of entities. We propose a novel multiway empirical likelihood statistic that converges to a chi-square distribution under…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-12 Harold D Chiang , Yukitoshi Matsushita , Taisuke Otsu

We study the homogenization property of systems of quasi-linear PDEs of parabolic type with periodic coefficients, highly oscillating drift and highly oscillating nonlinear term. To this end, we propose a probabilistic approach based on the…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Francois Delarue

We consider quasi maximum likelihood (QML) estimation for general non-Gaussian discrete-ime linear state space models and equidistantly observed multivariate L\'evy-driven continuoustime autoregressive moving average (MCARMA) processes. In…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-05-19 Eckhard Schlemm , Robert Stelzer

This work introduces a Bayesian methodology for fitting large discrete graphical models with spike-and-slab priors to encode sparsity. We consider a quasi-likelihood approach that enables node-wise parallel computation resulting in reduced…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-10-21 Anwesha Bhattacharyya , Yves Atchade

We propose a novel estimation approach for a general class of semi-parametric time series models where the conditional expectation is modeled through a parametric function. The proposed class of estimators is based on a Gaussian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-21 Mirko Armillotta , Paolo Gorgi

This paper proposes a novel approach to the statistical characterization of non-central complex Gaussian quadratic forms (CGQFs). Its key strategy is the generation of an auxiliary random variable (RV) that converges in distribution to the…

We demonstrate that the Bayesian evidence can be used to find a good approximation of the ground truth likelihood function of a dataset, a goal of the likelihood-free inference (LFI) paradigm. As a concrete example, we use forward modelled…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2023-06-14 K. H. Scheutwinkel , W. Handley , E. de Lera Acedo

The expected Euler characteristic (EEC) curve of excursion sets of a Gaussian random field is used to approximate the distribution of its supremum for high thresholds. Viewed as a function of the excursion threshold, the EEC is expressed by…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-04-19 Fabian Telschow , Armin Schwartzman , Dan Cheng , Pratyush Pranav

We show how it is possible to assess the rate of convergence in the Gaussian approximation of triangular arrays of $U$-statistics, built from wavelets coefficients evaluated on a homogeneous spherical Poisson field of arbitrary dimension.…

Maximum likelihood style estimators possesses a number of ideal characteristics, but require prior identification of the distribution of errors to ensure exact unbiasedness. Independent of the focus of the primary statistical analysis, the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-05 Landon Hurley

In this paper, we consider projection estimates for L\'evy densities in high-frequency setup. We give a unified treatment for different sets of basis functions and focus on the asymptotic properties of the maximal deviation distribution for…

概率论 · 数学 2016-01-18 Valentin Konakov , Vladimir Panov

In time series analysis there is an apparent dichotomy between time and frequency domain methods. The aim of this paper is to draw connections between frequency and time domain methods. Our focus will be on reconciling the Gaussian…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-30 Suhasini Subba Rao , Junho Yang

Computing expected information gain (EIG) from prior to posterior (equivalently, mutual information between candidate observations and model parameters or other quantities of interest) is a fundamental challenge in Bayesian optimal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-30 Fengyi Li , Ricardo Baptista , Youssef Marzouk

In multivariate extreme value analysis, the estimation of the dependence structure in extremes is demanding, especially in the context of high-dimensional data. Therefore, a common approach is to reduce the model dimension by considering…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-08 Lucas Butsch , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann

Gevrey 2 quasi-periodic cocycles with diophantine frequency, close to a constant, with values in classical Lie groups, are almost reducible in a weak sense. This is the analogue of Eliasson's almost reducibility theorem for analytic…

动力系统 · 数学 2010-01-13 Claire Chavaudret

This paper combines probabilistic and algebraic techniques for computing quantum expectations of operator exponentials (and their products) of quadratic forms of quantum variables in Gaussian states. Such quadratic-exponential functionals…

量子物理 · 物理学 2018-09-19 Igor G. Vladimirov , Ian R. Petersen , Matthew R. James