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相关论文: Dynamical Dorfman Testing with Quarantine

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To better describe the spread of a disease, we extend a discrete time stochastic SIR-type epidemic model of Tuckwell and Williams. We assume the dependence on time of the number of daily encounters and include a parameter to represent a…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-09-30 Mireia Besalú , Giulia Binotto

The corona virus disease 2019 (COVID-19) caused by the novel corona virus has an exponential rate of infection. COVID-19 is particularly notorious as the onset of symptoms in infected patients are usually delayed and there exists a large…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-16 Lakshmi N. Theagarajan

We present some ideas on how to extend a kinetic type model for crowd dynamics to account for an infectious disease spreading. We focus on a medium size crowd occupying a confined environment where the disease is easily spread. The kinetic…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-04-05 Daewa Kim , Annalisa Quaini

For preventing the spread of epidemics such as the coronavirus disease COVID-19, social distancing and the isolation of infected persons are crucial. However, existing reaction-diffusion equations for epidemic spreading are incapable of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-11-18 Michael te Vrugt , Jens Bickmann , Raphael Wittkowski

With more than 1.7 million COVID-19 deaths, identifying effective measures to prevent COVID-19 is a top priority. We developed a mathematical model to simulate the COVID-19 pandemic with digital contact tracing and testing strategies. The…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-12-29 Daniel Xu

We consider a susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model in which a large group of individuals decide whether to adopt partially effective protection without being aware of their individual infection status. Each individual…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-10-29 Urmee Maitra , Ashish R. Hota , Philip E. Paré

Major advances in public health have resulted from disease prevention. However, prevention of a new infectious disease by vaccination or pharmaceuticals is made difficult by the slow process of vaccine and drug development. We propose an…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-04-15 Jussi Taipale , Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Sten Linnarsson

Most epidemic models assume equal mixing among members of a population. An alternative approach is to model a population as random network in which individuals may have heterogeneous connectivity. This paper builds on previous research by…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Erik Volz

We describe group sequential tests which efficiently incorporate information from multiple endpoints allowing for early stopping at pre-planned interim analyses. We formulate a testing procedure where several outcomes are examined, and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-09 Abigail J. Burdon , Thomas Jaki

In order to identify the infected individuals of a population, their samples are divided in equally sized groups called pools and a single laboratory test is applied to each pool. Individuals whose samples belong to pools that test negative…

In this paper, we introduce a variation of the group testing problem capturing the idea that a positive test requires a combination of multiple ``types'' of item. Specifically, we assume that there are multiple disjoint \emph{semi-defective…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2024-05-10 Thach V. Bui , Jonathan Scarlett

We study first order necessary conditions for an optimal control problem of a Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model with limitations on the duration of the quarantine. The control is done by means of the reproduction number, i.e., the…

The rapid development of derandomization theory, which is a fundamental area in theoretical computer science, has recently led to many surprising applications outside its initial intention. We will review some recent such developments…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2015-03-17 Mahdi Cheraghchi

We study a discrete Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model for the spread of infectious disease on a homogeneous tree and the limit behavior of the model in the case when the tree vertex degree tends to infinity. We obtain the…

概率论 · 数学 2022-07-08 Alexander Gairat , Vadim Shcherbakov

Recent advances in dynamic treatment regimes (DTRs) facilitate the search for optimal treatments, which are tailored to individuals' specific needs and able to maximize their expected clinical benefits. However, existing algorithms relying…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-10-18 Hanwen Ye , Wenzhuo Zhou , Ruoqing Zhu , Annie Qu

In this paper, we propose a computer-oriented method of construction of optimal group sequential hypothesis tests with variable group sizes. In particular, for independent and identically distributed observations we obtain the form of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-30 Andrey Novikov

Evaluating whether data streams are drawn from the same distribution is at the heart of various machine learning problems. This is particularly relevant for data generated by dynamical systems since such systems are essential for many…

We introduce a stochastic SIR-type partial differential equation model incorporating random diffusion, reinfection, vital dynamics, and a randomly varying transmission rate. For the associated random dynamical system, we prove the existence…

The goal of this work is to study an infectious disease spreading in a medium size population occupying a confined environment. For this purpose, we consider a kinetic theory approach to model crowd dynamics in bounded domains and couple it…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-04-28 Daewa Kim , Annalisa Quaini

In this paper, we study the trajectory of a classic SIR epidemic on a family of dynamic random graphs of fixed size, whose set of edges continuously evolves over time. We set general infection and recovery times, and start the epidemic from…

概率论 · 数学 2025-01-17 Marta Milewska , Remco van der Hofstad , Bert Zwart