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相关论文: A Multi-state Markov Model to Infer the Latent Det…

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Hidden Markov models (HMMs) offer a robust and efficient framework for analyzing time series data, modelling both the underlying latent state progression over time and the observation process, conditional on the latent state. However, a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-07-19 Ioannis Rotous , Alex Diana , Alessio Farcomeni , Eleni Matechou , Andréa Thiebault

A complex multi-state redundant system undergoing preventive maintenance and experiencing multiple events is being considered in a continuous time frame. The online unit is susceptible to various types of failures, both internal and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-13 Juan Eloy Ruiz-Castro , Hugo Alaín Zapata-Ceballos

In many engineering systems, proper predictive maintenance and operational control are essential to increase efficiency and reliability while reducing maintenance costs. However, one of the major challenges is that many sensors are used for…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-12-09 Boyang Xu , Yunyi Kang , Xinyu Zhao , Hao Yan , Feng Ju

Data-informed predictive maintenance planning largely relies on stochastic deterioration models. Monitoring information can be utilized to update sequentially the knowledge on time-invariant deterioration model parameters either within an…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-08-02 Antonios Kamariotis , Luca Sardi , Iason Papaioannou , Eleni Chatzi , Daniel Straub

In this paper, a condition-based imperfect maintenance model based on piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP) is constructed. The degradation of the system includes two types: natural degradation and random shocks. The natural…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-03-25 Weikai Wang , Xian Chen

A complex multi-state redundant system with preventive maintenance subject to multiple events is considered. The online unit can undergo several types of failures: internal and those provoked by external shocks. Multiple degradation levels…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-01-22 Juan Eloy Ruiz-Castro

Civil and maritime engineering systems, among others, from bridges to offshore platforms and wind turbines, must be efficiently managed as they are exposed to deterioration mechanisms throughout their operational life, such as fatigue or…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-11-30 P. G. Morato , K. G. Papakonstantinou , C. P. Andriotis , J. S. Nielsen , P. Rigo

People are living longer than ever before, and with this arises new complications and challenges for humanity. Among the most pressing of these challenges is of understanding the role of aging in the development of dementia. This paper is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-08-07 Jonathan P Williams , Curtis B Storlie , Terry M Therneau , Clifford R Jack , Jan Hannig

For predictive maintenance, we examine one of the largest public datasets for machine failures derived along with their corresponding precursors as error rates, historical part replacements, and sensor inputs. To simplify the time and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-12-12 David Noever

We consider the key practical challenge of multi-asset maintenance optimization in settings where degradation parameters are heterogeneous and unknown, and must be inferred from degradation data. To address this, we propose scalable methods…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-04-21 Peter Verleijsdonk , Collin Drent , Stella Kapodistria , Willem van Jaarsveld

This work attempts to approximate a linear Gaussian system with a finite-state hidden Markov model (HMM), which is found useful in solving sophisticated event-based state estimation problems. An indirect modeling approach is developed,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-07-10 Kaikai Zheng , Dawei Shi , Ling Shi

This paper studies maintenance optimization for a two-component system under mixed observability. Component~$U_1$ is fully monitored, whereas component~$U_2$ is only partially observable due to sensing limitations. The system exhibits…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-03-05 Nan Zhang , Inmaculada T. Castro , M. L. Gamiz

Condition-Based Maintenance is pivotal in enabling the early detection of potential failures in engineering systems, where precise prediction of the Remaining Useful Life is essential for effective maintenance and operation. However, a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-21 Miguel Fernandes , Catarina Silva , Alberto Cardoso , Bernardete Ribeiro

In the context of modern environmental and societal concerns, there is an increasing demand for methods able to identify management strategies for civil engineering systems, minimizing structural failure risks while optimally planning…

[This paper was initially published in PHME conference in 2016, selected for further publication in International Journal of Prognostics and Health Management.] This paper describes an Autoregressive Partially-hidden Markov model (ARPHMM)…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-05-04 Pablo Juesas , Emmanuel Ramasso , Sébastien Drujont , Vincent Placet

In this article we consider an aggregate loss model with dependent losses. The losses occurrence process is governed by a two-state Markovian arrival process (MAP2), a Markov renewal process process that allows for (1) correlated…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2024-02-06 Pepa Ramírez-Cobo , Emilio Carrizosa , Rosa Elvira Lillo

In this work, a single-unit multi-state system is considered. The system is subject to internal failures, as well as external shocks with multiple consequences. It also incorporates a preventive maintenance strategy and a Bernoulli vacation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-14 Juan Eloy Ruiz-Castro , Hugo Alaín Zapata-Ceballos

This paper develops maintenance policies for a system under condition monitoring. We assume that a number of defects may develop and the degradation process of each defect follows a gamma process, respectively. The system is inspected…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-09-21 Shaomin Wu , Inma T. Castro

We show how Markov mixed membership models (MMMM) can be used to predict the degradation of assets. We model the degradation path of individual assets, to predict overall failure rates. Instead of a separate distribution for each hidden…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-03 Paul Hofmann , Zaid Tashman

A large number of safety-critical control systems are based on N-modular redundant architectures, using majority voters on the outputs of independent computation units. In order to assess the compliance of these architectures with…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2013-04-25 Francesco Flammini , Stefano Marrone , Nicola Mazzocca , Valeria Vittorini
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